Xinshun 1730
Chapter 670 Attacking Korea?Cut Shu?
Chapter 670 Attacking Korea?Cut Shu?
The strategic considerations at this time are different from the kind of wars that exterminate the country and species in later generations, and it is still easy to judge the strategic goals of each country.
Of course, Louis XV did not have such a strategic vision. If France really had a master strategist, it would not be possible to play from such a great advantage in the era of Louis XIV to what it is now.
In Liu Yu's opinion, the only reason France is so strong in Europe is that its effective population is the largest in Europe. Before the Thunder came in 93, French farmers did not need to consider the problem of class decline. Coupled with the Catholic tradition, the desire to have children was still great.With a large population, if you can centralize power, you can fight.
Now that the population advantage is still so great, the situation in France has not yet been opened, and the strategic sense is really too general.
Although he had a flickering mentality, to Louis XV's ears, he was quite amazed.
It's not that Liu Yu's level is so high, but that France has been a bit wishful thinking since the beginning of the war, thinking that Prussia will abide by the covenant of "no separate peace".
That’s all for other countries. France has reneged on many alliances in history. During the War of Religion, the eldest daughter of the Catholic Church also sided with the Protestant Church. It is really strange that they can pin their hopes on Prussia’s keeping its promises.
It's not that France has no strategy, but the cornerstone of its strategy is wishful thinking.
Now this situation is a bit far from wishful thinking, so there is no strategy directly, and I am in a state of complete confusion, completely led by the nose of the situation.
Not to mention whether what Liu Yu said is really as good as that of Longzhong, but at this time, as long as he can say something about the strategic direction, it is enough to be praised by Louis XV.
After savoring this strategic concept carefully, Louis XV felt more and more tasteful as he savored it.And the key is that the time is not long, the longest is the autumn of 45 years, but only three or two years.
Some people can't hide things in their hearts. If it is really a long-term strategy of ten or eight years, they will definitely not be able to hold back. They have to open their mouths and talk about it in advance. It is difficult to wait for ten or eight years.Louis XV was such a person. If he had to wait ten or eight years to produce results, he would have to go crazy.
Since it is only three or two years, this is still tolerable.
Thinking about it, it seems that this direction is indeed the most likely.
And according to this trend, in 45 years, the Dutch economy collapsed, Prussia took advantage again, and Louis XV himself had a Stuart family that could disgust the United Kingdom. No matter how you look at it, he has already won eight points.
Even if the colony is not going well, the British will obediently take the French colony in exchange for occupying Hanover?
Even if there is a tie in the territory at that time, the Netherlands can be abolished in one wave, and Prussia, a potential ally, can be earned. This is considered a victory for France.
It's just that what Liu Yu thinks now is not whether France can win, but how to divide the spoils after the war so that Dashun can get enough benefits.
Nanyang is not within the scope of spoils.
As for the Nanyang issue, as long as Dashun goes there, there is no need to negotiate with other European countries. Nanyang belongs to Dashun, and no one can take it away.
This is not called dividing up the spoils, but just taking back Zheng He's legacy.
Those who are "stolen" are other people's wealth, naturally outside of Nanyang.
"His Royal Highness, I have an immature idea about the post-war issue. I hope to ask for your opinion. I hope you can correct me."
Louis XV didn't have any idea in his heart at all, the war is going to war, what kind of result do you want?I thought too much of wishful thinking before, but now it seems that it may not be so, and the result I wanted in the future is now a mess.
After listening to Liu Yu's analysis of the strategic situation, and now hearing Liu Yu's respectful request for correction, he politely asked Liu Yu to continue.
What Liu Yu wants is a post-war neutral Netherlands, at least not a French puppet Netherlands.
Now this war won't be fought anytime soon.
Once the Netherlands collapsed in 45, neither side could survive.
Britain and Spain were fighting the Jenkins Ear War, but Spain, in its old age, actually fought the classic "Battle of Cartagena" in Colombia.Elsewhere the British seemed to have won, but they had actually lost strategically.
