How China Entertainment was developed

Chapter 763: Benford’s Law: Michael Bay lied about military information

3485.82万人民币票房、2727.42万人民币票房、2680.28万人民币票房、4482.6万人民币票房、4215.68万人民币票房。

In addition to the zero-a-day screening and early small-scale screening, the box office was more than 4 million yuan.

"Knife of the Assassin 2" took in 1.76 million RMB in its first week during the mid-to-late July release period.

This is nearly twice as much as the cumulative box office of the previous movie, "Xiu Chun Knife 1", which was over million yuan before it was released.

This large gap is reflected on the one hand because of the increasing popularity of the mainland film market, and on the other hand because of the charm of series films being chased by capital.

Because if it really counts.

The quality of this movie "Xiu Chun Dao 2" is far inferior to that of "Xiu Chun Dao 1", but after blazing a trail with the previous film, it easily gained huge popularity with ordinary quality. success.

But this kind of box office success is frivolous.

For example, after the first week, the box office of "Xiu Chun Knife 2" in the second week quickly fell below million yuan in a single day.

Because there is a rule in mathematics called Benford’s law:
In a bunch of data derived from real life, the probability of numbers with 1 as the first digit appearing is about 1% of the total, which is close to three times the expected value of 9/3 derived from intuition.

We must know that the box office of "Journey to the West: Conquering the Demons", which was released during the Spring Festival, was only 1186.32 million yuan in the zero-hour show, which was less than one-third of the box office of "The Founding of the People's Republic" in the zero-hour show.

This is especially because "Wolf Warrior 2" has a cameo by Zhang Nan, and the domestic films with Zhang Nan's guest appearance in recent years have been a bit scary at the box office. It seems that Zhang Nan has brought the name of box office mascot back to the mainland, so Huaying also wants to avoid the limelight.

That is the zero-point box office of "The Founding of the People's Republic of China", which was as high as 3806.8 million yuan, bringing the first-week box office data of "The Founding of the People's Republic of China" to 2.03 million yuan.

The box office was RMB 5481.62 million, the box office was RMB 5503.55 million, and the box office was RMB 5558.13 million.

This is the single-day box office data for the first three days of "The Founding of an Army".

Just from the single-day box office data that is full of the number five, you can see that there is a lot of water in it.

Of course.

then……

[The Founding of the People's Republic of China] Counting the two digits after the decimal point, eight of the 18 numbers appear. This is close to 50% of the occurrence probability, which can well prove the [The Founding of the People's Republic of China] in these three days. The single-day box office data is very wet.

Of course.

This is not only due to the decline in the quality of [Xiu Chun Dao 2].

Generally speaking, the larger the number, the lower the probability of the number starting with it appearing.

The reason for this is not only because Zhang Nan used the favors obtained in [Jurassic World 3] in advance.

But there is one most important point.

It would also make sense if it were explained that mainland audiences currently have a huge demand for patriotic films.

Also because of the influence of Zhang Nan on "The Great Cause of Army Building", China Film decided to release "Wolf Warrior 2" in advance and avoid it.

This rule can be used to check whether various data are falsified.

After all, "Wolf Warrior 2" will be released in a few days, and "Wolf Warrior 2" at this time in the original time and space has already been released. It has also set a shocking box office record of 56 billion yuan in the mainland movie market.

but……

The box office for the second week of "The Founding of a Republic" was directly on a steady downward curve, which somewhat refutes this view. However, after the wave of attempts to use traffic niches to save the "Jianguo" series of gift films failed.

Huaying has been completely disappointed with the "Jian" series of gift films, and plans to end the "Jian" series with a trilogy.

……

Tuesday, October 8th.

It is also the premiere of [Wolf Warrior 2].

Zhang Nan has already asked for leave in advance from Peter Jackson, the director of [The Legend of Sauron 3].

Even Peter Jackson wanted to leave his stall and join in the fun.

Without it.

After New Line Cinema squeezed his director's salary in "The Legend of Sauron 3", Peter Jackson deeply knew that he had to have other projects that he could produce, otherwise he would be too easily manipulated.

Wu Jin's direct transition from actor to action film director is worth observing.

Not to mention that Wu Jin also has a series of projects such as "Hurricane Rescue", "Martial Arts Spin-off", etc., which are worthy of Peter Jackson to take over, so meeting and saying hello in advance is quite necessary.

It's just that Peter Jackson's behavior was stopped by the producers arranged by New Line Cinema, which was already somewhat strapped for funds.

If the crew works for one more day, it will cost tens of thousands of dollars.

However, although Zhang Nan no longer had Peter Jackson to follow him, he was unexpectedly entangled by Michael Bay who came from North America.

"Zhang, Paramount Pictures decided to hand over the [Transformers] series project to a rich second-generation director. Do you know about this?" Michael Bay said to Zhang Nan nervously.

Zhang Nan was stunned when he heard this, and then recalled the Nike successor Travis Knight whom he met at the premiere of "Jurassic World 3".

"Did he really do this?" Zhang Nan said in surprise.

When Michael Bay heard Zhang Nan's surprising words, he suddenly became excited, "Zhang, did you agree to this?"

I can't help but feel excited about Michael Bay, because he is now older and has less creative passion. The only series he can still produce is "Transformers".

If this was taken away again, he would be completely helpless.

“We have worked so well together over the years, how could I agree.

At first, the boy did specifically ask me to cooperate with the premise, but I immediately ignored him. Afterwards, I asked Old Luke to contact Paramount Pictures to let Paramount Pictures know my thoughts. .

But the copyright of the [Transformers] series is still in the hands of Paramount Pictures after all, so if Paramount Pictures makes a decision now, I have no other choice, but...

Can Paramount Pictures agree to hand over [Transformers 5] to a rich second generation with little experience?
This is billions of dollars, and the damage to the surrounding income can reach tens of billions of dollars in business. "Zhang Nan quickly denied it, but in the end he was a little confused, and even began to suspect that Michael Bay in front of him was lying to him about the 'military information'.

"Forehead……"

After hearing what Zhang Nan said, Michael Bay also breathed a sigh of relief, and then after a moment of awkward silence, he explained: "Actually, Paramount Pictures did not give him the [Transformers 5] project, it was just I’m considering whether to hand over the spin-off project of the [Transformers] series to him.”

Zhang Nan: "..."

You are really lying about the military situation!

(End of this chapter)