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Chapter 270 Prophet Guo Jia

When talking about the most powerful counselor during the Three Kingdoms period, many people will think of Guo Jia.

Guo Jia will not die, but Crouching Dragon will not come out. This is a unique comparison to describe this person's intelligence, which fully shows the importance of Guo Jia.

It's just a pity that Guo Jiaying died young and died of illness at a very talented age.

If Guo Jia does not die, he will become a strong opponent of Zhuge Liang, and it will be difficult for Sima Yi to show up. It may be Cao Wei who unifies the Three Kingdoms.

It can be said that the reason why Cao Cao was able to unify the entire area north of the Yellow River Basin in the early stage was entirely due to Guo Jia.

The reason why many people think that Guo Jia is the number one counselor during the Three Kingdoms period is mainly because Guo Jia's prophetic ability is so powerful.

During the eleven years that Guo Jia became Cao Cao's adviser, he predicted seven major events for Cao Cao, and they all came true in the end.

First, Cao Cao destroyed Yuan Shao.

Second, Liu Bei will rebel.

Third, Cao Cao attacked Liu Bei, but Yuan Shao had no time to attack Cao Cao.

Fourth, Sun Ce would die at the hands of assassins.

Fifth, Yuan Shao's two sons will fall into internal fighting.

Sixth, the northern expedition to Wuhuan will surely return with a great victory.

Seventh, Gongsun Kanghui slaughtered Yuan Shao's two sons and surrendered to Cao Cao.

It is no exaggeration to say that Guo Jia can be called a prophet during the Three Kingdoms period.

"In November of the first year of Jian'an, on the recommendation of Xun Yu, Guo Jia, who had left Yuan Shao for six years, defected to Cao Cao."

"After a detailed discussion, Cao Cao happily said that this is the person who made Guo a great businessman. He also created a special position for Guo Jia as a military advisor."

"In January of the second year of Jian'an, under Xun Yu's ingenious plan to drive away wolves and swallow tigers."

"Liu Bei lost Jingzhou and defected to Cao Cao. Both Xun Yu and Xun You suggested taking this opportunity to kill Liu Bei, the scourge."

"But Cao Cao couldn't bear it because of the friendship he had with Liu Bei recruiting troops together in Pei eight years ago, so he asked Guo Jia for his opinion again."

"Liu Bei has always had a reputation as a hero, but now he is impoverished and has come to seek refuge. If he were to kill him, it would damage the prime minister's reputation. After hearing this, all the counselors in the world would be afraid, and then no one would be willing to seek refuge."

"I have to say that Guo Jia's suggestion is very correct."

"At this time, Cao Cao's territory was small and surrounded by powerful enemies. There were Yuan Shao in the north, Zhang Xiu in the west, Yuan Shu in the south, and Lu Bu in the east. There were also many conflicts within the court."

"We need to establish a banner of prestige and benevolence. If we kill Liu Bei, he will be the first prince to withdraw from the struggle for hegemony."

"So Guo Jia not only disapproved of killing Liu Bei, but also suggested that Cao Cao should help Liu Bei."

"Because Zhang Xiu and Liu Biao, who are entrenched in Wancheng at this time, have formed an alliance. There is a high probability that they will attack Xuchang while Cao Cao is attacking Xuzhou."

"And Liu Bei can just resist Lu Bu, which will buy time for the next attack on Zhang Xiu."

"Cao Cao thought it was very reasonable, so he gave Liu Bei two thousand soldiers and horses, went to Xiaopei to gather his old troops, and then led an army of 100,000 to attack Zhang Xiu."

"Guo Jia also predicted that Liu Biao would not reinforce Zhang Xiu, and Zhang Xiu finally surrendered in February."

"But Cao Cao hooked up with Zhang Xiu's sister-in-law, which caused Zhang Xiu to surrender and then rebel again."

Li Shimin: Yuan Shao was short-sighted and had no knowledge of people, so he lost Guo Jia, a genius.

Guo Jia's great talent is the only one he has ever seen in his life, which is evident from the fact that each of his predictions finally came true.

But Yuan Shao didn't have that fate, he had a treasure but didn't know it, and he couldn't blame anyone for his final defeat at the hands of Cao Cao.

Guo Jia was smart since he was a child. When he was more than ten years old, he analyzed the world's major events very clearly and was praised by the world.

At that time, during the war in the late Eastern Han Dynasty, Guo Jia secretly made friends with heroes from all walks of life and lived in seclusion in the mountains.