Fighting a war is not only based on the ratio of battle losses, but also depends on whether the two sides have reached their strategic expectations.Britain's strategic expectation was to gain hegemony in the Atlantic Ocean and the Caribbean Sea, but the Battle of Cartagena completely shattered Britain's strategic expectation and could not be achieved.
In fact, the war has reached this stage, and peace talks between Britain and the West are possible.The offensive side's strategic expectations are all over, and the defensive side is basically powerless to fight back. If there is no peace negotiation, it is just procrastinating there, and it is purely meaningless war.Now they can only rob each other's ships at sea and play with each other.
France was put on the same side by Prussia. Liu Yu said it was easy, to hold on for two or three years, until the time for a strategic counterattack.But France's finances will only last for two or three years.
Prussia wanted to take Silesia and weaken Austria.The United Kingdom only wants to disgust France. When France cannot be disgusted and France counterattacks in an all-round way, Britain will certainly not get cheap. The problem is that France has neither command of the sea nor can it land in London. What can it do if it continues to fight?
Two major contradictions in Europe.
Contradictions between Britain, France and Spain in overseas colonies.
Prussia and Austria, who is Germany's contradiction.
Neither of these two contradictions can be resolved in this war.On the day when it is really impossible to fight, they will all take a breather and cease the war, recuperate, expand the army and prepare for war, and prepare for the next wave to directly resolve these two major contradictions.
To realize Liu Yu's vision of the next European decisive battle of "China, France, Russia, Austria, vs. Britain, Denmark, Prussia, and Portugal", today's spoils sharing secret meeting is extremely important.
The basis of the Franco-Austrian alliance is that France cannot eat the Austrian Netherlands, which was later the Belgian region.
Only in this way, the contradiction between France and Austria will take a backseat, and the contradiction between Prussia and Austria, which has eaten Silesia, can rise to the main contradiction.
If France does not eat Belgium, it is possible for the Netherlands to be neutral and restore the French-Dutch relationship.By the way, let the son-in-law of the King of England, William of Orange and his wife, get out, stop being a consul, and change to a great speaker who is pro-French, or who seems to be pro-French.
From the inside, this is "for the benefit of Dashun, let France eat less".
The core is such a core, how to say it, how to express it, it is best to express it as "for the sake of France", this is the key.
Like the counselors in those ancient stories, Liu Yu asked the King three questions.
At sea, can France beat the British fleet?
Louis XV shook his head.
On land, can the British land in Europe and win the French army?
Louis XV still shook his head.
Can French colonial interests be easily given up?
Louis XV still shook his head.
The first two are common sense.
The latter, the interests of the colonies, have gained more weight in recent years.
There are riots and uprisings in the Java area, and French Caribbean sugar has made a lot of money in recent years.
Liu Yu's trade line of "American ginseng mink ice ballast stone" is worth millions of taels of cash every year.
The potential of France itself, after being squeezed by Louis XIV, has almost been squeezed.
The financial hole left by Louis XIV was blocked by the Mississippi bubble that the gambler finance minister used to spread the flowers with drums, but it was only blocked.No matter how much potential is squeezed, nothing can be squeezed out.
Like Dashun, the pressure, risk and difficulty of internal reform are too great.You can only jump out of the inside and go outside to find new increments.
The weight of the colony itself is already very high, and now with the addition of the American ginseng trade, the weight is even higher.A million taels of silver is really not a small amount, 180 million taels of silver can bring Austria back to life, a million taels a year is really a lot.
Moreover, it is easy to create a European anti-French alliance if it is not done well in Europe.
Louis XV still firmly believes that the interests of the colonies cannot be given up. This is not inconsistent with Liu Yu's idea of Dashun eating India and continuing to cooperate with France.
Because India is now less than one-fifth of Haiti to France.
The poor country known for eating mud cakes in later generations is now the pearl of France. It is worthwhile to exchange the whole of Canada before the ginseng trade.
India is now even further behind.
In fact, France is simply unable to attack in all directions. It is not the United Kingdom. It will be fine if it shrinks on the island and builds a navy.A circle of enemies around France, only the navy, had been dismembered long ago.
So after Louis XV shook his head three times in a row, Liu Yu made a statement.
