Chapter 169

Of course, Dongyin Water Affairs is confident, and the worst thing is not to do business with big dogs.

But the big dogs have no cards to play. Originally, they could use crude oil as a bargaining chip, but the domestic oil-to-electricity policy has been very fast in the past two years.

Now domestic fuel motorcycles and the like have almost been completely eliminated, replaced by electric vehicles and electric motorcycles.

Fuel-fuel vehicles are also in decline, and the policy is constantly being tightened. Now, except for engineering vehicles and trucks, other fuel-fuel passenger vehicles cannot pass the review by the Ministry of Industry.

Recently, the old-for-new trade-in is being carried out. When replacing an old fuel car with an electric car, a subsidy of 1 to 4 Wah can be given. This subsidy and the subsidy for the purchase of electric cars can be superimposed.

Therefore, many car owners whose cars are about to be scrapped have chosen to replace electric vehicles.

For example, the sales of domestic electric vehicles this year have almost shown explosive growth.

Take Surging Power and Biyadi as examples. From January to August this year, Surging Power sold a total of 1 electric vehicles, while Biyadi, which has a more complete foundation, sold a total of 8 million vehicles.

In addition, other automakers have also abandoned fuel vehicles and followed up with electric vehicles.

As of August, the total domestic automobile sales were 1463 million, of which 659 million were fuel vehicles and 804 million were electric vehicles.

Obviously, the sales volume of electric vehicles has surpassed that of fuel vehicles for the first time, leading by more than 100 million vehicles, and the gap is widening rapidly.

2018年国内电动汽车销售量排行榜前十名分别是:比雅迪195万辆、北汽新能源177万辆、吉利112万辆、长安84万辆、澎湃动力83万两、特斯拉59万辆、江淮44万辆、丰田21万辆、上沪通用20万辆、力帆14万辆。

It can be seen from the sales rankings that domestically-made cars have risen strongly.

Of course, the real big winners are actually The Paper Group and Raytheon Group.

The motor business of Pengpai Group has become a standard equipment among domestic automobiles. The motors of Lifan, Jianghuai, and NIO are all customized directly from Pengpai Motors; while BYD, BAIC New Energy, Geely, and even Tess Ladu had to purchase self-generating coatings from Pagoda Motors.

The Raytheon Group is even stronger, because domestic electric vehicles all use Raytheon batteries, although Biyadi, Ningde, and Lishen have obtained technology authorization.

But this thing requires a patent fee, and it is not a one-time payment, but a patent fee for every kilogram produced.

Anyway, the more they produce, the happier Raytheon will be.

Thanks to the constant milk of policies, the proportion of electric vehicles in domestic vehicles is soaring rapidly under the circumstances of ebb and flow. It is estimated that by 2020, the proportion of fuel vehicles will drop to about 70%, while the proportion of electric vehicles will increase to about 30%.

As of 2017, the national motor vehicle population reached 3.101 million, including 2.2 million vehicles (including 230 million new energy vehicles).

The motor vehicles included in the statistics include automobiles (minibuses, minibuses, medium-sized buses, large buses, minivans, light trucks, medium-sized trucks, and heavy-duty trucks), low-speed vehicles, motorcycles, excluding trailers, and tractors on the road. 29836 million vehicles.

Among them, there are 20816 million automobiles, 820 million low-speed automobiles and 8200 million motorcycles.

By this year, the number of electric vehicles has exceeded 1000 million, and more than 83% of motorcycles are electric motorcycles.

In 2020, it is estimated that the number of cars in the country will reach 2.4 million, while the number of electric vehicles will reach about 7200 million, and the number of fuel vehicles will drop to 1.68 million.

According to the "2017 Domestic and Foreign Oil and Gas Industry Development Report" released by Dongtang Petroleum Economics and Technology Research Institute, the growth rate of domestic oil consumption rebounded in 2017, and domestic crude oil production has declined for two consecutive years. It is estimated that the annual output will be 1.92 million tons, a year-on-year decrease of 3.1% , 4.3 percentage points lower than that of the previous year.

