After divorce, I can hear the voice of the future

Chapter 582 Man’s calculation is not as good as God’s calculation

Chapter 582 Man’s calculation is not as good as God’s calculation
“What’s the sentiment like in pre-market trading?”

eight pm,

Lu Liang came to the seventeenth floor of the New International Building.

When he was in Suzhou, he called Sun Yutao and asked him to pay attention to Tesla's pre-market trading today.

Unlike A-shares, pre-market trading of U.S. stocks has significant significance, mainly reflecting market expectations and sentiment.

At that time, Lu Liang was hosting a new car launch conference and had no time to take care of it, so he could only ask Sun Yutao to keep an eye on it to see if their launch conference would have any impact on Tesla.

He started preparing for short selling last month and contacted the necessary securities lending institutions in advance, but short selling requires a reason and the boost of market sentiment.

Just like a person cannot step on his right foot with his left foot and then fly to the sky, the same applies to short selling and long selling. If something happens without a reason, there will be a counterattack.

"Mr. Lu, pre-market trading starts at 4:00 p.m., and at 4:10 p.m., there was a large drop in volatility."

Sun Yutao took out a notebook and recorded the time of Tesla’s stock price fluctuations and the key nodes of the new car launch conference.

At 29.89:28.49 p.m., Lu Liang announced the selling price of Tianshu, 3 Tianshu and Maodou , appearing as competing products.

At that time, the stock price fluctuated with a large decline, indicating that investors in the market believed that the emergence of Tianxing Tianshu would affect the sales of Maodou 3.

Tesla has two best-selling cars, namely Edamame Y and Edamame 3. Y is an SUV model and 3 is a sedan model.

The sales of both models are very good, especially since the beginning of this year, with monthly sales exceeding 10,000.

Although there are X and S models, the monthly sales are only a few hundred, which is basically of little help to the company's revenue.

It can be said that the Y and 3 models each account for half of Tesla's revenue.

This point has just been fulfilled.

Tianxing Automobile updated the video, Lu Liang said that their locked order volume reached more than 37,000 units.

Although there might be malicious orders placed by someone, no one except Lu Liang and his companions knew how many malicious orders had been placed.

The financial market has always been prone to believe everything it hears.

They didn’t care whether the order was placed with malicious intent or not, they only heard that Tianshu locked in orders for nearly 40,000 units in one hour.

They will only wonder how many of them were planning to buy Edamame 3, but fell in love with someone else because of the appearance of Tianshu?
Is it one tenth, one fifth, one third, or more?

Half of Tesla's market share was damaged, with sales shrinking by one-tenth, one-fifth, and one-third.

So is it still worth a market value of 2100 billion US dollars?

All these negative emotions were revealed in the five and a half hours of pre-market trading.

If Tesla does not respond in time or take countermeasures, the stock will open at least four points lower.

Four points is already a very large drop, especially for a company that has been listed for many years and is on an upward trend.

US stocks are not like A-shares. A decline requires strong logic. On the day Steve Jobs died, Apple fell for three consecutive days, but only by 4.92%.

For Tesla, which has a market value of $2100 billion, a 4-point drop means $84 billion in losses.

"It's still not enough."

Lu Liang frowned and looked at the time: "Keep waiting, we'll talk about it at ten o'clock."

He resisted the urge to question Hu Weiwei in real time and asked her to call him at 9:50.

For shorting Tesla, profit is just a by-product and secondary. His goal is to shatter the halo.

Tonight's decline will be at least 6%.

It would be better to make the market realize that it is Tianshu that puts pressure on Tesla.

Lu Liang looked at Sun Yutao and said, "Go get ready. We need to sell at least 50 shares tonight."

They also hold 620 million, or 3.51% of the outstanding shares, with a holding value of $73.71 billion.

It may seem like a lot, but this is a long-term battle, and we cannot simply rely on short selling provided by institutions.

The chips they hold must not be less than 500 million shares in order to suppress the stock price in the long term.

If Lu Liang wants Tesla, which is in an upward channel, to enjoy the same treatment as retail investors in the A-share market, the stock price must continue to fall.

Tonight is just the beginning.

Sun Yutao responded and walked aside to contact the institution to apply for a large-scale securities lending channel.

They hold 620 million shares, so they don't have to worry about a rebound when they close their short positions.

You can wait until three or four in the morning, when the market is close to closing and trading volume is shrinking.

Sell ​​with the left hand and buy with the right hand, maximizing profits while suppressing Tesla’s stock price.

Time passes minute by minute,
The U.S. stock market opened at 9:30, marking the 22nd consecutive day of gains.

Thanks to Trump's modern version of the lockdown policy, the U.S. stock market has completely entered a bull market.

The Dow Jones Index has continued to rise, rising by more than 3000 points since January this year.

Continuously breaking historical highs, some A-share investors once joked that the U.S. stock market would also begin a battle to defend the 20,000 points.

As a result, the clown was actually me, and the battle to defend the Dow Jones Index's 20,000 points lasted only half a year.

