I was forced to start the second round because I was raised in poverty
Chapter 334 ALL in
Chapter 334 ALL in
In this huge cash game, the only strategy for Su Cheng to achieve the goal of "neither winning nor losing" is to reduce volatility, control risk, and avoid getting involved in a large pot where he has no absolute advantage.
The fluctuations in Texas Hold'em are short-term ups and downs caused by luck.
Su Cheng's goal is to reduce these fluctuations.
Therefore, his primary task is pot control. Without a nut-level hand, he must proactively control the rate at which the pot grows, avoiding playing an out-of-control, huge pot with marginal hands.
Most of the time, Su Cheng has to play a very weak, even passive, role.
Only on certain specific occasions, when Su Cheng has an absolutely dominant hand and a favorable position, can he decisively place a bet and play out some value.
There are a million ways to lose with AA, and getting AA doesn't guarantee a win.
The previous hand of AA was indeed a clear advantage, but the position was very poor, so Su Cheng chose to fold directly.
If in a middle position, Su Cheng can play a little, but only with strong hands like AA, KK, QQ, and JJ.
The last position is the most profitable. Su Cheng can make decisions after most people have acted, so he can slightly broaden the range of card combinations, such as 1010 or 99.
There's absolutely no need for speculation; Su Cheng sometimes even intentionally loses some cards.
If it's not one of the five card types mentioned above, Su Cheng immediately discards the card.
Strictly adhere to position and hand range, and Su Cheng does not fire before the flop.
Don't be upset if you lose AK, AQ, or AJ; avoid getting yourself into a huge, unfavorable pot on the flop.
The winning hand is too expensive; Su Cheng is not worthy of it.
Simply give up on unprofitable draws and avoid bluffing or semi-bluffing.
If you have no cards in your mind, you can easily fold.
In any high-pressure situation, unless it's a strong hand, folding is the optimal solution for Su Cheng.
By following this plan, you can 100% avoid all traps that could lead to huge losses.
In other words, Su Cheng spends most of his time at the table folding, which is the essence of the strategy for preserving capital in high-stakes cash games.
When Su Cheng is in a favorable position and gets a strong hand like AA/KK, he can then make a huge profit from the value of his patient waiting.
In the following rounds, Xu Ning continued his winning streak, and his chips quickly piled up into a small mountain.
One corner of his mouth turned up slightly, forming an asymmetrical and mocking smile.
Every time the dealer dealt cards to Su Cheng, Xu Ning would glance at Su Cheng lightly.
He wasn't guessing Su Cheng's hand, but rather whether Su Cheng would fold again as he predicted.
Every little movement he made was filled with disregard and pity for Su Cheng.
Xu Ning felt that he had seen through Su Cheng; he saw the fear of risk deep in Su Cheng's heart.
With the mountain of chips in front of him, Xu Ning secured his position for the night and within his inner circle.
That's what I mean.
The mindset of playing cards for others is completely different from that of playing cards yourself.
Can you tell a person's mathematical and logical abilities from just one or two hand combinations?
Xu Ning actually laughed.
Even Tom Dwan, a legendary figure in the Texas Hold'em world, determines the winner of challenge matches based on more than 20,000 hands of decision-making.
He felt that Su Cheng wasn't playing cards, but rather doing a math problem, and a math problem that only sought absolute safety.
They're bold and aggressive when pushing other people's chips, but when it's their turn to put in the money, they become timid and hesitant.
This is pathetic; it's an insult to poker.
Texas Hold'em is war, art, and a contest of understanding human nature, but Su Cheng played it as a savings game.
Su Cheng didn't understand at all that these chips weren't for defense, but for use as weapons in battle.
Having so much ammunition, yet not daring to pull the trigger, is truly pathetic.
Xu Ning's current pleasure does not come from how many chips he has won; to him, this money is just a string of numbers.
More importantly, he has the passion to bravely embrace the risks and rewards.
Simply "surviving safely" is like being a walking corpse, wasting the infinite possibilities that the chips have given him.
At once……
Is there a possibility.
Su Cheng does indeed have 3500 million in chips, but he doesn't actually have 3500 million on him.
So timid and hesitant, but Su Cheng probably doesn't even have ten million?
What is his background with the Emperor Group?
Damn it, Ma Ru pulled him over and got so close to Ma Shuning. Could it be that she just wanted to disgust me?
Xu Ning glanced at Ma Ru without making a sound.
His family's film company has signed countless actors and singers.
Xu Ning cannot easily get involved with these people, but don't forget that we live in the era of self-media.
