1825 My New Daming

Chapter 50 Predict, when will the war break out? (Seek collection, monthly pass, recommendation, follow-up)

Inside the auditorium, there was no sound.

Everyone was thinking about what Zhuge Weidao said.

Although Daming has "counseled" for more than 100 years, in the past 100 years, Daming has undoubtedly been the pole of the world!
Although the tail of the British Empire is raised high, it also stretches its claws very long.However, the hegemony over the central and eastern part of the Eurasian continent and the North Pacific is still firmly controlled by Ming.Britain's control over India and the Strait of Malacca was also realized on the premise of ensuring the economic interests of Ming Dynasty - this kind of control was actually "buy" by the British with real money, not by strong ships and guns .

Over the past 100 years, Daming has been exporting handicrafts and industrial products through Britain and the Netherlands, while importing gold and silver.This means that the capital needed by Ming to develop industrialization can be easily obtained without plundering and colonizing. Since most of the silver and a considerable part of gold that Europeans plundered from the New World flowed into Ming, this means that Europe itself is The largest market for the export of Daming industrial products and handicraft products.

The resources needed for the development of industrialization in Ming Dynasty, such as cotton, soybeans, rubber, palm oil, coal mines, iron ore, petroleum, tin ore, timber, rice, etc., can either be obtained from the vast mainland, or from overseas provinces and Siam Luo, Annan, Ava and other Southeast Asian vassal states obtained.

Of course, India also has a huge market.But India has always been a surplus country in commodity exports until it was conquered by the Europeans.It is difficult to import foreign goods into India. Historically, it was difficult for the foreign cloth produced in Great Britain after the industrial revolution to open up the market in India, and finally had to use administrative means to destroy the production of homespun cloth in India.

And Ming's national policy has always been to expand the country and not engage in colonization. Seeing a place like India with a larger population than Ming (currently India's population is not as large as that of Ming), of course we have to go around.

So Daming didn't care too much about the expansion of the British Empire in India—even if he did, he didn't know what to do?It seems stupid to help India to resist Britain. If India rises and becomes a white-eyed wolf, then Daming, don’t cry blind?

And competing with the UK for India doesn't seem to be in line with Ming's national policy. It won't be a colony if it is seized, and it will be even worse if it is a native country!

Moreover, shipping at that time was still in the stage of transition from sail to steam, and Ming's sail battleship was still no match for Great Britain (King Zhuge Wuzhong didn't understand sailing and sailing, and he didn't have a golden finger to drive), and the distance between the two sides was far enough. Without the Suez Canal, there are [-] nautical miles. If you use sailboats to transport troops, it is impossible to pose a threat to such a long-distance industrialized country.

Therefore, Daming chose to maintain a "win-win relationship" with the United Kingdom-for Daming, who had some excess production after industrialization, there was really no reason to go to war with his largest market.

But such a harmonious situation, as the world becomes "smaller and smaller" and Britain fully realizes industrialization, is about to and will definitely come to an end!
However, when this "soon" will become a reality is still a question mark.

"Daozi," Li Tiezhu, Chief of Naval Intelligence, was the first to ask, "How much time is left for peace?"

Standing in front of a huge world map, Zhuge Weidao replied: "When the technological progress brought about by the industrial revolution comes to an end, peace will end at that time, and a world war will inevitably break out. Because when technological progress comes to an end, the world economy will lack incremental growth for a long period of time, which will allow various powerful countries to turn to stock competition.

At the same time, due to the mismatch between the huge production capacity brought about by the industrial revolution and the market demand, as well as the supply capacity of raw materials, there will be a large surplus of production after the temporary stop of technological progress.The competition for markets and raw materials will definitely push Ming and Great Britain towards hostility.

Furthermore, due to the technological advancements brought about by the Industrial Revolution, our world was actually 'shrunk', making it possible for one superpower to dominate the world's oceans!

Finally, due to the rapid advancement of military technology, the great powers, including Great Britain and Rakshasa, have an illusion that they are powerful, which will also make them unprecedentedly belligerent! "

"Daozi," Li Tiezhu asked again, "can you do the math, when will the peace end?"