"His Royal Highness, the reason why France has been able to switch to a strategic counter-offensive and has been able to do well in Europe is because France does not have an Achilles' heel."
"Britain has an Achilles' heel, and that is Hannover."
"The French navy is temporarily unable to compete with the British, so it is necessary to consider the possibility of the colony being captured by the British. Of course, after 45 years, Hannover will definitely not be able to hold it. If France can get Hannover, it will pinch the British. Clius' heel, available in exchange."
"As long as Britain doesn't give up Hannover for a day, France can pinch Britain's vulnerability at any time and guarantee a situation where at least it doesn't lose--if the Americas are lost, Hannover will be exchanged; if the Caribbean is lost, Hannover will be exchanged; Hannover change."
"Under the premise of not losing, continue to strengthen and increase the management of the colonies. When the colonies can win the British, it is the right choice to completely eat Hannover."
"Before it is capable of comprehensive victory in the colonies and on the sea, Hanover is the egg, the egg of Britain. It is in your hands."
"But if it's really crushed, there's nothing wrong with it. Don't eunuchs live well? On the contrary, they have lost one of their most vulnerable weaknesses. When men fight, they are afraid of being kicked in the crotch, but eunuchs don't have to be afraid."
"In your hand, you now have two particularly good cards. One is Hanover; the other is the Stuart family."
"Under unfavorable circumstances, Hannover doesn't mention it. Another card, it seems that it can only be consumed to strive for a favorable condition. It cannot fully exert its effect."
"If I play cards, and I can know the situation of the 45-year strategic counterattack. I suggest that another card, it is best to keep it and not consume it. When it is ready and has a great advantage, Play that card again and kill him with one move."
"If China doesn't attack the Netherlands, I think the situation in France will become even more ugly. At that time, you may consume that card and use offense instead of defense, but it is not cost-effective. I hope you try to keep it as much as possible."
"After finishing these two cards, I would like to ask, who do you think is the potential ally you most hope for if you want to take full advantage of the United Kingdom and invade the British Isles?"
This question has been continued, interlocking. After listening to the last question, Louis XV almost subconsciously replied: "Holland?"
(End of this chapter)
The strategic considerations at this time are different from the kind of wars that exterminate the country and species in later generations, and it is still easy to judge the strategic goals of each country.
Of course, Louis XV did not have such a strategic vision. If France really had a master strategist, it would not be possible to play from such a great advantage in the era of Louis XIV to what it is now.
In Liu Yu's opinion, the only reason France is so strong in Europe is that its effective population is the largest in Europe. Before the Thunder came in 93, French farmers did not need to consider the problem of class decline. Coupled with the Catholic tradition, the desire to have children was still great.With a large population, if you can centralize power, you can fight.
Now that the population advantage is still so great, the situation in France has not yet been opened, and the strategic sense is really too general.
Although he had a flickering mentality, to Louis XV's ears, he was quite amazed.
It's not that Liu Yu's level is so high, but that France has been a bit wishful thinking since the beginning of the war, thinking that Prussia will abide by the covenant of "no separate peace".
That’s all for other countries. France has reneged on many alliances in history. During the War of Religion, the eldest daughter of the Catholic Church also sided with the Protestant Church. It is really strange that they can pin their hopes on Prussia’s keeping its promises.
It's not that France has no strategy, but the cornerstone of its strategy is wishful thinking.
Now this situation is a bit far from wishful thinking, so there is no strategy directly, and I am in a state of complete confusion, completely led by the nose of the situation.
Not to mention whether what Liu Yu said is really as good as that of Longzhong, but at this time, as long as he can say something about the strategic direction, it is enough to be praised by Louis XV.
After savoring this strategic concept carefully, Louis XV felt more and more tasteful as he savored it.And the key is that the time is not long, the longest is the autumn of 45 years, but only three or two years.
Some people can't hide things in their hearts. If it is really a long-term strategy of ten or eight years, they will definitely not be able to hold back. They have to open their mouths and talk about it in advance. It is difficult to wait for ten or eight years.Louis XV was such a person. If he had to wait ten or eight years to produce results, he would have to go crazy.
