silent farm

Chapter 295 Crude oil futures?

Of course, Li Sheng didn't notice that Mo Xiran was plotting against him who was far away in China.

After swimming more than 20 rounds in the oval-shaped swimming pool on the Arle, he jumped ashore at any place beside the pool.He picked up his own bath towel and dried his body, then sat on the beach chair and let the sun that had become warm and smoky shine on his body.

On the side, Ali has been lying down for quite a while.Seeing Li Sheng lying down, Ali said enviously, "A few years ago, I would have swam like you twenty times."

In fact, what he compared was his slightly protruding belly, and Li Sheng's inconspicuous but looming abdominal muscles.

Li Sheng took a look at his black body hair from his chest down to his swimming trunks, and said with a smile, "You can hire a fitness trainer for two or three months and you'll be ready."

"That may not reach your level." Ali had to admit that Li Sheng's physical fitness was abnormal.Fernando, who entered the water a little earlier than Li Sheng, is only swimming back and forth for the seventh time now.Li Sheng seemed to have several times more strength than ordinary people every time he swiped his arm. "If you go to a game, I don't think there's anybody against you."

When Li Sheng came ashore, he was not even out of breath. He swam more than 1000 meters at the speed of an Olympic sprint, as if he had just returned from a walk.

At this time, a brown-haired man came over with a glass of juice and asked, "Ali, Mr. Li, hello. Can I sit here?"

This man, Li Sheng, knew his name. He was said to be the heir of an ancient family in Germany. His name was Finn Weiting.Finn, meaning beautiful hair and skin.True to his name, he was a handsome German man.

Both Li Sheng and Ali stood up and shook hands with him. After exchanging pleasantries, the three sat down respectively, and Li Sheng sat in the middle of the three of them.

Finn put the juice on a small table next to him, and complimented: "Mr. Li's swimming skills are really good, I think it is enough to break the world record in the Olympics."

Ali seemed to know this Finn, and he smiled naturally and said, "I just suggested that he try to participate in the Olympics."

Li Sheng said modestly: "You all have won the prize. I just have more strength. If you say that the technique is far worse than those athletes." He himself knew what was going on, and his affinity for water made him feel uncomfortable. To control, the resistance of the water to him will be much less, so he can swim so fast.Otherwise, no matter how good his physical fitness is or how strong his upper body is, he would not be able to swim at such a speed.

The three of them said a few polite words, and they were already familiar with it in business communication.Finn smiled and said, "Ali, Li, what do you think about the current oil price?"

Although Li Sheng read some materials last night, he still has no judgment on this aspect.So he looked at Ali to see how he would answer.

Ali reached for the juice and took a sip before saying: "We all expect oil prices to rise. However, although this largely depends on market demand. But in fact, oil prices are mainly controlled by major crude oil importing countries. For example, the United States, For example, Huaxia. However, we believe that even if we do not cut production, the gap in world crude oil demand will only increase this year. The suppression of crude oil prices by the United States and China will be loosened.”

The United States and China are the two countries that import the most crude oil in the world, and No. 3 is the chicken plate.But the economic power and political power of the United States and China have the greatest influence on oil prices.The influence of the chicken plate is not very big.That's why Ali has such a saying.

Finn nodded, but did not agree with Ali or disagree.He turned to Li Sheng and said, "Li, what do you think?"

Li Sheng thought for a while and said, "Actually, I haven't paid attention to oil prices before. But yesterday, when I communicated with the princes, I heard about some topics. I also learned a little bit about it last night. I think the current oil price is really not good. It's normal. After all, the world's crude oil demand gap exceeds [-] million tons. But this market shortage has not reacted on crude oil prices, which is contrary to market laws. In the first half of last year, oil prices fluctuated between [-] and [-]. Although there is no sharp drop, there is no breakthrough. That shows that oil prices are indeed controlled by major crude oil importing countries. If crude oil exports continue to decrease, I think oil prices should become in line with market rules.”

Finn just quietly listened to his indirect, seeing that Ali didn't mean to speak, he smiled and said: "Now the world economic growth trend is still optimistic. At this year's World Economic Forum, the representatives believed that the US economy will recover this year. The growth rate may exceed 2.5%. China's economy continues to be optimistic, and the growth rate remains at around 6%. Emerging economies such as India and Brazil will also grow rapidly. The world's oil demand will increase by 5% compared to last year The growth rate of about 2%. And the export volume of oil is predicted to drop by about [-]%.”

He paused here.

Ali smiled and said: "This is good news for our OPEC countries."

