Coquettish Rebirth

Now that the sharks with a keen sense of smell from all walks of life are starting to make money to invest in heavy industry, electrolytic aluminum, steel, and even the automobile industry, are Jia Hongjian and the others going to follow? Rush?Because Jia Hongjian did a little research and found that in three years, the production capacity of such a state-owned company is about 3 tons a year, but the market demand in three years is as high as 3 tons!At the same time, Chinalco and Minmetals have the qualifications to import aluminum from abroad!At the same time, due to the shortage of aluminum in the market, the price of aluminum ingots rose rapidly from 11 yuan per ton to 13 yuan per ton at the end of the year!Not to mention the price of Chinalco's imported aluminum ingots from overseas, but to say that the cost of the aluminum ingots they produce is about 37 yuan per ton, which means that they sell the 1 tons they produce to the market, and the rate of return is close to 3. %!And you must know that there were almost no private or collectively owned electrolytic aluminum factories in the country at that time, and all state-owned aluminum factories were owned by Chinalco!Such a Chinalco is a group of aircraft carriers at the national level!So such a group has made a lot of money in 3 years!

Then everyone has made so much money, should Jia Hongjian follow Liu Yongxing and enter such an industry with a sum of money?How much money can you earn by then?Let's spend 100 billion and build a factory with a production capacity of 3 tons. After a few years, the output will be maximized, and then the annual sales of 100 billion will be directly achieved!And according to the ratio between this cost and selling price, we can earn 100 million out of 6 billion!6 million a year, this is all eyeing a third of Huaxia Hi-Tech!Surely the investment is worth it?Not worth it!Because such a wave of heavy industry is advancing by leaps and bounds, the actual incentives are the lack of electricity and the price increase of coal!Three years ago, the coal industry was in a downturn!Who heard of the coal boss 3 years ago?Absolutely not!But in 3, the country wanted to liberate the coal industry. ..Let the coal industry no longer stumble, liberate various coal guide prices, and then the price of coal has gradually risen this year.At the same time, because of the contradiction between the coal industry and the power industry, power companies are unwilling to buy more coal, resulting in a shortage of electricity.The result of power shortages is rising costs for heavy industry.Rising costs will inevitably lead to a sharp rise in market prices.This is the same as the effect of the 8-year oil price storm!If ignored.Then after the price increase of heavy industry, the result will be passed on to light industry within one or two years, and then passed on to all walks of life!Even garment factories could experience rising costs due to power shortages.This then leads to price increases.Possibly all chickens will be unable to use electricity to incubate eggs throughout the year due to insufficient electricity, resulting in a significant reduction in the supply of chicken, resulting in an increase in the price of meat!

Governing a big country is like cooking small fish, every link is interlocking!For the country, this means that an economic crisis is on the rise, and this is that an inflation is on the rise!If left alone.Then the result may be that within a few years, the prices of various domestic consumer goods have skyrocketed, which will lead to a rapid decline in the living standards of ordinary people, and the inexplicable evaporation of wealth!Then the consumption capacity of the society declines, leading to unsalable products, and just because of the price increase of the products before, a large amount of social investment will be invested in various production fields, so in the end structural overproduction of the whole society will be formed!The product cannot be sold, and the enterprise loses money.Companies have no choice but to fire employees, and if employees are fired, social consumption power will further decline, product sales will decrease, and finally the economic bubble will collapse!For the country.The abnormal prosperity of this kind of heavy industry must be controlled, not to mention that the cause of all this is caused by the hilltopism of the power sector! In January of 3, the central government began to attach great importance to the large influx of funds in the heavy industry field.After analysis and statistics, due to the shortage of electricity and a round of skyrocketing real estate prices in the past three years, in the three sectors of steel, electrolytic aluminum and cement, a large amount of social idle funds have poured in madly within one year!The three industries basically have the least capital influx in each industry, which is 1% larger than the capital investment in the market in previous years!

The annual investment in the steel industry is about 7 million yuan. Calculated at the end of 3 years, the investment in the steel industry for 3 years is as high as 13 billion yuan, exceeding 96% in previous years!The electrolytic aluminum industry has exceeded the investment of 93% in previous years!The cement industry exceeded 1% in previous years!At the same time, the price of the real estate industry is soaring. People in big cities such as Shanghai and Shanghai are surprised why the house price has risen so fast, and people have exclaimed that the people in big cities cannot afford houses!In this case, the leadership team who have just come to power in 3 years will be killed!

