Reborn in 2010, the AI ​​in my mind is too powerful.

There was once a famous English folk song, with slightly different versions, but the core message was the same: the defeat and death of King Richard III at the Battle of Bosworth Field in 1485, which tells people that details determine success or failure.

For want of a nail, the horseshoe was lost;

They lost a horseshoe and their warhorse;

They lost a warhorse and lost a battle;

A single battle was lost, and a dynasty was destroyed.

The drones from Aurora Group are far more effective than a horseshoe.

Operation Rope Tree, launched by the United States in Syria in 2013, directly brought about significant changes in the situation of the entire Middle East and even the world.

In the Syrian civil war, Iranian and Russian-backed proxies have suffered almost continuous defeats. US President Lucien, who was originally prepared to negotiate with Russia to make concessions, has directly changed his attitude.

Instead of mentioning UN intervention, they've been frantically shipping various drones and weapons to Syria. These things are easy to operate, have stable firepower, and aren't too expensive—they're just too good.

This is completely unacceptable to both Iran and Russia, as their specific objectives are not aligned. Iran hopes to establish a Shiite-based radiation network and enhance its overall deterrence against Israel. Russia, on the other hand, wants Syria to remain a secular, centralized Assad state and continues to lean towards Russia.

The two sides briefly reached an agreement with a clear division of labor: Iran was responsible for the specific ground operations, the participating militias, and the border crossings for transporting weapons; Russia was responsible for the international front, including veto power over various UN proposals, some arms deals, and air support.

The United States has not even launched an airstrike; it has completely reversed the situation with just a few drones. The outcome of the proxy war is already irreversible.

They began to seriously consider the possibility of directly entering the game, but they were still hesitant.

Iran is not confident about its chances of winning the war. Even with Russian support, they are still uncertain.

To put it bluntly, let alone Russia, even if the Soviet Union were to be resurrected, aligning with the "Big Brother" would be a high-risk endeavor, as the "Big Brother" has no bottom line. It's not a matter of strength; they might turn around and betray their allies halfway through the conflict.

Russia initially had no desire to fight, as they hadn't yet resolved the chaos in Ukraine.

Before 2010, relations between Ukraine and Russia were actually very bad. They argued every day, about natural gas, NATO, and historical narratives. There was almost nothing they didn't fight about.

The situation only changed after 2010 when the more pragmatic Yanukovych came to power. His idea was for Ukraine to return to the strategies of the second president, Kuchma, and to carry out multi-pronged diplomacy and pragmatic economic reforms.

During his tenure, he signed the Kharkiv Agreement with Russia, in which Russia offered lower gas prices in exchange for the extension of the Black Sea Fleet's presence in the region, and bilateral trade also took another step closer.

However, Russia did not let Ukraine off the hook because of these issues. Starting in July 2013, Russia began to use various technical standards to block Ukrainian goods at customs, which directly led to a 7% year-on-year decline in Ukrainian exports.

Russia hopes to force Ukraine to accept a package deal in which Russia will purchase 15 billion Ukrainian government bonds as liquidity assistance, and the price of natural gas should drop from $410 per thousand cubic meters to $268.

However, the cost would be enormous. Ukraine would need to abandon the EU and this market with higher added value, becoming locked into a supply chain complementary to Russia in terms of raw materials and machinery. In some aspects, Ukraine might even directly lose its national autonomy.

Ukraine was already negotiating a UN agreement with the EU. Once the agreement was signed, goods could enter the EU market duty-free. It could also trigger IMF and Western loans, forcing anti-corruption and judicial reforms, and the expectation of capital inflows would be better.

In the long run, the EU is clearly a better economic partner, although aligning with EU technology, environmental protection, and quality standards requires industrial upgrading, with a budget of €1600 billion. However, compared to Russia, the EU is clearly a better economic partner.

Unfortunately, the situation is not that simple. From a national perspective, both sides have their own advantages.

From Yanukovych's personal perspective, he had no other choice but to unconditionally side with Russia.

With the 2015 elections approaching, one of the EU's demands was the release of political prisoners, including his key rivals. Russia went even further, announcing that if Ukraine dared to sign the treaty, it would completely close the markets of both countries.

Regardless of long-term interests, in the short term, Yanukovych is certain to be unable to win re-election.

So Yanukovych made a terrible decision. In November 2013, he issued a clear order to suspend signing the EU-China Agreement and announced a shift to join the Russian Customs Union.

This immediately stirred up a hornet's nest. Simply put, most Ukrainians also believe that it is necessary to ease relations with Russia.

Moreover, according to a survey conducted by the Kyiv International Sociological Society at the time, 85% of the Ukrainian population had a positive view of Russia, and even in the more pro-European western part of Ukraine, the figure reached 70%.

However, Ukrainians know that the current situation is that Ukraine's exports to the EU are increasing year by year, and have already surpassed its exports to Russia.

The awkward situation is that the east still needs trade with Russia, but that trade has stagnated, while only trade with the west and the EU is still growing.

Signing any agreement means abandoning one side of the country. It requires navigating between the two.

Yanukovych's act of selling off half the country made him an outcast.

Various demonstrations broke out in western Ukraine, and Yanukovych found himself in an embarrassing situation with no one behind him. Of the 15 billion riyals Russia had promised him, only 3 billion had arrived, and eastern Ukraine showed no intention of supporting him.

Yanukovych was born in Donetsk. In February 2014, when the situation escalated, he flew to Donetsk to seek asylum, but the scene he imagined of having control of the eastern half of the country did not materialize.

There was neither a mass protest to protect the presidential palace nor a militia to greet him; the state officials simply ignored him. His past corruption was too serious; the people were discerning and knew that he had chosen Russia for his own presidency, not for the future of eastern Ukraine.

Russia had no intention of supporting his regime; bringing him to Russia to enjoy a comfortable retirement at the last moment was its final act of care for him.

The Russian government judged that Yanukovych's corrupt reputation was too tarnished, and the people in the east were disgusted with him; supporting him would be less effective than directly advocating for a Russian-led global movement. Russian nationalism was rampant in the streets of Donetsk; local radicals and some veterans would support Russia, but not Yanukovych.

So they took action, first testing the waters by annexing Crimea through a referendum. Then they helped pro-Russian armed groups in Donetsk and Luhansk in eastern Ukraine declare independence.

According to their plan, by secretly providing some assistance, they could give these armed groups an advantage, capture some key cities, and then proceed gradually.

But then an unexpected event occurred: immediately after the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, the United States sold a large number of drones to Ukraine, and the separatist armed groups in eastern Ukraine experienced what it meant to have trouble even when they were taking a dump.

After more than a month of turmoil, Russia could no longer tolerate it. Russian President Putin originally planned to simultaneously preserve the Soviet legacy in Syria and reclaim the former Soviet territories in eastern Ukraine.

Now it seems that not a single one can be completed.

Things have come to this point, let's start the war.

On June 1st, Children's Day, Russia officially intervened, directly sending troops to launch a surprise invasion of Ukraine.

One hour and 22 minutes into the attack, Russia's high-precision strikes crippled Ukraine's air defense, airports, military aviation, and other military infrastructure.

On the same day, Iran launched a series of attacks against Israel, resulting in the deaths and injuries of hundreds of civilians.

Interestingly, on the Russo-Ukrainian front, Russia is exhausted by Ukrainian drones, while its ally Iran is using drones to wreak havoc on Israel's entire territory.