Not long after Guo Jia performed the ceremony of weak crown, he decided to find a place in this chaotic world. The fledgling Guo Jia decided to join Yuan Shao, the family of the fourth generation and the third prince.

If Yuan Shao could reuse Guo Jia, there might not have been the subsequent Battle of Guandu.

But it is a pity that Yuan Shao has no real ability to recognize people. He likes to plan but has no decisiveness at all.

It was precisely for this reason that Guo Jia made up his mind to leave Yuan Shao and join Cao Cao.

Yuan Shao's experience also secretly warned him that he must have a pair of eyes that are good at discovering talents, otherwise he may regret it later.

But what pleased him was that he always treated talents with great courtesy, and nothing like Yuan Shao would happen.

"This defeat was also humiliated by a letter from Yuan Shao. Cao Cao wanted to attack Yuan Shao and teach him a lesson, but he lamented that he was not strong enough."

"At this time, Guo Jia said that there will be a battle between the lord and Yuan Shao in the next five years, and they will definitely be defeated. He also put forward the famous "Theory of Ten Victories and Ten Defeats" to explain."

"Liu Bang defeated Xiang Yu, and the prime minister knows it."

"Xiang Yu was powerful in force. Although Liu Bang was only more resourceful than Xiang Yu, he eventually forced Xiang Yu to commit suicide in Wujiang River."

"In his opinion, Yuan Shao has ten reasons for defeat, while the prime minister has ten reasons for victory."

"So although Yuan Shao is strong, he can't do anything to the prime minister."

"First, Yuan Shao has too many cumbersome etiquette."

"But the Prime Minister follows nature and does not stick to red tape. This is a better way than Yuan Shao."

"Second, Yuan Shao sent troops with the motive of rebelling against the Han Dynasty."

"And the prime minister fought in the name of reviving the Han Dynasty. This is more righteous than Yuan Shao."

"Third, the demise of the Eastern Han Dynasty was mainly due to the loosening of lower-level management."

"Yuan Shao's management system is too loose and cannot have a deterrent effect."

"But the prime minister governs the government with strictness, and the whole army acts in accordance with the law. This is superior to Yuan Shao in management."

"Fourth, Yuan Shao is magnanimous on the surface but suspicious on the inside. He is also very suspicious of the people he uses. Only relatives and friends are the ones he uses."

"But the prime minister appears to be simple and easy on the surface, but he knows everything in his heart. He never doubts his employing people. Regardless of whether he is close or distant, he will boldly use them as long as he has talent. This is better than Yuan Shao in terms of tolerance."

"Fifth, Yuan Shao is good at thinking but has difficulty making decisions. He is indecisive and misses the opportunity to fight."

"The prime minister is decisive in decision-making, efficient in execution, and has strong adaptability. This is a strategy that surpasses Yuan Shao."

"Sixth, Yuan Shao's ministers like to show their nobility through eloquent speeches for generations, so most of the people who seek refuge with him are those who can flatter and frame themselves."

"But the Prime Minister treats others sincerely, does not seek vanity, practices frugality himself to set an example for his subordinates, and is never stingy with those who have merit."

"Therefore, people who are loyal, upright, farsighted, and capable are willing to join the prime minister. This is a moral choice better than Yuan Shao."

"Seventh, Yuan Shao was very compassionate towards the hungry and cold people he saw, but he didn't take into account the ones he couldn't see."

"But the Prime Minister is informal about the small things in front of him, but he is not negligent in big things."

"Care about the country and the people, and extend kindness to the hungry and poor people all over the world, without omissions."

"So his reputation far exceeds that of Yuan Shao, which means he is better than Yuan Shao in terms of benevolence and virtue."

"Eighth, Yuan Shao's ministers are fighting for power, and slanders are spreading everywhere to confuse people."

"The prime minister teaches his subordinates morally and prevents such intrigues from happening. This is wiser than Yuan Shao."

"Ninth, Yuan Shao does not distinguish between right and wrong, rewards and punishments."

"The prime minister will use rewards to promote what he thinks is right, and correct what he thinks is wrong by punishing him in accordance with the law. This is a better management culture than Yuan Shao."

"Tenth, Yuan Shao likes to bluff and does not understand the essentials of the art of war."

"But the Prime Minister can defeat more with less and use his troops like a god. All our soldiers trust him and his enemies are afraid of him. This is superior to the Prime Minister in terms of military strategy."