Since it is only three or two years, this is still tolerable.
Thinking about it, it seems that this direction is indeed the most likely.
And according to this trend, in 45 years, the Dutch economy collapsed, Prussia took advantage again, and Louis XV himself had a Stuart family that could disgust the United Kingdom. No matter how you look at it, he has already won eight points.
Even if the colony is not going well, the British will obediently take the French colony in exchange for occupying Hanover?
Even if there is a tie in the territory at that time, the Netherlands can be abolished in one wave, and Prussia, a potential ally, can be earned. This is considered a victory for France.
It's just that what Liu Yu thinks now is not whether France can win, but how to divide the spoils after the war so that Dashun can get enough benefits.
Nanyang is not within the scope of spoils.
As for the Nanyang issue, as long as Dashun goes there, there is no need to negotiate with other European countries. Nanyang belongs to Dashun, and no one can take it away.
This is not called dividing up the spoils, but just taking back Zheng He's legacy.
Those who are "stolen" are other people's wealth, naturally outside of Nanyang.
"His Royal Highness, I have an immature idea about the post-war issue. I hope to ask for your opinion. I hope you can correct me."
Louis XV didn't have any idea in his heart at all, the war is going to war, what kind of result do you want?I thought too much of wishful thinking before, but now it seems that it may not be so, and the result I wanted in the future is now a mess.
After listening to Liu Yu's analysis of the strategic situation, and now hearing Liu Yu's respectful request for correction, he politely asked Liu Yu to continue.
What Liu Yu wants is a post-war neutral Netherlands, at least not a French puppet Netherlands.
Now this war won't be fought anytime soon.
Once the Netherlands collapsed in 45, neither side could survive.
Britain and Spain were fighting the Jenkins Ear War, but Spain, in its old age, actually fought the classic "Battle of Cartagena" in Colombia.Elsewhere the British seemed to have won, but they had actually lost strategically.
Fighting a war is not only based on the ratio of battle losses, but also depends on whether the two sides have reached their strategic expectations.Britain's strategic expectation was to gain hegemony in the Atlantic Ocean and the Caribbean Sea, but the Battle of Cartagena completely shattered Britain's strategic expectation and could not be achieved.
In fact, the war has reached this stage, and peace talks between Britain and the West are possible.The offensive side's strategic expectations are all over, and the defensive side is basically powerless to fight back. If there is no peace negotiation, it is just procrastinating there, and it is purely meaningless war.Now they can only rob each other's ships at sea and play with each other.
France was put on the same side by Prussia. Liu Yu said it was easy, to hold on for two or three years, until the time for a strategic counterattack.But France's finances will only last for two or three years.
Prussia wanted to take Silesia and weaken Austria.The United Kingdom only wants to disgust France. When France cannot be disgusted and France counterattacks in an all-round way, Britain will certainly not get cheap. The problem is that France has neither command of the sea nor can it land in London. What can it do if it continues to fight?
Two major contradictions in Europe.
Contradictions between Britain, France and Spain in overseas colonies.
Prussia and Austria, who is Germany's contradiction.
Neither of these two contradictions can be resolved in this war.On the day when it is really impossible to fight, they will all take a breather and cease the war, recuperate, expand the army and prepare for war, and prepare for the next wave to directly resolve these two major contradictions.
To realize Liu Yu's vision of the next European decisive battle of "China, France, Russia, Austria, vs. Britain, Denmark, Prussia, and Portugal", today's spoils sharing secret meeting is extremely important.
The basis of the Franco-Austrian alliance is that France cannot eat the Austrian Netherlands, which was later the Belgian region.
Only in this way, the contradiction between France and Austria will take a backseat, and the contradiction between Prussia and Austria, which has eaten Silesia, can rise to the main contradiction.
If France does not eat Belgium, it is possible for the Netherlands to be neutral and restore the French-Dutch relationship.By the way, let the son-in-law of the King of England, William of Orange and his wife, get out, stop being a consul, and change to a great speaker who is pro-French, or who seems to be pro-French.
From the inside, this is "for the benefit of Dashun, let France eat less".
The core is such a core, how to say it, how to express it, it is best to express it as "for the sake of France", this is the key.
