Coquettish Rebirth

In a few days, such a recorded program will be broadcast. ↖, before the broadcast, Ye Jing seemed much more excited than Jia Hongjian!Jia Hongjian himself was quite calm, with a nonchalant attitude, while Ye Jing's excitement made people feel as if she was going to be interviewed and participated in a program.For this, Jia Hongjian was quite happy, after all, the girl was so excited, it was because of him!The other girl might not be so excited to be on TV by herself, but now she becomes so excited because of him. It is obvious that her whole heart is on him. What is he dissatisfied with?So he followed the girl to the sofa in the living room, hugged her and waited for such a program to air.

Soon, the show will begin.When the show started, it seemed that the first few minutes were not edited at all!After the host chatted with Jia Hongjian for a few words, Jia Hongjian snatched the first voice, and then he was brought into the ditch by Jia Hongjian, so Jia Hongjian began to analyze here Various economic situations!Ye Jing saw in front of the TV that Jia Hongjian didn't talk about movies, but began to talk about the financial situation out of nowhere, which really surprised her for a long time! "Hey Hung-chien, didn't you say you were going to promote the movie? Why did you start to change into financial analysis?" She asked a little confused. "Your husband, I'm just pretending. I want to show that we're great! First we need to market our personal image, and then we can market movies!" Jia Hongjian didn't explain in detail what he wanted to do, but simply said: So explain it.

As for Jia Hongjian's detailed plan, Ye Jing was not interested in getting to know it in depth, as long as she knew that Jia Hongjian was doing it on purpose, that would be fine.Because she has confidence in Jia Hongjian, very confident.She had never seen Jia Hongjian's plan fail!Since Jia Hongjian has always been victorious, why should she worry?So soon.She concentrated her arms around Jia Hongjian and watched such a program.Jia Hongjian was also watching this program carefully at this time, but his focus was very different from Ye Jing's.As Jia Hongjian's fiancée, Ye Jing focused on Jia Hongjian's performance when watching such an episode, and Jia Hongjian himself was quite confident in his own performance. of.So his focus was mainly on chatting with himself for three hours, how many things were cut off!

After all, such a special report only lasts for an hour!Therefore, a lot of content will definitely be cut.Although he knew that as a related party, the other party would definitely not cut off the most important places that Jia Hongjian thought were the most important, but what if some less important places were cut off?What if some Jia Hongjian thinks it is a bit important but others think it is unimportant are cut out?These must be paid attention to!Such a program was recorded and broadcast. Fox News really didn't disclose to Jia Hongjian how to edit it after the recording was successful, so he was really curious about what would be tampered with.At least for now.In the early stage, there were not many things that were tampered with. Basically, some slightly lengthy things that proved that the real estate market was led by the Federal Reserve to create a bubble were slightly edited, which Jia Hongjian felt was acceptable.

When he explained and popularized science in the program, his idea was to make the audience understand and believe his words as much as possible, so he used a lot of data to prove it.As a creature like human beings, it is particularly easy to be conquered by data.In modern times, science is such a thing.It's almost like becoming a new religion.Although 75% of people in these parts of the United States believe in the existence of God, it does not mean that they do not believe in science.They just don't want to believe in the theory of evolution and other science related to a series of questions such as "how did man come" and "whether God exists".But they believe in a whole other set of sciences.So when a thing is explained as if it is "scientific", it is easy to fool people!At this point, whether it is China or the United States, it is the same!And to describe the simple and easy method that seems to be in line with science, isn't it just to prove it by giving various data?After all, in the eyes of modern humans, "data will not lie"!

And this.That's what Jia Hongjian often used to fool people.The so-called data will not lie is actually correct, but there is a prerequisite for this, that is, the investigated data is real data, without any falsification or induction!Otherwise, such a data itself is not real.How can there be no lying?Just like Jia Hongjian's example of taking to the streets to interview, if he wants to get any results from the TV interviews, he can get any results!how to do?It is by induction!For example, if you ask the American people whether they support the ban on guns, before asking the people such a question, first ask the people if they think there are many bad guys with guns in the market, and the answer is definitely a lot!Then ask them again, if they find that bad guys are violating their personal and property safety, do ordinary people like them want to have a gun in their hands, or not.The answer is of course hope!After all, the problem of the proliferation of guns in the United States is so serious, it is very likely that the bad guy has a gun on his waist!At this time, to prevent the other party from violating their personal and property safety, of course, it is better for ordinary people to have a gun than no gun!

After being induced by these two questions, I turned on the camera and asked the interviewed people-do you support gun ban?How will the people respond then?Because of the induction of the first two questions, if the public does not want to slap themselves in the face and act hypocritical, then he must express his support for the ban on guns!Moreover, the inducing question Jia Hongjian gave him earlier implied that when the problem of gun proliferation cannot be solved, and when the bad guys are likely to own guns, if they support "banning guns for ordinary people", then who? Will you choose to support it?But the problem is that if guns are really banned, then there must be various crackdowns on the illegal possession of guns by bad guys.After the continuous crackdown, the good guys may have no guns at that time, but the chances of bad guys with guns will also be greatly reduced. Under such circumstances, ordinary people don’t necessarily need a gun to comfort themselves, do they?After all, a gun is a weapon that can cause a lot of damage even if held by a child!America isn't without mothers taking five-year-olds to the supermarket.In the end, after buying a lot of things, the child sat in the passenger seat and found the pistol in the glove box, and accidentally collapsed his mother who was putting things in the rear compartment!