"Prime Minister, if you have these ten advantages over Yuan Shao, defeating Yuan Shao will not be difficult."

Changsun Wuji: Guo Jia's "Ten Victories and Ten Defeats" is breathtaking and worthy of study by us officials of the Tang Dynasty.

He is familiar with Guo Jia's article "Ten Victories and Ten Defeats" by heart and deeply understands its profound meaning.

This article analyzed Cao Cao's advantages from ten aspects, which greatly increased Cao Cao's confidence and gave him the courage to face the powerful Yuan Shao.

The ten aspects pointed out by Guo Jia include political measures, policies and laws, organizational lines and personal ideological cultivation, magnanimity, character, literary and military strategies and other factors, which are all related to the success or failure of a person's career. The essential.

Guo Jia summarized these ten victories for Cao Cao. It may be a compliment to Cao Cao when he first arrived, or it may be an encouragement and request to Cao Cao.

I hope Cao Cao can maintain this ten-win advantage and complete the great cause of unifying the world, and Guo Jia himself will have a future.

However, his speculations are of little significance.

In any case, Guo Jia can tell these ten victories, which shows that Guo Jia is not only a counselor who can provide advice on situations, but also has a complete set of theories.

"In the first month of the third year of Jian'an, Cao Cao wanted to attack Yuan Shu, who had proclaimed himself emperor."

"Guo Jia said that Lu Bu is a person who forgets his loyalty when he sees profit. He can be named General Zuo and Mu of Xuzhou. This will prevent him from colluding with Yuan Shu."

"In the end, Yuan Shu lost Shouchun under the siege of Cao Cao, Liu Bei, Sun Ce, and Lu Bu, and became a withered skeleton lingering in the grave."

"In April, Cao Cao made three expeditions to Wancheng and Zhangxiu, and won another victory due to Guo Jia's strategy of retreating and luring the enemy."

"From then on, Zhang Xiu no longer had the strength to attack Cao Cao's rear."

"Guo Jia then decisively proposed that it was time to solve the problem of Lu Bu in Xuzhou."

"Lü Bu in Xuzhou is really a serious threat. The prime minister can first capture Lü Bu and sweep away the southeast, and then eliminate Yuan Shao."

"Cao Cao was worried that Yuan Shao would not agree and would even support other princes to steal their homes again."

"Guo Jia said that Yuan Shao is now thinking about how to quickly annex the territories of Gongsun Zan and Kong Rong. Instead, he is afraid that his lord will form an alliance with them."

"As long as we send eloquent people to explain the power to them, we can definitely get the time needed to win Xuzhou."

"The result of the negotiation was even smoother than Guo Jia predicted. Yuan Shao not only supported Cao Cao in attacking Lu Bu, but also funded 5,000 soldiers and horses to transport grain, grass and weapons."

"In October of the third year of Jian'an, Lu Bu retreated under attack by the coalition forces of Cao Cao and Liu Bei."

"Cao Cao, who had been unable to attack for a long time, was in need of food and supplies, so he had the idea of ​​​​retreating."

"Guo Jiaze decided to stick to it and said he had a clever plan that could help break up the city."

"And this clever plan is to dig out the Yishui River and flood it. Lu Bu was forced to open the city and surrender."

"In May of the fourth year of Jian'an, Liu Bei took advantage of Guo Jia and Xun Yu's inspection tour and asked Cao Cao for orders to intercept Yuan Shu who wanted to defect to Hebei."

"Cao Cao was careless and asked Liu Bei to lead an army of 50,000 people."

"When Guo Jia came back and learned the news, he immediately came to remind Cao Cao."

"Said that my original intention was to put Liu Bei under house arrest, and just use him for a small amount of time without letting him control a large number of troops."

"The Prime Minister must have had foresight in not killing Liu Bei, but he should not let him go."

"The ancients said that in one day, you can conquer the troubles of thousands of generations."

"After being reminded, Cao Cao suddenly realized it and immediately sent people to recall Liu Bei, but Liu Bei ignored him at all."

"Cao Cao can only hope that his confidants can maintain the situation in Xuzhou, so Liu Bei will not be able to do anything."

Jia Xu: The prime minister was temporarily soft-hearted, which eventually led to catastrophe and let Liu Bei go.

When Guo Jia wanted to keep Liu Bei alive, he agreed to do so.

Why didn't Guo Jia directly ask the prime minister to kill Liu Bei, but instead made a suggestion of house arrest?