In 2017, domestic crude oil consumption continued to grow at a medium speed. The annual apparent consumption of crude oil was 6.10 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 6.0%, and the growth rate increased by 0.5 percentage points from the previous year.

Among them, the annual consumption of refined oil was 3.22 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 2%, an increase of 2016 percentage points compared with 3, but the growth rate showed a rare increase in gasoline and diesel.

Among them, gasoline consumption was 1.22 million tons, an increase of 2.03% year-on-year, falling to the lowest point since 2006, while diesel consumption was 1.67 million tons, a growth rate of 1.24%, an increase of 6 percentage points year-on-year.

From the above data, it can be known that by 2020, the national motor vehicle fuel consumption will drop to 2.2 million tons.

By 2025, the proportion of electric vehicles will increase to 90%, fuel vehicles will drop to 10%, and fuel consumption will drop to about 3500 million tons.

With the technological innovation of Galaxy Technology, the above is also advancing with the times. The original plan to completely ban fuel vehicles by 2035 is really a blueprint that cannot keep up with the changes, and has to adjust the plan to eliminate fuel vehicles repeatedly. According to the latest blueprint, it is planned to Eliminate fuel vehicles in 2027.

In fact, this plan is quite conservative, because with the rapid advancement of Galaxy Technology and the continuous favorable policies, this trend is already unstoppable and accelerating.

The Social Research Institute of Galaxy Technology, through the newly established 500 billion exascale supercomputing center, made a comprehensive prediction of these situations. It is estimated that the proportion of electric vehicles may increase to 2024-92% by 94.

从这个趋势来看,到了2020年国内原油消耗总量将下降到5亿吨左右,到2024~2025将下降到3.3亿吨左右。

That is to say, the energy positioning of crude oil will be stripped, and chemical raw materials will become the main use of crude oil.

Especially as the international situation becomes increasingly tense, although Dongtang's crude oil imports have not decreased, a large part of these crude oils are reserve crude oil, not consumer crude oil.

In 2018, domestic crude oil reserves have surged to 1.12 million tons, and by 2020 this figure may reach about 4 million tons.

Domestic oil-to-electricity, coal-to-electricity, and gas-to-electricity are all underway. Anyway, where electricity can be replaced, electricity will be used instead.

Even the two barrels of oil they have gone to build wind power stations and storage stations.

As of August 2018, the total installed capacity of new wind power generation equipment in the country is 7 million kilowatts, and the annual power generation is expected to increase by about 2 trillion kilowatt-hours.

In this way, the importance of crude oil for camels in the sand has declined, and it is difficult to use crude oil to jam rabbits' necks.

Bin Salman is now one of the top two big players. After several days of discussions with the think tank, he could not come up with a condition that could impress Dongyin Water Company.

This kind of strategic technology, unless the rabbit's head is flooded, or is possessed by Gotu, it is possible to agree to sell it.

Even sand camels want to buy seawater desalination membranes, those conditions are quite harsh.

Zhu Jianguo participated in the negotiations on behalf of Galaxy Technology, and the condition he proposed was an advance payment of 500 billion Chinese yuan. If the camels in Saudi Arabia tore up the contract, then the 500 billion Chinese yuan would not be returned to them.

In addition, all construction costs are also borne by sandy camels. The seawater desalination film is 5 Huayuan per square meter, and the patent fee for fresh water is 0.5 Huayuan per cubic meter.

And bin Salman's plan is to build a desalination plant with 100 billion cubic meters of fresh water on the east and west coasts of the sandy camel country.

In this way, if Bin Salman agrees to Zhu Jianguo's conditions, he will need to pay the water company 45 billion Chinese yuan in film purchase fees and 100 billion Chinese yuan in patent fees every year.

Although the big dog has a lot of money, it will hurt to have so much money every year.

If we want to increase production in the future, wouldn't we have to pay tens of billions of Chinese dollars every year?

Of course, the annual production of 200 billion cubic meters of fresh water costs 145 billion Chinese yuan, a cost that Salman can barely accept.

But this film is definitely a big hidden danger, and bin Salman has to consider the risks involved.

(End of this chapter)

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