Li Sheng just smiled, his thoughts drifted a little.

Finn smiled and said: "So I think this year's oil price is likely to start to rise in the second quarter, and it will break through 150 US dollars per barrel at the end of the second quarter. As long as it breaks through [-], the psychological It is likely to rise all the way, and my estimate is that in the third quarter, the international crude oil price will probably reach [-] US dollars a barrel."

Li Sheng read some information last night and knew that the price of crude oil cannot rise forever.When the price reaches a certain level, imports will shrink, and the economic growth expectations of various countries will also drop accordingly.At that time, crude oil prices will be suppressed by the market.

It's just that he doesn't know what Finn's purpose is for saying this.

Ali helped him ask the question: "I quite agree with what you said, but what advice do you have?"

"I am now preparing to invest in crude oil futures. But I don't have enough funds. You know, no amount of funds is enough to fight against the world's top two economies."

Both Li Sheng and Ali understood what he meant.This is to find them to raise funds.

Li Sheng thought about it for a while, and felt that the possibility of rising oil prices was indeed not small.Contrary to what the princes inadvertently disclosed last night, OPEC countries are seeking to raise the price of oil.This is a force that cannot be ignored affecting international crude oil prices.

He sat up straight and asked, "What are your plans?"

Finn glanced at Ali, seeing that he seemed to be listening to his own words, and whispered: "I plan to go long on European and American crude oil futures in the middle of this month. But I still lack at least 100 billion U.S. dollars in funds."

Li Sheng's heart skipped a beat when he heard that he was short of so much money.This is going to be a big game.

But Ali asked: "Can you tell me about your plan in detail? You must know that the risk of operating futures is not small."

Finn nodded and said: "Investing in futures is of course very risky, but the greater the risk, the higher the profit. I have a professional analysis team and trading team. I still have a lot of confidence in market analysis and early operation. Yes. My plan is to raise at least $300 billion, which can be considered a financing or a partnership.”

"How to calculate the benefits of financing and cooperation?"

"Financing can become a partner of our fund, which is completely operated by us, and finally dividends are distributed according to the shares. If we cooperate, we can analyze the market, and investors can decide whether to invest based on the market analysis given by our team, but we Only carry out the same operation as our fund. We are long, and this part of the funds can only choose whether to participate in long, and how much leverage to use. If we lose money, we are not responsible. If we make a profit, our fund charges 20% of the trading cost."

Li Sheng and Ali looked at each other.He nodded. "I have $50 billion on my hands. But I need to think about it before deciding whether to participate."

Hearing that he had 50 billion US dollars, Finn's eyes lit up, but he didn't continue to persuade: "I look forward to your good news."

Ali smiled and said: "I don't have that much spare cash, but $30 billion can still be raised. But it will take some time. But I also need to think about it."

Having said that, they no longer talked about this topic.Finn talked for a while longer, then made up a bad excuse to get some juice for his girlfriend and left.

After he left, Fernando came over.After he came to the swimming pool just now, he might have been worried about interrupting their conversation, so he didn't come.

"That was Finn Wetin just now? He doesn't want to buy shares in our company, does he?"

Ali shook his head and said with a smile: "No, he wants to seek funds from us. It's about crude oil. If you are interested, you can talk to him in detail."

Although he and Fernando are good friends.But he still has to abide by the rules that should be followed in business.What Finn said just now is considered a commercial secret.Ali can only give a little hint.If Fernando is interested, just go and talk to Finn to know the ins and outs of the matter.In that way, the business secrets of others were not disclosed, and the friendship between friends was also taken care of.

Fernando thought for a while and said, "If you're interested, I'll go and talk to him." But he said so, and lay down on a beach chair next to Ali.

The three of them were not talking. Li Sheng saw that Fernando seemed to be resting with his eyes closed, while Ali was secretly looking at those beauties.However, it could be seen that his eyes were basically aimed at the dozen or so female companions brought by the invited guests.But it's not surprising, those princesses are indeed relatively young.It should not be his dish.

Most of the female companions brought by the guests are not the real family members of those guests.Maybe he still has a chance.

Li Sheng secretly smiled twice, and his eyes under the sunglasses looked at the surrounding situation.Many of those princes were still wearing robes, and a few were wearing swimming trunks, so they should have already swam in the water.Most of the invited guests and the princes were chatting in twos and threes, and they should all be invited guests.A few invited guests like Finn were more active.This is especially true for Finn, who appears to be short of funds.

(End of this chapter)