Even an unknown counselor can see the truth. Couldn't a counselor of Guo Jia's level be able to see the truth?

And this is precisely the cleverness of Guo Jia, and even he has to admire it.

Guo Jia knew that the prime minister was a man who loved talents. He loved Liu Bei, especially his subordinate Guan Yu, to the core. It was definitely impossible to kill Liu Bei.

In fact, the prime minister had already made his own decision before asking Guo Jia the question, he just wanted to use other people's words to find a ladder for himself.

That's why Guo Jiacai put forward such a neutral suggestion that was relatively acceptable to the Prime Minister, so that he would not be unable to step down.

But he didn't expect that the prime minister would not even accept house arrest, but would become closer to Liu Bei.

It is estimated that the prime minister at that time would never have thought that because of this soft-heartedness, he had planted a huge disaster for himself, and later he was almost killed by the person he loved.

Fortunately, Hua Rongdao met Guan Yu, who was also soft-hearted, and allowed the prime minister to escape.

"But Guo Jia had already expected that Liu Bei would rebel, so in order to avoid a three-front war, Guo Jia and Xun Yu planned to recruit Zhang Xiu from Wancheng again."

"Fortunately, with Jia Xu's help, Cao Cao and Zhang Xiu got married in November."

"Sure enough, a month later, Liu Bei killed Cao Cao's confidants in Xuzhou for rebellion."

"At this time, Yuan Shao's army is confronting Cao Cao in Xingyang, and a war will break out at any time."

"Xun Yu and other advisers suggested appeasing Liu Bei first and then attacking after making peace with Yuan Shao."

"But Guo Jia strongly advised Cao Cao to take advantage of Yuan Shao's hesitation to attack and raise troops to recapture Xuzhou."

"Liu Bei has newly organized his troops, but the public is still unconvinced. If the prime minister leads his troops to the east, a battle can be decisive."

"But Cao Cao is still worried that Yuan Shao will really attack. Guo Jia also said that Yuan Shao is constantly plotting, and no matter how good the opportunity is, he can't seize it."

"Yuan Shao is very arrogant at this time and doesn't bother to make sneak attacks."

"And the northern part of Xuzhou is controlled by Zongba, so the Xuzhou nobles will never be buried with Liu Bei."

"We can definitely retake Xuzhou in a short time. At that time, even if Yuan Shao attacked, it would be too late. Sure enough, everything was as Guo Jia expected."

"Yuan Shao refused to send troops after receiving Liu Bei's letter asking for help. Tian Feng begged him hard, but he was indifferent."

"It turns out that Yuan Shao's favorite youngest son is sick. This son looks most like him, tall and handsome. He is afraid that something will happen to him after the march."

"So now I am not in the mood to fight at all, so I missed the best opportunity."

"Since Liu Bei had not received the report from Yuan Shao's army for a long time, he saw that Cao Cao's army would arrive a day later, so he prepared to use Zhang Fei's plan to rob the camp."

"But there was God's will in the dark. Cao Cao's army broke the red tooth flag just after they arrived in Xuzhou."

"Cao Cao asked Guo Jia, what good or bad luck does this master have?"

"If you don't care, Liu Bei will come to rob the camp tonight."

"As soon as Zhang Fei and Liu Bei rushed into Cao Cao's camp, they were surrounded by Cao Cao's troops from all directions."

"Liu Bei saw that the situation was not good, so he decisively gave up command and broke out of the encirclement as soon as possible. This Eastern Expedition only took a month."

Li Longji: It can be said that all the credit for Cao Cao's ability to defeat Yuan Shao in the Battle of Guandu and completely lay the foundation for his unification of the world lies with Guo Jia.

Guo Jia will not die, and Crouching Dragon will not come out. From this, we can get a glimpse of Guo Jia's importance to the situation of the Three Kingdoms.

Guo Jia actually did not make many suggestions under Cao Cao's account. Instead, he has been helping Cao Cao make decisions. He can be said to be an unparalleled adviser.

Cao Cao has a loyal minister like Guo Jia, and he doesn't know when he will meet such a minister.

After Cao Cao became a eunuch, he was looked down upon by people at the time, but in fact he was very courageous and capable of accomplishing great things.

At that time, Cao Cao was the general of the world and was granted the title of Marquis of Wu Ping. His status was highly respected.

After the death of counselor Xi Zhicai, Cao Cao has always wanted to find a suitable counselor to take over the former's position.

At this time, Xun Yu, under Cao Cao, recommended Guo Jia to him.