The first step in this painful killer is to strictly investigate the iron, aluminum and cement projects launched in various places, and those that can be cut must be cut.And the first one to be investigated was Tie Ben!After this iron book was investigated, various new projects across the country were called to stop, and the aluminum and cement industries were the same!Then the real estate industry, like the iron and aluminum cement industries, has been subject to macro-control, directly ordering banks and other financial institutions to strictly approve loan applications for these four industries, which is tantamount to directly shutting down these industries from the financial leader. Sources of funds!

Such a blow quickly caused the development of the three heavy industries and the real estate industry to stagnate!In the real estate industry alone, major media and newspapers have responded to the call of the state, and each has written articles to reflect on and criticize the difficulties that the high housing prices have brought to ordinary people who cannot afford houses.The optimistic trend in the housing market in major cities across the country suddenly reversed, and the housing market suddenly became depressed, and many houses that opened for sale could not be sold!However, after such a turmoil, commercial real estate has become a relatively good investment project!On the contrary, Jia Hongjian's unfinished buildings sold even better!

To tell the truth, Jia Hongjian really wanted to laugh when he saw the state rectify real estate!Moreover, he also found it quite funny to see that the common people in China were really not optimistic about the real estate market all of a sudden.This means that he doesn't want to speculate in real estate, and he doesn't want to tarnish his reputation in the future. Otherwise, if Jia Hongjian doesn't care so much, he just spends money to buy a large number of opening houses in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and other provincial capitals, and it will be slow in a few years. If you release it slowly, it will definitely make you money!These days, a set of two bedrooms and one living room is 3 in Shanghai, and it will cost 8 in 1 years, and 1 million in 60 year!And it is an old house within the Central Ring Road!If this is a new house, it will be more expensive, and even a little along the subway line will cost more than 200 million!What is this concept?

Of course, Jia Hongjian thought so, but it didn't mean he didn't think the government should be trusted.It means that the idea of ​​such a macro-control is good, but in the days to come, not only a good idea will lead to good results, but what the result will be depends on the game between the local government and the central government, as well as various interest groups. of!And judging from the historical results, in this respect...the central government did not win, at least in terms of housing prices, the goal of controlling housing prices from excessively rapid growth...has never been achieved.

To put it another way, the country has started a violent macro-control, and began to strongly control private enterprises and social idle funds rushing into heavy industry, which caused many private enterprises to suffer serious injuries, because many projects were not stopped before the investment was in place. , but was stopped after the start of work!A lot of money has been thrown into it. Once the country stops it, it is tantamount to a sunk cost. Just like a ship sinking, the invested funds will be wasted and it will be difficult to withdraw!For this, many state-owned enterprises may laugh out loud. Perhaps, this is the trigger for a wave of national advancement and private retreat.But now in such a period, at the turn of spring and summer, China's strong macro-control has not only affected China, but also affected many countries.

First of all, the Presidential Office of the Blue House of South Korea held an emergency meeting, united with representatives of various central departments and relevant enterprises, and urgently discussed the impact of China's macro-control on their South Korea!After all, after China entered the WTO, Korean companies slowly began to enter China, and their future will gradually become closer and closer to China. They must figure out what changes in China will bring to them. what impact.In addition to South Korea, other major countries in the world also have urgent meetings to discuss!Why?It's very simple, because after China entered the WTO, it took a full two and a half years, which has made the world economy depend on China!Nowadays, large quantities of Chinese manufacturing are imported abroad, and this does not include semi-finished products made by Chinese OEMs!Jia Hongjian brought one-third of the world's microwave oven output to Shuchuan!What is this concept?Not to mention various other electrical appliances and other basic consumer goods!

At the same time, don't forget that the economy of China's three major industries has been overheated in the past three years, and the result is that a large number of overseas mineral products have entered China!Originally, the quality of iron ore in China was not very good. Overseas iron ore was cheaper and better in quality. With the rapid development of the steel industry, a large number of foreign ore sources must be purchased!At the same time, there is not enough local production of electrolytic aluminum in the Chinese market, which can only meet half of the market demand. Should the remaining demand of 3 tons per year be imported from abroad?500 million tons a year, how many countries combined can produce so much!Doesn't this immediately bring about the influx of funds from foreign related industries?Don't foreign countries think that China's demand may be as long as ten or twenty years, so it has begun to overheat and pour a lot of money into various mining industries?As a result, China suddenly tightened control over these sectors, so will the influx of funds from foreign mining industries be in vain?How will raw material prices go in the future?How will the prices of Chinese products go in the future?This is all to be judged!

It can be said that from the beginning of such a macro-control in four years, the Chinese economy has already begun to affect the world economy!It can even be said that once the Chinese economy catches a cold, the economies of all countries in the world will start to cough!Such a role of China as the locomotive of the world economy has gradually begun to show signs in such a four-year period! )