After divorce, I can hear the voice of the future
Chapter 155: Beginning to Short the Pound
Chapter 155: Beginning to Short the Pound
Noon on the 18th, 12: Beijing time.
London time is 7 hours behind. It is now 120 a.m. there and the voting channel will be opened in minutes.
4.24 sites are counted simultaneously.
It starts at 7am and lasts until 10pm. The counting ends at 10:15pm and the voting results are announced.
The first drama of this year is about to begin, and media from various countries have released poll data from the past two months.
The latest opinion polls show that the support rates for "Remain in the EU" and "Leave the EU" are almost the same, either 51 to 49, 49 to 51, or 50 to 50.
The result of this referendum is full of suspense, as if no one can be sure until the last moment.
The public voting channel for Brexit will open at 2:00 p.m. Beijing time (7:00 a.m. London time).
Media from all over the world rushed to report on the event, and even Station C set up a channel and invited several international political experts to conduct a 15-hour live broadcast.
The foreign exchange market is turbulent, the UK and US exchange rates are rising steadily, and a large number of long positions are already being built. They firmly believe that old Britain will never leave the European Union.
The exchange rate between the UK and the US dollar rose by 120 points to 1.4970, and is about to break through the 1.5000 mark.
The results will not be announced until 15 hours later, so Lu Liang is not in a hurry to sell in large quantities at this moment. Only by building a position at the highest point can he maximize his profits.
Lu Liang told Sun Yutao, Zhang Jing and others to sell small amounts now and not to rush in the first few hours.
"I'm going to sleep for a while. If you don't come out before 12 o'clock at night, knock on the door and wake me up."
Of the full fifteen hours of voting time, the first ten hours, or even fourteen hours, are just garbage time.
The foreign exchange market has active trading volume and the market conditions are changing rapidly. The winner or loser may just be in the last minute or two.
You have to wait until at least 4 a.m. Beijing time, as that is when the battle between bulls and bears is most intense.
"Okay, Mr. Lu." Wen Chao's eyes were full of admiration, and his respect for Lu Liang was beyond words.
This is a truly big-hearted player, although I don’t know how much money Lu Liang has invested.
But he first went to State Street Bank and then went to Hong Kong in person to negotiate with HSBC.
Judging from this, the investment should be considerable, at least half of the capital, or US$500 million.
Lu Liang went to the lounge next door. He tossed and turned and couldn't sleep, so he opened Twitter and planned to check the foreign news.
As soon as he came online, he saw a bunch of people mocking him: "Liangzi, the referendum has started, why are you pretending to be dead?"
He also posted a picture, saying that he was long on the British pound, using 400 times leverage, and had now made a profit of 2 US dollars.
Lu Liang had no time to deal with these clowns, because he saw Soros update his status, claiming: Britain dare not leave the EU. If it leaves the EU, the pound will plummet by 30%, causing indelible damage to the national economy.
"What time is it? How old are you? Why don't you take a rest?"
Lu Liang responded directly, saying that he couldn't stand this old guy giving orders and that he was a staunch supporter of the China threat theory.
Born in 1930 and 86 years old this year, Mr. Suo’s existence is the best interpretation of the saying that an old man who is still alive is a thief.
Whenever there is an international event, they will stand up and point fingers.
Two months ago, people were bearish on the pound. The more they bearishly predicted the pound would rise, the faster it would rise, and a large number of retail short sellers were harvested.
This is also his usual style. It is estimated that he is secretly going long on the pound and letting retail investors help carry the sedan chair.
After Lu Liang finished his argument, he was ready to rest. It was three o'clock in the afternoon, three o'clock in the morning American time. It was probably not him who was speaking.
Unexpectedly, Lao Suo replied to him: I am in Europe and just got up. I heard that you think Britain will leave the EU?
Lu Liang was surprised, but did not respond directly: "Is Quantum Fund going long on the British pound?"
Soros hesitated for a long time and did not respond directly: "If Britain does not leave the EU, the pound will continue to appreciate in the future."
Although he has been pessimistic about the pound, the premise of his pessimism is that the UK will not leave the EU, and he also believes that it will not leave the EU.
Lu Liang replied: "There are still 13 hours left, and we will know the outcome then." "Young man, it's a good thing to have ideas. I hope it will be what you want." Soros' words were full of arrogance.
Although Lu Liang did not express any intention of short selling, his views are already very obvious and go against the mainstream.
The news of the two men's few words quickly spread around the world because it represented a face-to-face dialogue between the most prestigious speculators from the East and the West.
One indicates a bullish outlook, while the other is suspected to be bearish. The referendum result in 13 hours will determine the winner of both sides.
Seeing the relevant comments, Lu Liang couldn't help but sneer: "There is no such thing as winning or losing. This world is not black and white."
Bulls can be bears, and bears can be longs. Everything depends on whether the UK leaves the EU or not.
If it doesn't delist, the pound will probably rise a few points and end uneventfully. If it does delist, the only people who will be hurt are the British people.
Because at that time, speculators around the world, whether long or short, will become short sellers, wielding their sickles to reap the wealth of old Britain.
Lu Liang was planning to take a rest in preparation for tonight's big battle, when he suddenly saw Xiao Mantou, who was still defending him in a passionate confrontation with someone else.
Because it was so shiny and didn't look like an artificial product at all, he was deeply impressed by this welfare girl.
So, he looked through the backstage to see if there was any message from her, and he sent him 38 messages in total.
"God Lu, I also want to short the British pound and then go ashore. Can you give me some instructions, even a number or a symbol will do."
Starting two months ago, every few days, she would post a similar message with a photo that was much clearer than the one in the comment section.
After reading all the messages, Lu Liang felt uncomfortable and understood her thoughts. She wanted to follow him and short the pound, but Lu Liang's remarks were ambiguous, which made her unable to make up her mind.
"."
Lu Liang thought about it, replied with a period with a smile on his face, and then closed Twitter.
The moment the message was sent, Qingyin received it. She was overjoyed: "Wakaka~ It works. I'm going ashore."
As time passed, official media from various countries had reporters stationed abroad, standing at the entrance of polling stations to randomly interview voters.
The results reached by the media of China, Japan and the United States are still 49 to 51, 51 to 49, or 50 to 50.
Thirteen hours have passed and the situation remains the same. The situation is extremely tense and it seems that the outcome will not be known until the last moment.
It’s 120 a.m. Beijing time, and there are only minutes left before the voting channel closes.
Lu Liang came to the trading room. In the past thirteen hours, the pound had risen by another 100 points, breaking through the 1.5000 mark.
The current exchange rate between the UK and the US is 1.5050.
Lu Liang checked his account. There were 77 billion pounds, and only 12 billion pounds had been consumed so far, with 65 billion chips left.
Since their account had a margin of $5.5 million, the maximum loss they could accept was £2.69 million.
They have only invested 12 billion pounds, and unless the UK-US exchange rate breaks 2, they will not be liquidated anyway.
It was almost three in the morning, with only 60 minutes left, which was nine in the evening London time and three in the afternoon American time.
If you are in the London gold market, then this period is also the most active trading period of the day.
At least 20% of the daily trading volume of 10 trillion US dollars occurs during this period.
After all, Western countries pay more attention to financial markets.
The same is true for the foreign exchange market.
As three o'clock approached, sentiment in the British and American foreign exchange markets gradually soared, generating over one billion transactions per minute.
Lu Liang narrowed his eyes, knowing that the best time to sell had come, and immediately ordered: "Start selling."
(End of this chapter)
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