His family's company signs countless online influencers every year, all of whom are beautiful young women who have just graduated or are even eighteen or nineteen years old.
She's more attractive than celebrities, much younger than them, and does it less often.
Xu Ning often indulged in sexual gratification.
If Ma Shuning doesn't accept it, then so be it. Why bother finding someone like Su Cheng to annoy him?
is this necessary?
The latest round.
Su Cheng decisively folded and stopped playing.
Xu Ning then made a disdainful expression.
Everyone else, including Ma Shuning and Yin Jiazhi, folded, but Ma Ru was still struggling with how to play.
Ma Ru looked at Su Cheng and smiled, gesturing to him, "Come and give me some advice."
Su Cheng got up and went to Ma Ru's side to look at his hole cards: 9 of diamonds and King of diamonds.
Maru has been dealt a hand with good potential; it has the potential to form top pair, a straight, or a strong flush, and it's also in a favorable position.
But the others folded, and Xu Ning raised, which made Ma Ru hesitate.
Because there are many cards that can strongly suppress Ma Ru.
AA? KK? Even if it's not a pair, AK can still suppress Ma Ru, even if it's an AK of different suits.
Suppose the community cards are a King, then opponent Kicker's A beats Maru's 9, which is the most common beating situation in Texas Hold'em.
Xu Ning's probability of getting AA or KK is only 0.9%, less than one percent.
Su Cheng felt that Ma Ru's hand was worth playing, but the way she played it could be more flexible and proactive.
"We can add another one."
"How much?"
"Just add a little bit, it's up to you."
Ma Ru casually threw out Da Xu Ning's double call.
The pressure was now on Xu Ning.
His hand was actually the same as Ma Ru's, with the King and 9 of spades, also of the same suit, only in a different position.
This is a hand with potential. Xu Ning raised the bet to seize the initiative in this round, to put pressure on the weaker opponent, and to prevent the opponent from seeing the flop easily.
This raise worked very well, as players including Su Cheng, Ma Shuning, and Yin Jiazhi folded.
Only Ma Ru remained.
Xu Ning was surprised that Ma Ru would ask Su Cheng for advice and even suggest increasing the stakes.
So what card did Ma Ru hold?
AA, KK, QQ, or a strong starting hand like AK?
Or is it a pair of JJ or smaller?
wrong.
Ma Ru hesitated, so it was impossible for him to get a strong starting hand. He could rule out A pair and K pair, and even AK could be ruled out.
Xu Ning analyzed that Ma Ru might only get a small pair.
For 8, for 7?
Or is it 5? Or 6?
Xu Ningping followed Ma Ru's raise.
The dealer deals the community cards: King of Hearts, 8 of Clubs, and 2 of Clubs. Both players have a pair of Kings.
Xu Ning still had a 9 in his hand, so he felt he was still in a somewhat passive position because he had no chance of getting a winning hand.
The two clubs on the cards can be seen as Xu Ning's natural "disguise".
Xu Ning didn't make any rash moves. He passed the card, wanting to see Ma Ru's or rather Su Cheng's attitude.
Su Cheng was unaware that Xu Ning had the same K and 9 cards as Ma Ru.
Ma Ru's hand is very static. If Xu Ning has two clubs to complete the hand, Ma Ru will be in a very passive position. This pair of Kings is very vulnerable.
No matter what cards Xu Ning was dealt, he would pass the cards to him 100% of the time, observing his attitude and actions or trying to entice him, and that's exactly what happened.
This puts Su Cheng and Ma Ru in a more complex decision-making situation than before.
Ma Ru simply became a hands-off manager, listening to all of Su Cheng's advice and putting all the pressure on Su Cheng alone.
Su Cheng silently began to calculate.
Of the remaining 47 cards, there are 11 clubs.
There are 1081 possible combinations of choosing 2 cards from 47 cards as Xu Ning's bottom cards.
剩下的11张梅花中2张梅花的组合数是55种,1张梅花的组合数是396种。
所以许宁手上拿着两张梅花的概率是55/1081大概是5.1%,拿着1张梅花的概率是36.6%。
Of course, this is the result of analysis from a purely mathematical perspective.
In actual combat, however, one must be wary of the potential misleading nature of these two probabilities, because one must also consider Xu Ning's three actions.
Raise first, call in parallel, check.
Therefore, Su Cheng's suggestion was to raise the stakes, and by a large amount. At this point, he and Ma Ru had to play the role of the undisputed strongman.
