The richest man starts with a blind box

Chapter 604 Hao Jianguo talks about oil

Chapter 604 Hao Jianguo talks about oil
"The Fall of the New God?Or does it not exist? "On the 11th, the Wall Street Journal directly used this title as the headline on the front page.

The whole article uses a tone full of ridicule to describe the story that happened in the futures market yesterday. As promised, he bought oil futures.

Then he proved his stupidity and Mr. Buffett's foresight. The average purchase price of 20 US dollars, coupled with the closing price of 18.92 at the closing time, the loss reached about 1 US dollar, equivalent to 5%.

In just one day, the remaining fund of more than 190 billion US dollars shrank by 5% in one breath, so the Wall Street Journal did not hesitate to announce here that the new god of little Swift has fallen, or go further, Simply stating directly that there have never been any new gods in the financial market is directly negating all of Swift's previous achievements.

Naturally, the whole Wall Street was laughing at this, and some people celebrated his failure simply because they hated little Swift.

Some people rejoice because their unsold oil futures, which they have held in their hands, have a receiver and successfully avoid continuous losses, while others are just happy.

Of course, many people said in interviews with the media that although little Swift failed, he showed his noble character.

Knowing that the oil futures have been in decline for 10 consecutive days, in order to prove his sincerity, he even bought the oil futures at the last moment at the expense of investors' interests. I believe this must be Mr. Swift's doing It was a decision that came after many psychological struggles, and they felt genuine admiration for it.

After all, what a great thing it is to use the client's investment money to practice your integrity!

All in all, these guys have hacked little Swift into SB.

Ever since, the theory of little Swift's falling day came naturally, and it began to circulate on the Internet and in the circle.

But most people dismiss this, it's just a black man, ha ha!

If fellow Wall Streeters were in a frenzy, customers of the Broncos of the West were in despair.

I saw the Western Mustang Fund jumped out of the pit of oil futures, and escaped from the price of 28 dollars... Although the price is still a loss, but the loss is not much, they endured it and passed .

And thinking that they would have lost more, these people's mood suddenly improved a lot, so that there were a lot fewer people who came to the door to make trouble.

Then Little Swift entered at a price of 20 US dollars, but it fell to less than 19 US dollars. This mentality exploded in an instant. This is falling twice in the same place!

Many people were outraged, so they surrounded the building again, and the number of people was even higher than before. There were almost two to 300 people in the dark, and the entire building was tightly surrounded.

Leading the charge was a black man in red, holding a sign aloft and shouting "RNM! Little Swift, get your money back!"

"RNM, little Swift, get your money back!!" A large group of people behind shouted, and at the same time, some people wanted to rush into the building, making the security of the building feel like an enemy.

To be fair, if Little Swift had not paid them double wages, and at the same time each of them still held a long gun in their hands, they might have run away at this time.

But it is still uncomfortable now, because more investors continue to join the demonstrations, and these people continue to oppress the defense circle formed by the security guards.

Of course, someone had called the police a long time ago, and the American police had already arrived at the scene, but they were all watching, without any intention of going up to take action.

After all, these people were attacking a private office building, not the Capitol... Even if they really stormed the Capitol, they probably wouldn't stop them.

These policemen are here to work, not to risk their lives. There is no need to give up their lives for a little salary.

Not to mention, in fact, some big figures have secretly asked them to give these demonstrators a little convenience, as long as no lives are caused.

At this time, Little Swift, who was sitting in the office, was smiling wryly at the demonstrators in the monitor. Boss Huang beside him was smiling, and Hao Jianguo was also by his side.

Since joining the Wild Horse Fund in the West, Hao Jianguo has been highly valued by Huang He. As long as Huang He comes to the foundation, he will definitely have Hao Jianguo by his side and ask him for some opinions from time to time.

"Boss, I think it's better to deal with the demonstrators below, otherwise I'm afraid something big will happen!" Little Swift said.

"That's fine, it wouldn't be beautiful if someone died!" Huang He nodded. Although the lives of the American people are not worth much, if they were killed at this time, it would be a great joy.

"Then have you thought about how to deal with the crisis?" Huang He asked back.

"I'll go down and persuade them myself, at worst, let them beat me up!" Little Swift said resolutely, as if he was ready to be beaten up.

"If you go on like this, I won't even think about coming back alive!" Huang He rolled his eyes, and then said to Hao Jianguo, "Jianguo, what do you think? Do you have any way to deal with this crisis?"