Like the counselors in those ancient stories, Liu Yu asked the King three questions.
At sea, can France beat the British fleet?
Louis XV shook his head.
On land, can the British land in Europe and win the French army?
Louis XV still shook his head.
Can French colonial interests be easily given up?
Louis XV still shook his head.
The first two are common sense.
The latter, the interests of the colonies, have gained more weight in recent years.
There are riots and uprisings in the Java area, and French Caribbean sugar has made a lot of money in recent years.
Liu Yu's trade line of "American ginseng mink ice ballast stone" is worth millions of taels of cash every year.
The potential of France itself, after being squeezed by Louis XIV, has almost been squeezed.
The financial hole left by Louis XIV was blocked by the Mississippi bubble that the gambler finance minister used to spread the flowers with drums, but it was only blocked.No matter how much potential is squeezed, nothing can be squeezed out.
Like Dashun, the pressure, risk and difficulty of internal reform are too great.You can only jump out of the inside and go outside to find new increments.
The weight of the colony itself is already very high, and now with the addition of the American ginseng trade, the weight is even higher.A million taels of silver is really not a small amount, 180 million taels of silver can bring Austria back to life, a million taels a year is really a lot.
Moreover, it is easy to create a European anti-French alliance if it is not done well in Europe.
Louis XV still firmly believes that the interests of the colonies cannot be given up. This is not inconsistent with Liu Yu's idea of Dashun eating India and continuing to cooperate with France.
Because India is now less than one-fifth of Haiti to France.
The poor country known for eating mud cakes in later generations is now the pearl of France. It is worthwhile to exchange the whole of Canada before the ginseng trade.
India is now even further behind.
In fact, France is simply unable to attack in all directions. It is not the United Kingdom. It will be fine if it shrinks on the island and builds a navy.A circle of enemies around France, only the navy, had been dismembered long ago.
So after Louis XV shook his head three times in a row, Liu Yu made a statement.
"His Royal Highness, the reason why France has been able to switch to a strategic counter-offensive and has been able to do well in Europe is because France does not have an Achilles' heel."
"Britain has an Achilles' heel, and that is Hannover."
"The French navy is temporarily unable to compete with the British, so it is necessary to consider the possibility of the colony being captured by the British. Of course, after 45 years, Hannover will definitely not be able to hold it. If France can get Hannover, it will pinch the British. Clius' heel, available in exchange."
"As long as Britain doesn't give up Hannover for a day, France can pinch Britain's vulnerability at any time and guarantee a situation where at least it doesn't lose--if the Americas are lost, Hannover will be exchanged; if the Caribbean is lost, Hannover will be exchanged; Hannover change."
"Under the premise of not losing, continue to strengthen and increase the management of the colonies. When the colonies can win the British, it is the right choice to completely eat Hannover."
"Before it is capable of comprehensive victory in the colonies and on the sea, Hanover is the egg, the egg of Britain. It is in your hands."
"But if it's really crushed, there's nothing wrong with it. Don't eunuchs live well? On the contrary, they have lost one of their most vulnerable weaknesses. When men fight, they are afraid of being kicked in the crotch, but eunuchs don't have to be afraid."
"In your hand, you now have two particularly good cards. One is Hanover; the other is the Stuart family."
"Under unfavorable circumstances, Hannover doesn't mention it. Another card, it seems that it can only be consumed to strive for a favorable condition. It cannot fully exert its effect."
"If I play cards, and I can know the situation of the 45-year strategic counterattack. I suggest that another card, it is best to keep it and not consume it. When it is ready and has a great advantage, Play that card again and kill him with one move."
"If China doesn't attack the Netherlands, I think the situation in France will become even more ugly. At that time, you may consume that card and use offense instead of defense, but it is not cost-effective. I hope you try to keep it as much as possible."
"After finishing these two cards, I would like to ask, who do you think is the potential ally you most hope for if you want to take full advantage of the United Kingdom and invade the British Isles?"
This question has been continued, interlocking. After listening to the last question, Louis XV almost subconsciously replied: "Holland?"
(End of this chapter)
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