Homo sapiens

After Garfield learned about the specific situation of inventory and funds, he asked Zhang Jerry:

"Jerry, we can't be passive all the time, but we have to take the initiative. Do you have any ideas over there?"

"Of course, in fact, the security department and I have been communicating and preparing for the past six months, and we are going to give ABCD a big gift in the near future." Zhang Jierui clenched his fists, with a sinister look on his face.

"Oh? Are you going to invite them to take a plane again?" Xu Yingming joked.

Zhang Jierui shook his head: "It's okay to fly on a dirt plane once, but it will easily expose you if you do it again. This time we are a little more trendy."

"Then I'll wait and see." Garfield is looking forward to the company's methods.

Zhang Jierui's eyes seemed as if he wanted to choose someone to devour: "Come on, the early layout has been completed. This time I want ABCD to spit out the profits made over the past few decades, including the principal and interest."

…

Britain,

London has a world-famous financial industry.

Among them, bulk commodities in international futures are naturally indispensable, such as wheat, sugar, sunflower oil, palm oil, rice, soybeans, soybean meal and other bulk agricultural products, which are also popular in the futures market.

ABCD has a dedicated office here that is responsible for futures trading of agricultural products and risk hedging.

Since the soybean planting in North America in May and June this year went smoothly and the weather was relatively good, as well as Chinese buyers turning to South America and Lucia, major institutions believe that soybean and soybean meal prices will be low in the second half of this year.

David, the head of Louis Dreyfus's futures trading department, was looking at the market.

Suddenly, he discovered that there were many long orders on today's transaction page, totaling tens of millions of dollars.

In fact, in the past six months, there have been many long orders for North American soybean and soybean meal futures for delivery in August and September this year.

David secretly estimated that the accumulated funds for multiple orders amounted to more than three billion U.S. dollars.

He secretly mocked the other party as a fool. Now that North American soybean harvest is clearly expected, and international soybean and soybean meal prices are not high, there is even room for further decline. Going long now will definitely result in losses.

After discussing with several colleagues, David contacted the heads of the futures trading departments of Bunge, Cargill, and ADM.

The futures analysis conclusions of the four companies are quite consistent, that is, the prices of soybeans and soybean meal will continue to decline in the second half of the year. Now they can jointly short soybeans and soybean meal to hedge their companies' losses in actual soybean transactions.

Therefore, David and others began to lead ABCD futures traders to issue short orders for soybeans and soybean meal to the market in an orderly manner.

It's just that the empty orders they issued were quickly taken over.

David and others didn't pay much attention to this, but secretly lamented that there were so many idiots this year who were stupid and had too much money.

This kind of long-short game seems to only have a transaction volume of tens of millions of dollars each time, but the accumulated total transaction volume is not a small amount.

Because ABCD is the dominant player in the agricultural field and has America's background, investment banks from all over the world give them very high leverage authority.

Once the price of international soybeans and soybean meal reverses, ABCD will most likely be unable to bear it and liquidate its position directly.

It's just that David and others are too optimistic and feel that there is no chance for soybean prices to rise in the second half of the year. After all, their owner is the world's largest soybean producer. Whether soybean prices rise or not is not ABCD's final say.

Therefore, when they see long orders, they do not hesitate to follow them, and they continue to place short orders, which causes their leverage ratio to continue to increase and risks to secretly accumulate.

David and others fantasized about making a fortune.

But the crisis is approaching them.

…

North America.

The Great Lakes Plain and the Mississippi River Plain are both famous large-scale mechanized agricultural areas in North America. A total of 700 million acres of soybeans are planted throughout America.

This is the largest soybean growing area in the world and the area with the largest soybean production.

94% of North American soybeans are genetically modified soybeans, especially Monsanto’s genetically modified soybean varieties, which are the best among them.

Decatur, Illinois.

The ADM headquarters building, which was previously bombed beyond recognition, has been emptied after more than half a year of demolition.

Fortunately, ADM still has many local office buildings that can be used as temporary headquarters.

Hook, who still runs a pet shop here, ended his road trip for more than half a month, took his beloved mouse pet, and returned to the pet shop where he had been away for a long time.

"Welcome home! Mr. Hook!" the clerk Jessica greeted with a smile.

Hook waved his hand: "Jessica, there haven't been any problems at the pet store recently, right?"

"No."

Hooker opened the back door of his pickup truck and unloaded several boxes of bees.

"Is this a bee?" Jessica asked curiously.

"Well, I bought them in the south. I need to build a greenhouse for them quickly, otherwise they won't be able to survive the winter." Hook said while carrying the beehives.

Jessica was not surprised by her boss's weird hobbies. In other words, Hook's performance in America was considered normal compared to some of the mavericks and weirdos.

Just when the two were chatting.

Soybean farms on the Great Lakes Plains are also facing a fatal crisis.

At the No. 15 soybean farm owned by ADM on the shores of Lake Michigan, the farm manager, Old Hall, is planning to spread the last fertilizer on the soybeans.

But as soon as he drove the heavy-duty spray truck through the soybean fields, he noticed something was wrong.

"Huh? Why are there so many yellow leaves?" He couldn't help but stop to check, so he picked up the walkie-talkie: "Bob... go to the field to check the situation of the soybeans. I seem to see a lot of yellow leaves."

"Sizz... OK."

Bob, who is responsible for spraying pesticides on the farm, appears in the middle of the farmland driving an all-terrain vehicle.

He took a closer look and found that many soybean leaves were covered with yellow spots and showed signs of disease.

"Downy mildew? What's going on? This variety is very disease-resistant." Bob took off his cowboy hat and scratched his sweaty head.

He felt that the disease in front of him was already serious, and the farm did not have pesticides specifically designed to kill this fungus, so he could only report it to the headquarters quickly.

Just waiting for ADM, Cargill, and Bunge to react, downy mildew caused by soybean Phytophthora has already broken out across North America.

The confirmed infected area alone has reached about 80 million acres.

Based on past experience with fungal infections, as long as one farm appears, the surrounding farms in the same water system will most likely not be immune.

Obviously, large areas of soybean downy mildew have appeared in the Great Lakes and Mississippi River, which means that soybean farms in these two regions are basically at risk of infection.

Nowadays, it is almost impossible to spray pesticides to kill fungi. Usually, they achieve the purpose of prevention through seed disinfection and soil disinfection.

Sure enough, in the next week, downy mildew continued to attack the city. As long as the farm planted genetically modified soybeans, it was basically impossible to escape.

This situation shocked scientific researchers at ADM, Cargill, and Bunge.

After inspection and experimental testing, they quickly discovered the problem. Phytophthora sojae seemed to have "evolved" the ability to specifically target genetically modified soybeans.

An exogenous gene in several genetically modified soybean varieties has been "taken care of" by soybean pathogens.

North American soybeans were directly hit hard by this sudden downy mildew disease.

Thank you for your support (ω｀), please subscribe, collect, monthly votes and recommendation votes.