Xu Ning felt a little uncomfortable when he saw that Ma Ru had increased her bet again at Su Cheng's suggestion.
He had just analyzed that Ma Ru was unlikely to have a strong top pair; the most likely scenario was that she had an AK. It was still a pair of Ks, but Ma Ru's Kicker could suppress her.
Or perhaps Ma Ru had a small pair of 88 and 22, forming a hidden three of a kind?
Or perhaps he took two plum blossoms?
Xu Ning's optimal solution right now is to follow Ma Ru's bet.
Everyone knows there are two clubs on the deck.
Xu Ning could also pretend to have plum blossoms.
Calling sends a vague signal to Su Cheng: I might have a King, I might have a two-club draw, or I might have nothing.
The dealer deals the fourth community card: the 8 of Hearts.
The appearance of this card completely reshaped the situation of the game.
This means that any player holding an 8 has formed a set of three, and any player holding a K has formed two pairs of K and 8.
What is the probability that Xu Ning has an 8 in his hand?
The simplest mathematical method is to first calculate the probability that Xu Ning "has no 8 at all", and then subtract it from 1.
The probability that Xu Ning doesn't have an 8 in his hand is 91.4%.
The probability of having two 8s is less than 0.1%.
The probability of having an 8 is 8.4%.
Based on Xu Ning's actions just now, the probability of 91.4% can be increased to 100%.
Su Cheng was absolutely certain that Xu Ning didn't have an 8, and was 100% certain that he didn't have a 2.
There are no exposed three 8s, no two pairs of K8s, and no need to worry about concealed three 2s.
This core risk is thus greatly simplified.
The biggest threat is no longer the hidden monster card, but the very clear Kicker problem, which is another 9.
Su Cheng is either far ahead or far behind, because Xu Ning may have KA, KQ, KJ, and K10.
Su Cheng's decision was to pass.
If he falls behind, he can control the pot and stop putting in any more chips.
Assuming he's in the lead, he can feign weakness and lure Xu Ning into making a mistake on his last card, thus gaining more value.
Xu Ning's expression was serious.
Pass?
This completely baffled Xu Ning.
If Ma Ru... or more accurately, Su Cheng, has 8 sets of three exposed suits, then he has no reason to pass and will definitely continue to bet to extract value from himself.
If Su Cheng had KK or 22, he would have even less reason to pass.
The most likely scenario is that Su Cheng had a hand similar to his K9.
KQ, KJ, K10, or even K9, which is the same as his hand.
The second possibility is that he has a winning hand in the plum blossom suit.
It's also possible that Su Cheng had a hand full of monster cards, but chose to play slowly, deliberately showing weakness by passing cards.
However, this possibility is the smallest.
It doesn't matter.
If you're going through it, then I'll go through it too.
Let's all look at the last picture.
The dealer deals the last card: the 5 of diamonds.
I didn't win anything.
This 5 of diamonds is most likely a useless card for both him and Su Cheng.
It was his turn to make the decision.
His hand consisted of two pairs of Kings and 8s, while Kicker had a 9.
Given Su Cheng's check on the turn, my hand is very likely the best I have right now.
He now has two choices.
First, pass the card directly.
This is the least risky option, allowing him to avoid a fatal blow from a hidden trap.
But it may also mean missing the last chance to extract value.
Second, placing and raising bets.
This hand has many weaker hands in its range, and if the last card is a diamond instead of a club, then it's not a flush.
Although he doesn't really need to hide his hand anymore, betting can prevent Su Cheng from revealing his hand for free.
Conversely, if he makes a wrong judgment, then betting is just giving money away to others.
Xu Ning still prefers to place a bet.
He pushed half of the chips in front of him away.
This action caused everyone present to frown, and everyone was guessing what card Xu Ning had drawn.
Xu Ning usually presents a steady and reliable image when playing cards with them.
If half of the chips have been pushed, then it's very likely a full house like a pair of 8s, a pair of Kings, or a pair of 2s!
This is the most reasonable monster card.
Of course, it could also be a bluff with AQ, AJ, or QJ of clubs, which is the most reasonable bluffing hand.
Su Cheng then asked slowly, "How much is your stake?"
Xu Ning glanced at Su Cheng: "You don't need to worry about how much, just go with it or not."
Ma Ru looked at Su Cheng quietly.
Su Cheng will definitely let Ma Ru go with him.
Xu Ning is 100% certain that there is no 8.
Moreover, he not only called, but also encouraged Ma Ru to raise, going all in!
(End of this chapter)
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