Shanghai is prosperous

Chapter 222

"Gudong gudong" poured a big gulp of beer, Yang Lei said, Lao Wang, your summary is quite in place.Hehe, bear's butt, this metaphor is quite novel and vivid.

Wang Yiyuan said that China's total population is the largest in the world, and the number of houses must also be the first.A person living in a certain place must at least have a bed, and if there are some conditions, he must have a room for him to live in. This is a simple worldly truth.

Both Ren Ziping and Yang Lei nodded in agreement.

Wang Yiyuan explained, I mean, the key to affecting housing demand also depends on the movement of employment floating population, which will bring incremental demand.That is to say, these huge floating population, in addition to the room and bed in their hometown, also need at least one bed or room for them in the place where they work and live.

Ren Ziping echoed that, when it comes to floating population, I think of the annual Spring Festival travel.I think the total passenger flow during the Spring Festival travel season is actually a direct reflection of the national employment floating population that Mr. Wang mentioned.

Wang Yiyuan said that with the rapid increase of floating population, the demand for housing in cities where employment is a destination must also be growing rapidly at the same time.Ha ha, then for our country, where are the main employment destinations?

Yang Lei said that, in addition, the rapid improvement of information and transportation conditions, especially the ultra-fast construction of high-speed rail in recent years, has played a huge role in boosting the urbanization process in China and the entire world. "People who come and don't want to leave" objectively further increases the pressure on long-term housing demand in central cities.

Wang Yiyuan thought for a while and said, yes yes.The impact of high-speed rail on the connected cities, the changes it has brought to the urban economic development and people's lives, and the laws of the population flow in the connected cities are all worthy of our serious and systematic research.

Yang Lei said with a smile, especially to let those so-called experts and scholars do a good job of research, instead of talking all day long whether housing prices are going up or down, and making random comments about whether developers are good or bad.

There is a saying that people go to high places.I think this truth is more applicable to China today.Wang Yiyuan said that after nearly 30 years of high-speed economic growth, we are still facing the huge gap between urban and rural areas, the gap between the east and the west, and the gap between the coast and the inland. "People go to higher places" constitutes the base scale of the concentrated population flow to cities driven by the current economic and social development.

Wang Yiyuan said that after reviewing the law of rapid real estate growth in recent years, we can find that most of the cities with the fastest real estate development and leading housing price rises have a very direct relationship with the radiation power of these cities.

He explained that the stronger the radiation range of a city, the greater the pressure of the influx of foreign population, and the faster the real estate will rise.For example, Beijing, Shenzhen, and several cities including Shanghai cover the whole country and even the whole world. The real estate market in these cities is mainly dominated by foreign buyers.

Ren Ziping said with a smile, from the perspective of Maslow's hierarchy of needs theory, people from villages, towns and small cities who get rich first move to big cities, which is in line with the "safety needs" of Maslow's theory.

Yang Lei said that the reality is indeed like this.After the coal boss in Shanxi became rich overnight in the mountains, his first thought was to move his wife, children, parents, and his property to a relatively safe big city; farmers in Jiangsu and Zhejiang who accumulated wealth through handicraft workshops in small counties also wanted to move their children. Only those who are sent to Shanghai and Beijing to go to school will have a guaranteed future.

Wang Yiyuan said, yes.With the reform and opening up, it is an inevitable choice for most people to leave the "small place" and enter the big city for the huge number of wealthy and middle classes emerging from a population base of more than one billion.So there is an unprecedented and huge immigration flood road map of "people from the village go to the county, people from the county go to the provincial capital, people from the provincial capital go to Beijing, Shanghai, and Shenzhen, and people from big cities emigrate abroad." .

The beer was drunk quickly, and the three of them asked the boss for some more, plus some peanuts.

Wang Yiyuan went on to say that, in a sense, due to the gap between urban and rural areas, and the widening gap in resources between big cities and small cities, real estate is actually just a material representation of the "wealth Matthew effect". The materialized embodiment of the widening gap between rich and poor.

Yang Lei said that there has always been a point of view that has influenced the government's decision-making, which is to use the "house price-income ratio" to judge whether there is a real estate bubble, or to judge whether the house price is too high.I actually think that the force driving the rapid rise of housing prices in Chinese cities is not local residents, but "immigrants" pouring in from outside the cities.

Speaking of joy, the three ordered beer several times in succession.

Ren Ziping smiled and said, hehe, today we are discussing real estate issues in this restaurant.I think it is a good article on the current real estate research and judgment by combining the points of view we have just said.

After discussing the real estate issue, the three of them were still very excited.

The three bumped into each other, Ren Ziping took a sip of beer and said, Lao Wang, in fact, if you don't come to us today, we are planning to visit you in the next few days.

Wang Yiyuan asked while biting the tendon of the pig's trotters, what do you need from me?
Ren Ziping looked at Yang Lei, then at Wang Yiyuan, and finally seemed to have made up his mind.He said slowly, the two of us thought that Shanghai's real estate market would improve and have a future, so we had an idea to plan our current company and work independently.

Do you want to start your own business and open a real estate agency?This is a good thing.Wang Yiyuan gnawed and said, I approve of you coming out and doing it yourself.

Ha ha, Lao Wang, that's right.Ren Ziping said, you know, it hasn't been long since both of us graduated, and the market has been bad since the second half of last year, so we haven't accumulated any money until now. In addition, the help from our two families is just a drop in the bucket. What a busy day.

What do you mean, lack of start-up funds?Wang Yiyuan thought about it, and said, how much is the investment in the early stage? Have you planned it?
Ren Ziping bent down, opened the briefcase he was carrying, took out a document from it, and said, hehe, Lao Wang, we have already written a business plan, and we have always wanted to raise funds, but we have never found the right person.We had planned and thought about finding you.

Wang Yiyuan took over the plan and read it carefully.He thought for a while and said, Xiao Ren, we have known each other for many years, and I trust you.In this way, the investment to open a real estate agency company is not too much anyway. If you really want to do it, not only will I contribute part of the capital this time, but I will also bring in another sum of money for you from other places.

(End of this chapter)