"Yes!" Hao Jianguo said after thinking for a while, "I think the most important thing right now is to appease these investors. Why don't I go down and talk to all the investors later. Tell them, it will take another five days at most. In time, the price of oil futures will definitely rise again, if not rise.”

"How can it be so simple? You are not Buffett, they will not believe what you say!" Huang He laughed.

"Then what if I'm willing to be their hostage?" Hao Jianguo gritted his teeth and said, "I'm still the middle management of the company. I'll go down and be their hostage and stay with them. If the oil futures don't rise in the next five days, I'll let them deal with it!"

"Oh!" Huang He's eyebrows twitched. "Do you really believe in the prediction made by Little Swift? When the market opened today, the price of oil futures continued to fall, and it has already fallen to $18.87 a barrel!"

"I trust Mr. Swift's judgment!" Hao Jianguo said.

"Hey, it's not a good thing to trust others' judgment too much, you have to make your own judgment!" Huang He shook his head and said.

"Yes, I said something wrong, I believe in my own judgment! I think oil futures will definitely rise within three days!" Hao Jianguo said.

"What reason? Let you make such a judgment?" Huang He asked back.

"Because everyone has fallen into a misunderstanding, most investors only see the continuous decline in oil prices, but they do not see that the market is actually in a state of imbalance between supply and demand, and the supply of oil is far less Because of the oil order!" Hao Jianguo said.

"In fact, since the beginning of last year's war, the global oil production has been maintained at about 4 million barrels per day, but the daily oil demand is about 800 million barrels, and there is a shortfall of 5 million barrels. Since last year, the price of oil futures has continued to rise, which is essentially the simplest reason for the imbalance between supply and demand.”

"But because it coincided with the war at that time, everyone took it for granted that the cause was the cause of the outbreak of the war, thus ignoring the essential imbalance between supply and demand."

"As a result, with the arrest of Assam, the price of oil futures began to fall... This is because the market expects Assam to be arrested, and many people hold a large number of oil inventory orders for investment. People began to sell their orders and put the stock of oil on the market for sale, and this, coupled with the new oil produced every day, led to an oversupply of oil, so that the price began to continue to decline.”

"In the final analysis, our foundation is also responsible for this. After all, we threw out all the oil futures orders worth 190 billion in one go, which caused more than 8 million barrels of oil to appear on the futures market, directly destroying the entire market. The supply far outstrips the demand, further contributing to the plunge in the price of oil, to the point where it is nearly $18 a barrel today.”

"Our Wild Horse Fund in the West is like a reservoir, with 190 billion tons of water on weekdays, and when all the water is released one day, it will cause the small river that was gradually drying up to suddenly become a wild flood peak, A lot of land was flooded and it looked like the whole market was collapsing."

"But it's all just a facade, OPEC never announced that it was going to be worse, and even because of the recent plunge in oil prices, OPEC announced that it will cut oil production by 60 barrels per day, increasing the daily oil deficit from 200 million barrels to 260 million barrels , further increasing the imbalance between supply and demand.”

"In addition, China's demand for oil is getting higher and higher. I have noticed that this year's oil demand in China has increased by a full 30 barrels compared with the same period last year, which will further increase the gap to 290 million barrels."

"But all these demand gaps are insignificant when we release as much as 8 million barrels of crude oil."

"But yesterday, we used all the funds to buy back crude oil, which is equivalent to filling the empty reservoir with water in an instant."

"This water doesn't just come out of thin air, it has to be harvested from the daily flow, and other reservoir releases, which are higher than our previous storage, reaching nearly 10 billion barrels of crude oil , Such a terrifying inventory has basically sucked up all the stock in the market now."

"The reason why the price will be lowered at the opening of the market today is because the only stock left in the market has been purchased, but so many industries in the world are waiting for oil every day, and their daily crude oil demand of nearly 5100 million barrels will not decrease. , they must buy 5 million barrels of crude oil in the futures market today.”

"But now the daily crude oil production is only 4 million barrels, and besides us, I am afraid that there is not much reserve left in the market. Even if there is, because the price has approached the bottom line of 740 dollars a barrel, those people may Crude oil will not be sold easily again!"

"So I estimate that there will soon be a situation where some people hold banknotes but can't buy crude oil. Then there is only one choice for them, which is to increase the price to buy more expensive oil!" Hao Jianguo said with a smile.

(End of this chapter)

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