So in the same way, if you want to get a poll about the large number of ordinary people who support gun ban, you can do the opposite of the previous inducement-ask the ordinary people two questions first, the first is to ask the people who they touch. On to the bad guys with knives and the bad guys with guns.In which situations are they easy to escape?The second question is, if the government cracks down on the proliferation of guns with zero tolerance, will the chances of bad guys owning guns be greatly reduced?After the common people have answered these two questions, then ask them whether they support the ban on guns. As long as the average person has no suicidal tendencies, they will definitely be inclined to answer the question of support!After all, the previous two leading questions hide a concept that banning guns can greatly improve the safety of ordinary people. If ordinary people do not support banning guns, then it means that they do not support making themselves safer?Isn't this against the subconscious of human beings?So even if he himself does not support the ban on guns, but under such an inducement.Also easy to answer support!

This is still an induction. If some data selection is added, it can even achieve the point where you can get the results of the polls you want!Will such data lie?On the other hand, even if the data itself is very real, there is no inducement, forgery or selection, it is the original data directly investigated, then the interpretation of the data is also the most important part of data analysis!Data does not lie, lying comes from misinterpretation of data!Many companies recruit data analysis and only emphasize data processing.The inability to evaluate the interpretation of the data will lead to misinterpretation of the data.Thus resulting in the conclusion that "data will lie"!

For example, now that a set of data has been collected, many people find that data a and data b in this set of data are highly correlated, and every time data a changes, data b will also change soon, so is it possible to get A change in a will result in a change in b?On the surface it looks like it might be possible.But there is still a problem - why can't a and b be related to another c, and when a changes in the collected data, b changes, just because c in these data changes first, so a and b will be affected Influence!But if a and b are taken out separately, but c does not change.Then there are other factors that are affected by a and b, which will make the changes of a and b data completely irrelevant!

This is a matter of data interpretation!In addition, there are some problems, which are also the problem of data lying caused by interpretation.For example, there is a phenomenon called "silent majority" in the world. For example, a survey is launched to count whether people like or dislike something through their usual speech.The result of such statistics is basically that many people are saying that they don't like it!why is that?Because only those who don't like it will take the initiative to say that they don't like it. If others don't ask him if he likes it, he will eat it up and advertise that he likes it everywhere every day?So if we only count everyone's speeches, the statistical results will be quite outrageous!Because a large number of people who like such a thing have been silent!

If such an example does not reveal the problem of interpretation, then another example is quite obvious - during World War II, the British Royal Air Force invited American statisticians to analyze the data of German ground artillery hitting Allied bombers, and from a professional point of view , suggesting how to strengthen the body armor in order to reduce the chance of being shot down by artillery fire.However, according to the aviation technology at that time, the body armor could only be partially strengthened, otherwise the body would be too heavy, which would make it difficult to take off and slow to control.The statisticians drew the data of the impact points of the injured coalition bombers into two comparison tables. The research found that the wings were the most hit parts, while the pilot's cockpit and the tail were the least hit parts.

Seeing such a data, the combat commander of the military at that time of course subconsciously thought that the protection of the wings should be strengthened!Because according to such obvious data, the wing is densely packed with bullet holes!Prove that the wings are the easiest to attack, and get attacked the most!How would it work without strengthening the wings?Those places such as the cockpit and the tail were not shot a few times, so should they be reinforced?But statisticians have a different opinion. They recommend strengthening the armor of the cockpit and the tail area, even if there are at least bullet holes!Of course, the military personnel couldn't understand it in every possible way, and even thought that the statisticians must be crazy!But at this time, the statistician shocked everyone by saying a word—because all the samples that everyone counted were only damaged planes returned by the coalition forces!

Those planes that were directly shot down were killed and returned to the mainland to be investigated!Which planes crashed directly in the enemy's country, and there is no way to get them back!Under such circumstances, those who can fly back are those who have suffered minor injuries, and those who have suffered critical injuries have a high probability of dying!So these examples of wings being hit by a large number should just show that it doesn't matter if the wing is hit, even if it is densely packed with bullet holes, it can still make the plane fly back, but if the cockpit and tail or something If it is hit, there is a high probability that the plane will not be able to fly back!This is the problem that the data caused by interpretation may lie!As for Jia Hongjian, in order to convince the people, the data cited were of course true, but to be honest, if he had to trim these numbers a little bit, that would not hinder the scientific nature of Jia Hongjian's conclusions. !In fact, he came here this time to convince everyone, but after all, he wanted to persuade on TV. There must be no obvious mistakes in the data and theory!Otherwise, among the 3 million people in the United States, there would not be one or two people who could see that Jia Hongjian was making things by the lake?impossible!At that time, as long as a few people find out and talk to the media, Jia Hongjian will be ruined at that time, okay?Can he, Jia Hongjian, make such a low-level mistake? (To be continued..)