After Guo Jia came to Cao Ying, he discussed world affairs with Cao Cao.

During the dinner, Cao Cao was deeply impressed by Guo Jia's insights and treated Guo Jia with great courtesy. The two even went to the extent of sleeping and eating together.

But I have to admit that judging from how Guo Jia later helped Cao Cao win the Battle of Guandu, Guo Jia can fully afford Cao Cao's high courtesy.

If there were officials in his Tang Dynasty who were as talented as Guo Jia, he would be willing to give them such high courtesy.

"In February of the fifth year of Jian'an, Yuan Shao raised an army of 300,000 to attack Cao Cao."

"Cao Cao successively won the battles of Baima and Yanjin, but the situation of the enemy being strong and the other being weak has not changed."

"In March, Sun Ce sent an envoy to Xuchang to pay tribute and inquire about Cao Cao's true identity."

"Cao Cao and other ministers were afraid that Sun Ce would attack from the south, so they came up with the idea of ​​seeking peace with Yuan Shao." "But Guo Jia said that Sun Ce was impatient and had little strategy. He was just an ordinary man's bravery and would surely die in the hands of villains one day."

"Besides, if Sun Ce wants to attack our army, he will definitely leave Guangling. With Chen Deng here, he can sit back and relax. My lord does not need to send heavy troops to pay attention."

"The development of the matter was indeed as expected by Guo Jia. In May, Sun Ce was assassinated by a retainer of the Wujun Prefect."

"At this time, Liu Biao had just put down the rebellion in the four southern counties of Jingzhou, and he would not send troops northward until he recovered his strength."

"In this way, Cao Cao no longer had any worries and led his troops to resist Yuan Shao in August."

"Immediately afterwards, the armies of Yuan Shao and Cao Cao met at Yangwu."

"Cao Cao saw Yuan Shao's army with banners fluttering, dense as clouds, and on the defensive despite its strong momentum. He was worried that attacking first would be at a disadvantage, so he hesitated and waited."

"At this time, Guo Jia quickly said that Yuan Shao can be on the defensive, but the prime minister cannot."

"Our elite army, one to ten, should defeat the enemy's spirit. If it is delayed for a few days, food and grass will be short, and then it will be dangerous."

"The prime minister used 70,000 men to resist 700,000 enemy troops. He must make a decisive decision. If there is any hesitation, the morale of the army will be unstable."

"A wise commander must make the right decision immediately."

"Cao Cao listened to Guo Jia's advice and decisively commanded the death squads to attack Yuan Shao's army."

"Facing this small force, Yuan Jun's left and right wings actually showed signs of retreating uneasily."

"Cao Cao saw this opportunity and sent out elite cavalry to invade."

"This battle lasted until dark. If Liu Bei's 3,000 troops had not stood still, Cao Cao would not have just won a small victory."

"This battle also greatly dampened Yuan Shao's arrogance in eagerly capturing Xuchang."

"After the war, Cao's army retreated to Guandu Xiazhai, blocking the way to Xuchang."

"Yuan Jun pursued Cao's camp nearly 100 meters away and stretched for 30 miles, forming a confrontation with him."

"In the past two months since then, Yuan Jun used various methods such as building fortresses and digging tunnels to attack, but Cao Jun was able to resolve them one by one."

Wang Anshi: I can even predict that Sun Ce will die at the hands of villains, I have to admire him.

If he successfully predicted other major events, he could also say that Guo Jia deduced them based on a series of intelligence.

But Sun Ce's cause of death could be accurately predicted. This was more than just a magical calculation.

Cao Cao sent people to attack Liu Bei, but he returned with a great defeat.

Cao Cao was dissatisfied and decided to attack personally, but was opposed by all the soldiers.

After all, Yuan Shao, who was heading south, was approaching Guandu at this time, and the battle at Guandu was inevitable.

If he divides his troops to attack Liu Bei again, Cao's troops will inevitably fall into a dangerous situation of fighting between two sides.

At this time, Guo Jia firmly stood on Cao Cao's side, analyzing the pros and cons, so that Cao Cao could safely send troops to attack Liu Bei.

The final result is also obvious. When Cao Jun has beaten Liu Bei out of sight, Yuan Shao's troops still don't know where they are patrolling.

While Cao Cao was dealing with Liu Bei and Yuan Shao, all the Jiangdong heroes had been annexed by the aggressive Sun Ce.