The sideways correction of the US stock market is called a sideways correction, and the sideways correction of the A-share market is a continuous decline. "26,000 by the end of the year, 29,000 next year, and 31,000 the year after."

Lu Liang sighed and looked at the Shanghai Composite Index. He knew the future of the Dow Jones, but he didn't know the future of the A-share market.

Maybe the A-share market has no future. After three to five years, it will still be struggling at 3,000 points, so he can't hear any sound.

Lu Liang gathered his thoughts and focused on Tesla again. The stock price fell by -3.25% at the opening, and the stock price was $1125, with a market value of less than $2000 billion.

Sun Yutao looked at Lu Liang, wanting to know how many orders they had locked in now and when they would announce it.

The congratulatory message sent by the official account of Tianxing Automobile is their signal that they are shorting Tesla.

"Wait another 20 minutes."

Lu Liang had a smile on his face as he played with his lighter, which made a popping sound.

Suddenly I saw two more names on the lighter and couldn't help but smile.

Su Wanyu knew that he didn't smoke now, but he still kept the habit of playing with his lighter, especially when he was thinking about something.

So some time ago, she secretly stole his lighter while he was sleeping and printed her and the little guy's name on it.

She also told him to tell her next time if the laser printed disc is lost, so that she can print it again.

Lu Liang looked at the other side of the lighter and saw the words "Eternal Love" were also reprinted.

At 9:50, Hu Weiwei called, her tone unable to conceal her excitement: "Mr. Lu, the locked orders have reached 30,000."

"Why are there suddenly so many?" Lu Liang frowned.

"Just now..."

There is never a shortage of rich guys in China, and Tianshu is the brightest new star in the current automotive industry, so rich guys also want to get it as soon as possible.

But for the production channel of Tianxing Automobile, unless Lu Liang speaks up himself, even if Fu Ge's father steps in, they will have to queue up obediently.

As a result, some people openly raised the price online to purchase the first batch of vehicle orders for delivery on May 5.

At first, the price was only increased by three to five thousand, but more and more rich guys got involved. After all, only fifty units would be delivered that day, and there were too many wolves and too little meat, so the price kept getting higher and higher.

As far as Hu Weiwei knows, a Promax version delivered on the first day was sold at a high price of 500,000 yuan.

Even if it is the Pro version, it can be sold at a 20% premium, and you can buy a top-of-the-line version by reselling it. Who can resist this?

Thanks to the hype of the rich guys, the popular Tianshu became even more popular, and orders came to them like snowflakes.

Although the three-hour cooling-off period caused them to reduce their orders by 25,000 units, they made up the difference later.

As of this moment, the backend shows that the number of locked orders has reached 30521 units. I believe that it should exceed units tonight.

Because at ten o'clock, they will announce the good news to the public, which will inevitably attract more consumers to place orders.

After all, buy early and enjoy early.

If you buy late, you don’t know what you will queue up for.

Lu Liang was silent for a long time, and couldn't help scratching his head: "Have you ever thought about the problem of production capacity?"

Their current monthly production capacity is only more than 5,000 units. It will take at least three months to reach the peak production capacity of 12,000 units.

Although there are three backup production lines, it will take at least two months to re-debug them until production can resume.

That is to say, in the next two months, the number they can deliver will not exceed 15,000 units at most.

Hu Weiwei was silent. It was not like she had not thought about this question before, but what could she do? She couldn't just turn him away, right?

"Let's announce the good news first. I'll go there the day after tomorrow and then think of a solution." Lu Liang sighed, his face showing melancholy: "It's really a happy trouble."

He thought his idea was very bold, and set the starting monthly sales at just over 5,000, which is similar to WM Motor, but the price is more than double that of WM Motor.

It is also planned that the monthly sales will exceed 10,000 and the production capacity will exceed 10,000 in three months. In this way, the monthly sales will be like the K-line chart of a bull market, rising slowly, with one wave higher than the other, forming a perfect main upward trend.

As a result, he still underestimated the market's enthusiasm.

At 4:30 p.m., when the press conference ended, the online reservation channel was also opened.

Five and a half hours have passed, during which time 25,000 units have been canceled, and now there are still over 30,000 locked orders.

If you agree to cancel the subscription, then the price will be 55,000, and it is very likely to reach 60,000 tonight.

If he doesn't drive Tesla's stock price below 1,000 yuan tonight, Lu Liang will take Musk's last name.

It’s time, fate and luck. Man proposes, God disposes.

"By the way, Mr. Hu, please also announce the number of 25,000 cancellations."

Lu Liang narrowed his eyes and smiled, saying righteously: "For no other reason, just to tell them that the deposit will be returned in seven working days."

How could he, such an honest man, pretend to be cool or show off? He really doesn't want to do that at all. He just kindly told me when the deposit will be returned.

Because of insufficient production capacity and inability to deliver in time, it may be held hostage in the future, but that is a matter for the future.

Now he wants to enjoy this moment and let the fire burn more vigorously to see if he can "burn" Tesla.

(End of this chapter)

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