When I write a bug it becomes the core gameplay.
Chapter 642 Changing Probability
Chapter 642 Changing Probability
This number really surprised Li Wenhao.
Of course, probability is a very imaginary thing and can only be used as an approximation. Even events with very low probabilities are not completely impossible to happen.
And once it happens, the probability is 100%.
But no matter what, there is an 87% chance of successfully surviving the tribulation, which means that Li Wenhao doesn't need to make too many preparations and can just rush forward without thinking.
"Thanks."
After Li Wenhao finished speaking, he was about to walk towards the tribulation site.
This place looks like a huge meteorite crater. No one knows how many times it has been struck by lightning. Even the ground at the bottom of the crater has become crystallized.
However, the street rat stopped Li Wenhao again and said, "Wait a minute, brother!
“There is other information as well.
"What you are about to endure now is a low-level thunder tribulation, which is 0.8 times the thunder tribulation of a golden elixir."
Li Wenhao was stunned for a moment: "Oh? Can you see this too?
"That's OK, it's still within expectations."
As a player who was forced to mature to the foundation-building stage by Time Loan, and then slacked off to practice to the great perfection of the foundation-building stage, Li Wenhao has a very good idea of the strength of his account.
If the account is weak, then the thunder tribulation it endures will naturally be weak.
Li Wenhao didn't expect that he could survive 1.5 times the super strong thunder tribulation. If he really encountered it, he would probably die.
However, just as he was about to leave, the street rat stopped him again.
"Wait a minute, brother!"
Li Wenhao was a little speechless: "Can't you just say it all at once!"
The Street Rat explained, “You can’t type that fast!
“The matter of thunder tribulation is quite complicated, how about we talk about it on the mic, and I will analyze it for you in more detail.
"Don't worry, these are additional services for checking the probability of thunder tribulation. There is no additional charge."
Li Wenhao thought about it and said, "Okay."
Soon, the two connected using in-game voice.
“Brother, your 87% success rate in overcoming the tribulation is quite high, but to be honest, it’s a bit of a loss.
"Because the success rate of this tribulation is too high."
Li Wenhao didn't react for a moment: "What do you mean?"
The Street Rat explained: "It means it's a waste!
“The success rates of overcoming different thunder tribulations can roughly be converted into each other.
“For example, if you were to withstand a medium-level thunder tribulation, that is, a 1.0 times Jindan thunder tribulation, your success rate would probably drop to around 72%, which is still a very good probability.
“If you were to withstand a high-grade or top-grade thunder tribulation, which is 1.2 or even 1.5 times the power of a golden elixir, the success rate would drop to 50% or even 10%, which is not worth it.
"Do you understand what I mean?"
Li Wenhao thought for a moment and said, "You mean the difference in expected returns?"
The Street Rat was very happy: "Yes, yes, that's what I mean!"
Li Wenhao roughly understood what this meant, that is, there will be an optimal choice between risk and return.
If we calculate directly:
87% success rate forms 0.8 times the golden elixir, which is 69.6;
The 72% success rate of forming a 1x golden elixir is multiplied by 72.
Judging from the results, the latter is obviously more cost-effective.
Of course, if it is 1.2 times or 1.5 times the golden elixir, this value will become 60 or even 15 respectively, which is obviously even less cost-effective.
Even without calculation, from a sensory point of view, it is more cost-effective to withstand a medium-level thunder tribulation.
Because the success rate only dropped from 87% to 72%, but the strength of the golden elixir increased from 0.8 to 1.0. The risk did not increase much, but the benefits increased a lot.
"But, isn't the strength of the thunder tribulation based on the strength of the character? This can't be changed," asked Li Wenhao.
The Street Rat quickly said, “No, no, no, it can be changed.
“To change directly from a low-grade thunder tribulation to a high-grade thunder tribulation requires too many resources, which is not cost-effective, but it is still possible to change to a medium-grade thunder tribulation.
"Isn't this what our Fate Star Pavilion does?
"Of course, some additional fees will be charged..."
Li Wenhao understood instantly, Oh, so he was waiting for me here!
Looking at the probability of thunder tribulation is just an appetizer. The 10 medium-grade spirit stones are indeed a cost price. The key lies in the value-added services that follow.
Li Wenhao subconsciously wanted to leave immediately, but then he thought again, there was no harm in listening.
Whether it is a liar or not, it is not difficult to identify it after listening to it.
The relevant mechanisms of this game are very complete, and all content related to the functions of the six major sects will have specific interfaces.
For example, when you applied for a time loan before, a special interface would pop up, and key information such as the loan term and cultivation level would be clearly displayed.
If this interface really exists, it is an officially supported function, and Li Wenhao can sign it if he thinks it is a good deal.
If this interface is not there, it means that the other party may be a liar, and Li Wenhao can just turn around and leave without any loss.
"Okay, then tell me how to do it."
The Street Rat said, "Wait a minute, I'll make an agreement."
About two minutes later, an interface called "Life Changing Agreement" popped up in Li Wenhao's field of vision. There was a lot of content here, and Li Wenhao frowned slightly. After reading it carefully, combined with the explanation of the street rat, he finally roughly understood the principle of this thing.