Cao Cao asked Guo Jia for his opinion on dealing with Sun Ce, but Guo Jia was able to predict Sun Ce's tragic ending.

Sun Ce was very good at winning over people, and he had many people who were loyal to him.

But Sun Ce was headstrong and neglected to take precautions. He commanded millions of soldiers, but often stood under dangerous walls. He would surely die at the hands of assassins in the future.

The final result was just as Guo Jia predicted. Sun Ce was stabbed to death by the enemy's followers before he could cross Jiangdong.

"Since then, the Battle of Guandu has entered a stalemate. Cao Cao has been worried that Yuan Shao will split his troops to attack Xudu, and he is also worried about insufficient food and grass."

"So I came up with the idea of ​​retreating and seeking peace, so I asked the counselors for their opinions."

"Both Liu Ye and Xun You saw that Cao Cao was lacking in confidence and wanted to retreat, so they both encouraged Cao Cao."

"It means that Yuan Jun has used various tactics such as digging tunnels this month, and we have cracked them one by one."

"They no longer have any good tactics. If they had a good method, they would have used it long ago. This is a sign that the enemy is about to fail."

"Cao Cao felt much relieved after hearing these words."

"But Guo Jia, who is number one in the world, saw that his lord was still not very firm in his heart, so he asked Jia Xu and Chen Yu, who were sharp-tongued, to do the ideological work again."

"Jia Xu and Chen Yu analyzed the pros and cons from all aspects, and finally Cao Cao persisted."

"After Yuan Shao's internal changes, he won the Battle of Guandu."

"In March of the sixth year of Jian'an, Guo Jia assisted Cao Cao in winning the battle of Cangting with Yuan Shao."

"Then he beat Liu Bei in Runan until he had no choice but to defect to Liu Biao. At this time, peasant uprisings broke out many times in various parts of Jizhou, and Yuan Shao was exhausted and fell ill."

"Based on this, Guo Jia judged that Yuan Shao's life was not long ago, and he was sure that after his death, he would appoint his youngest son as his successor. By then, there would be civil strife in Hebei."

"So I suggest Cao Cao recharge his batteries and wait to clean up the mess."

"Sure enough, Yuan Shao vomited blood and died half a year later. Guo Jia predicted everything he would do after his death."

"Yuan Tan was dissatisfied with his younger brother Yuan Shang. After half a year of grievances, Guo Jia thought it was time to use troops against the Yuan brothers."

"In the winter of the seventh year of Jian'an, Cao Cao captured Liyang and attacked Jizhou."

"So Yuan Tan asked his brother Yuan Shang for troops, horses and weapons. Yuan Shang not only refused to give them, but also transferred him back to Yecheng for defense. This made Yuan Tan extremely dissatisfied."

"Liu Biao, who was far away in Jingzhou, wrote letters to persuade the brothers to make peace, and sent Liu Bei to lead the northern expedition with 10,000 troops to reduce the pressure on their brothers."

"Liu Bei's attack went very smoothly, and he reached Ye County, a hundred miles away from Xudu, in one month."

"So Cao Cao prepared to go south to conquer Liu Bei personally, but was stopped by Xun Yu and Guo Jia."

"The two said that Liu Bei had suffered repeated defeats and his morale was low. Now he is running all the way on raids and the supply line is too long."

"You only need to send a general to stop the attack. I suggest Cao Cao continue to attack the Yuan brothers."

"Cao Cao thought it made sense, so he sent Xiahou Dun to fight against Liu Bei."

Zhu Yuanzhang: The ending of Yuan Shao's two sons killing each other seems to be based on the script written by Guo Jia. It's really amazing.

Cao Cao raised an army to attack Yuan Shao's two sons. The battle went extremely smoothly. Seeing victory in sight, Guo Jia proposed to retreat.

This is where Guo Jia's vision is vicious, because he has already anticipated what will happen next.

Yuan Shao did not arrange the priority of his two sons before his death. The two sons' counselors Guo Tu and Feng Ji would inevitably instigate internal strife between them.

If we fight now, the two of them must work together to deal with Cao Jun, which will inevitably increase the difficulty of attacking the city.

If they had taken the time to attack Liu Biao first, the two brothers would have thought that the danger was over and started fighting among themselves. At that time, they would have been easily captured.

Sure enough, everything was as Guo Jia expected.

When Guo Jia was alive, most of the wars he participated in were successfully won.

Because of Guo Jia, the Cao Cao Group became the dominant force among the heroes.