Of course, Zhuge Weidao can't forget that he has not disclosed his identity as a military adviser, and theoretically he has not obtained the "algorithm" passed down by his ancestors.But there are still people who will count!

Zhuge Weiyi, the naval armament officer, had already counted his fingers. After counting, he interjected: "Fifteen to 20 years! The tonnage of battleships will double in 20 to [-] years. By then, the standard of large battleships will The displacement will exceed [-] tons, the [-]mm caliber main gun may also appear, and the new fuel engine will provide the battleship with more than [-] horsepower. After that, it will be very difficult to continue to make progress. After all If the battleship is too large, the draft will become very deep, and the hull will become very wide. Many ports cannot be docked, and it is difficult to pass through places with shallow water and narrow channels. In addition, to maintain a high speed, it is necessary to develop super large power of the marine main engine”

This is the benefit of being able to pinch and count!
This was almost the case with the battleships during World War I. Although the technology improved again during World War II, the speed of progress slowed down significantly, which was not comparable to the speed of technological progress of warships before World War I.

With the continuous advancement of military technology, the officers of the army and navy will feel that they are not ready, so the war is not easy to break out.And once technological progress slows down significantly, officers will feel that they already have the most powerful weapons. If they don't fight now, when will they wait?
At this time Zhuge Weidao took over the topic and said: "Fifteen to 20 years is not too long, we can prepare for this inevitable war now. This is not because we want to start a war, but because we We have to face a war! Everything we do now is for the sake of securing victory in the future!"

The people in the auditorium turned their attention to Zhuge Weiyi, who is "able to pinch and count". Prepare too!"

Zhuge Weiyi is the military advisor of the Zhuge family, so his words certainly represent the military advisor group!

The officials present have long been accustomed to being guided by the military division to handle affairs, although they sometimes feel that the military division is a bit cowardly.But for more than 100 years, those who have followed these counselors to invest have made a lot of money, so it is right to listen to them!
"Daozi," asked the Minister of the Navy Department, Zheng Guoan, King of Yanping County, "How should we prepare?"

"Reporting to Shangshu," Zhuge Weidao said, "I believe that our preparations should be divided into two aspects. One is that we should prepare ourselves not to hope for a quick victory, but to prepare for a war that will last ten years. !"

Ten years is Zhuge Weidao's prediction of the duration of a possible world war on this timeline - in another timeline, World War I lasted just over four years because the Allies ran out of resources And had to surrender conditionally and ended.However, the resources possessed by the Allies are completely incomparable to those of the two world empires, Great Britain and Ming Dynasty.Moreover, the homelands of Great Britain and Great Ming are far away from each other, and they will hardly be directly attacked by their opponents, so they can both have a relatively stable rear, and it is even more impossible to admit defeat easily.

Zhuge Weidao now says "ten years", which is still a rather optimistic expectation.If you are pessimistic, a 30-year war is possible!

But the people present didn't realize how terrible this war that might last for ten years was, and everyone was a little eager to try it instead.

Zhuge Weidao went on to say: "The second preparation we have to do is to make the enemy weak and weak as much as possible before the war begins. Now I can think of two specific methods. One is to try to provoke the British and The war between the kingdoms of Jin plunged the UK into the quagmire of war in Central Asia, which exhausted its national strength and lost its prestige; the second was to use the opportunity of launching negotiations on limiting naval armaments and dividing spheres of influence to deceive and mislead the UK so that they would be ineffective Consume limited financial resources on the armament project.

According to my estimation, we may not be able to reach their homeland in this battle with the UK until the end. The outcome depends on exhausting their financial resources and depriving them of their most valuable colonies! "

　Zhang pushes a new book in the late Ming Dynasty "Chongzhen's Great Ming Dynasty" that has already been put on the shelves

　　After Zhu Youjian traveled through Chongzhen, he found that he had only a hanging rope and an old eunuch. Standing on Meishan, he watched Li Zicheng's men and horses running around in the palace, wanting to cry but not crying.

　　Anyway, give me a system!

　　Anyway, give me a plug-in!

　　Anyway, give me some money!

　　Nothing, nothing, death starts...

　　
　
(End of this chapter)