Simply put, the secret method of the Fate Star Pavilion, "Change Destiny against the Heaven's Will", has a special function, which is to modify the chances of successfully surviving one's own heavenly tribulation by consuming spirit stones and resources.
Modifying the success rate of the thunder tribulation will also lead to changes in the intensity of the thunder tribulation.
If the success rate of transcending the tribulation is increased, the intensity of the thunder tribulation will become weaker accordingly, and vice versa.
Not only that, within the range of the thunder tribulation, you can also take advantage of a small loophole by slightly modifying the success rate.
Assuming that the success rate of overcoming the tribulation is between 90% and 80%, it corresponds to low-level thunder tribulation; and the success rate of overcoming the tribulation is between 79% and 70%, it corresponds to medium-level thunder tribulation.
Then, let the people from the Fate Star Pavilion take action and increase the success rate of the thunder tribulation to 79%. This way, one can survive the medium thunder tribulation with the optimal probability, which is very cost-effective.
If we go purely by the system's probability, then the initial success rate of withstanding a moderate thunder tribulation might be around 71% or 73%.
This few percent extra success rate is still quite useful.
The content of the life-changing agreement prepared by Guojie Shu is: to use the sect's secret method to help Li Wenhao change the success rate of overcoming the tribulation from 87% to 72%.
As for the price, there are two options. One is a flat price of 100 medium-grade spirit stones; the other is to bring your own materials and a handling fee of 20 medium-grade spirit stones will be charged.
Li Wenhao was silent for a moment: "Then wait for me for a moment, I will check the prices at the auction house."
The street rat nodded: "No problem."
After saying that, he simply sat down on the spot and began to practice.
It can be seen that the disciples of Mingxing Pavilion have spread to the tribulation points of the major sects, and they try to develop as many business orders as possible when they come, otherwise their business may be snatched away by other fellow disciples.
Li Wenhao quickly returned to the sect and checked the prices of these materials.
The price does fluctuate around 80 medium-grade spirit stones.
From this point of view, the agreement of Guojieshu is quite fair and the charges are relatively reasonable.
The handling fee of 20 medium-grade spirit stones may seem a little expensive, but after all, only disciples of the Fate Star Pavilion can do this. People have already recharged 648 when they enter the game, so it is reasonable for them to make a little profit.
Li Wenhao bought the materials, which cost him more than half of his family fortune.
But considering that he will be in the Jindan stage for a long time in the future, this 1x Jindan is indeed a greater improvement than the 0.8x Jindan, so this deal is still worthwhile.
"Come on, trade."
When Li Wenhao signed the agreement, he traded these materials and the handling fee of 20 medium-grade spirit stones.
"Okay, I'll start now."
The Rat used the sect's secret method again. This time the scene was much bigger than the last time. Dense nebulae appeared in the sky, and they kept fluctuating and changing. If you didn't know, you would think it was a small thunder tribulation.
Then, a ray of light fell from the sky, passed through the dense nebula, and landed on the head of Li Wenhao's character.
"All right."
"Is this good?"
Li Wenhao was a little surprised because there was no display on the interface, and no prompt information about success or failure.
"Okay, then I'll go and survive the tribulation."
Li Wenhao followed the normal procedure and went to the big pit to survive the tribulation.
As the realm was broken through, the thunderclouds in the sky began to gradually gather and formed rolling thunder that continued to strike.
There are two different kinds of thunder tribulations in this game, one is area damage, and the other is damage that locks on the character.
Area damage can be avoided by dodging, but locked-on damage can only be endured.
If you have some special pills or magic weapons, you can use them now.
However, things like heavenly tribulations are inherently random, and the damage of each heavenly thunder is random within a certain range.
"Come on! Keep going!"
The other members of Tou Fangfang's cultivation group were watching from a distance, cheering Li Wenhao on.
They all saw the whole process of Li Wenhao negotiating the agreement with Guojie Shu, but they didn't think there was anything wrong with it, so they didn't stop it.
After all, being able to produce a stronger golden elixir is definitely a good thing. Since Li Wenhao thinks it is worth it, he might as well buy it.
Chen Tingquan whispered to Liang Chun beside him: "Is this heavenly tribulation okay? Is it a medium-level heavenly tribulation?"
Liang Chun: "I just searched it online, it should be a medium-level heavenly tribulation."
Different levels of heavenly tribulations will have different manifestations. There will be differences in size, brightness, shape, density of tribulation clouds, etc., and they can be seen by careful observation.
Chen Tingquan was worried that there might be some traps here, so he asked a few more questions. Now it seems that he might have been worrying too much.
"Crack!"
Another huge thunderbolt fell from the sky, and Li Wenhao saw the eye-catching lightning effects on the ground. However, when he wanted to roll away, there was a small flaw in his operation, and he only rolled to the edge and failed to completely leave the range!
The moment the thunder struck, Li Wenhao's character flew out from the air like a broken bag. As soon as he landed, he was accurately hit by another thunder.
"Hey, stop it!"
Li Wenhao tried hard to operate, but the character was struck by lightning continuously and could not move.
In the end, he watched helplessly as his character turned into a wisp of ash and disappeared in the air.
(End of this chapter)
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