Cao Cao had many generals who were good at fighting and talented civil servants, but none of them could compare with Guo Jia's decision-making ability.

But he was not too envious, after all, Li Shanchang, the founding hero of the Ming Dynasty, was no weaker than Guo Jia.

"Faced with 50,000 Qingzhou troops, Liu Bei withdrew after holding on for two months."

"After Cao Cao learned of Xiahou Dun's victory, he decisively sent troops to Yecheng in April."

"At this time Guo Jia came up with another brilliant plan. He suggested to surround Yecheng without attacking."

"Just put huge pressure on the Yuan brothers and make them afraid to leave the city."

"Then they will retreat and attack plains and other places. Then the Yuan brothers will divide their forces."

"Given the nature of these two people, if one is in danger, the other will not rescue them."

"It won't take long before the two of them will turn against each other."

"By then our army will be able to clean up the mess, and it will be much easier to capture Hebei."

"Things turned out exactly as Guo Jia predicted. Cao Cao attacked Yuan Tan's home plain, but Yuan Shang refused to rescue him."

"Then Cao Cao retreated to Liyang, and Yuan Tan invited Yuan Shang to join him in the pursuit, but Yuan Shang did not participate."

"After that, Yuan Tan asked for soldiers, horses and weapons many times, but Yuan Shang refused."

"Coupled with the grievances caused by the establishment of an heir, Yuan Tan finally couldn't bear it anymore, and he planned a Hongmen Banquet to kill Yuan Shang."

"Unexpectedly, the matter was revealed, and Yuan Tan was forced to flee back to the plains, and was then attacked by Yuan Shang's 50,000-strong army."

"At this time, Guo Tu came up with a plan to let Yuan Tan surrender to Cao Cao first, and then join forces to destroy Yuan Shang and then restore the country in Xuzhou."

"But how could Guo Tu's innocent trick be hidden from Guo Jia?"

"It is recommended that Cao Cao use his strategy to defeat the Yuan brothers again. In this way, Yuan Shang lost Jizhou and Youzhou and fled to Wuhuan."

"In the autumn of the 11th year of Jian'an, the northern nomadic Wuhuan people colluded with brothers Yuan Shang and Yuan Xi and raided the border of Youzhou many times."

"Cao Cao couldn't bear it anymore and wanted to send troops to wipe out this force."

"Almost all the advisers opposed this expedition, citing a series of issues such as food and situation to prove that it was difficult to win."

"Only Guo Jia fully supports it, saying that the remnants of the Yuan family have not yet fully integrated with Wuhuan."

"If we let it go, they will become monolithic in a few years after various social classes intermarry."

"Once it becomes powerful by then, it will be extremely difficult for our army to capture it, and future unification of the world may come to nothing."

"Although starting a war now is not good for our army, it is even more bad for Wuhuan."

"After all, the enemy's supplies are far inferior to our army. With the financial resources of the four states, we can open water transportation channels within half a year."

"This project that benefits the people and the military can not only solve the problem of food and grass, but also win the support of the people."

"Besides, Wu Huan would never have imagined that our army would dare to conduct an expedition across the desert. This thousand-mile attack is exactly the way for a military strategist to win."

"Cao Cao was also worried that Liu Biao would attack Xudu during the Northern Expedition. Guo Jia also said that Liu Biao was just talking big words and was just a boastful guy."

"This guy had two excellent opportunities to attack Xudu before, but both failed due to conservative deployment of troops. He has long lost confidence in the Northern Expedition."

"Besides, Liu Bei is doing all sorts of poaching around him, and Sun Quan is eyeing him again. He will never send another soldier this time."

"After listening to Guo Jia's analysis, Cao Cao decisively adopted these suggestions."

Cao Cao: What Guo Jia said is indeed reasonable. It makes Gubei Zheng less worried.

He killed Yuan Shao's eldest son Yuan Tan, and his second son and third son fled to the territory of the Wuhuan people in the north.

Although he wanted to eliminate the roots and pursue his two sons, he was afraid that Liu Biao of Jingzhou would take the opportunity to attack his base camp.

Moreover, most of his soldiers also opposed the Northern Expedition, but fortunately after Guo Jia's analysis, he could confidently and boldly proceed with the Northern Expedition and achieve final victory.

As Guo Jia said, Liu Biao of Jingzhou was a giant of language but a dwarf of action, who could only sit and talk.

Liu Biao was afraid that his talents would not be able to control Liu Bei, and he was also afraid that Liu Bei would not be used by him.

In order to be wary of Liu Bei, Liu Biao would not easily send troops to the Central Plains to attack his base camp.

With no worries, he immediately led his army to the north.

Halfway through the march, Guo Jia also gave valuable advice.

When running for thousands of miles, the key is to be unexpected. If there is too much baggage, the movement will be slow and sooner or later the opponent will notice it. It is better to throw away the baggage and use a light vehicle to attack the enemy unprepared.

He followed Guo Jia's suggestion and arranged a group of soldiers to carry baggage to confuse the enemy.

And he personally led a group of light soldiers, working day and night, to suddenly attack outside Wuhuan City.

When the enemy saw the army descending from heaven, they panicked and collapsed in one blow.

The final result of the battle was also very fruitful. The leader of Wuhuan was killed, and Yuan Shao's two sons fled to Liaodong and joined Gongsun Kang.

The reason why he was able to win so smoothly was thanks to the strategy proposed by Guo Jia.

"After more than half a year of preparation, Yu launched the expedition against Wuhuan in the summer of the twelfth year of Jian'an."

"But during the march, Guo Jia fell ill."

"Guo Jia declined the kindness of Cao Cao's squadron, saying that the army must not give up the expedition just for him alone."

"Now is a critical moment. The entire army should give up unnecessary baggage and spend a lot of money to find guides to lead the way."

"The elite vanguard, lightly armed and simple, went straight to Wuhuan's lair without giving the enemy time to prepare for defense."

"Cao Cao agreed to this strategy and asked Guo Jia to return to Yizhou with the baggage troops to recuperate."

"Cao Cao never imagined that this would be his final farewell to Guo Jia."

"Four months later, Cao Cao returned victoriously from his expedition to Wuhuan."

"But after receiving the bad news that my beloved military advisor had died a few days ago, I couldn't help but let out a sad cry."

"If Guo Jia dies, God wants to kill me."

"But even after death, Guo Jia is still very powerful. Before he died, he left a legacy for Cao Cao."

"It is said that Yuan Shang and Yuan Xi defected to Gongsun Kang of Liaodong. If our army advances immediately."

"Gongsun Kang will definitely defend with the Yuan brothers. It will be very difficult for our army to take the city."

"It is better to postpone the attack, then Gongsun Kang will think that the Yuan brothers are actually taking the opportunity to invade his territory."

"It won't be long before they start fighting among themselves and killing each other."

"And things developed exactly as Guo Jia predicted. Three months later, the Yuan brothers were killed."

"Gongsun Kang surrendered and Cao Cao pacified Liaodong."

"Looking back on Guo Jia's life, he was resourceful and wise, and he was able to predict events like a god."

"It can be said that Guo Jia has been the best counselor in the world during his eleven years of service."

"Cao Cao also wanted to entrust him with the funeral affairs and let him be his future prime minister, that is, he regarded him as his own Zhuge Liang."

"The premature death of this genius not only made Cao Cao sad that he had lost a talent, but also made him feel that he had lost a confidant."

"So I miss Guo Jia and hope to meet such a talented person again."

"Land the Jieshi to the east to view the sea."

"Where is the water? The mountains and islands are standing tall."

“The trees are thick and the grass is luxuriant.”

"The autumn wind is bleak, and the waves are rising."

"The journey of the sun and the moon can be traced out of it."

"The stars are as brilliant as if they came from within."

"Fortunately, I sing to express my ambition."

Zhu Di: If Guo Jia were alive, Cao Cao would most likely unify the north and then the whole country, but it is a pity that God is jealous of talents.

When it comes to the Three Kingdoms period, people will think of the righteous Guan Yu, the cunning and changeable Cao Cao, the unpredictable Zhuge Liang, and Zhou Gongjin who died young.

In fact, during the Three Kingdoms period, not only did these well-known historical figures emerge, Guo Jia also made outstanding contributions, and it can even be said that his contribution was no less than that of Zhuge Liang.

However, Guo Jia's untimely death made Guo Jia's presence weak, and his reputation was somewhat unknown compared to other top counselors.

However, he believes that if Guo Jiacai had not been short of breath, perhaps the Three Kingdoms would not have appeared on the stage of history at all.

This can be verified from Cao Cao's subsequent failure in the Battle of Chibi.

Shortly after Guo Jia's death, Cao Cao was defeated in the Battle of Chibi and lost millions of troops accumulated over the years. From then on, the trend of dividing the world into three parts gradually formed.

(End of this chapter)