super energy power

Liu Yi found a Chinese computer for Tian Dongliang, but there was no place to put it, so he installed it beside the railing in the corridor on the second floor, and let him type. .

The employees in the office of Pan Asia Fund were already busy. After a few minutes, they seemed to have forgotten Tian Dongliang and regarded him as an ordinary decoration in the corridor.

And in just a few minutes, the violent fluctuations in oil prices have made countless people feel uneasy.

Some believe that oil prices will plummet because of this, and some believe that $15 is seriously deviated from the value of crude oil, and most traders are ready to choose sides.

It is definitely not normal for the oil price to drop from US$18 to US$15 in an instant. Such an opportunity is rarely encountered once in a year or two. Those who are qualified to participate in crude oil futures trading will definitely not run away at this time.

Either bet too much or bet short, whether it is a reading merchant or a financial institution in the exchange, they will make a choice. Even if the investment is not much, after this gamble, they may also get huge profits. Except for hedging institutions, most people are just around the corner.

Hearing people's "wheezing and wheezing" in his ears, Tian Dongliang seemed to be a tractor full of power. In a short time, he typed out thousands of words.

The scene in front of me is fascinating for anyone in the financial industry.

Perhaps, even those who are not in the financial industry will be fascinated by those flowing golden rivers.

Except for the crude oil futures exchange, except for this special time, it is rare to see such a turbulent Jinhe.

Tian Dongliang only felt that what he breathed through his nose, what he heard in his ears, and what he saw in his eyes were all bordered with thick black and shone bright yellow.

"$15.12." In the office behind him, a man yelled very loudly in Mandarin.

"Xiao Liu, you go and inform Su Dong, and the others will continue." Qi Xiao also got out from the inside.

Tian Dongliang stroked the keyboard, saved the document, and looked up at the large electronic screen. It turned out that the October crude oil contract fell to $10 first, and there was a downward trend.

"It fell so fast, so strange." Tian Dongliang muttered, and then saw Su Cheng go up the stairs.

"Su Dong." Tian Dongliang got up immediately to say hello, he had too many questions to ask.

Su Cheng glanced at the computer curiously, nodded and said, "It's just right, it's time to counterattack, you can come in and listen."

"Counterattack?" Tian Dongliang was stunned.

"It's been a stalemate at $16 for so long, of course it's a counterattack." Su Cheng patted Tian Dongliang on the shoulder and let him enter the office in front.

Tian Dongliang didn't know whether to laugh or cry. He had met too many people in the financial industry, and many of them were self-confident, but those with the model of Sioux City were still very rare.

Perhaps, it is because he is not a person in the financial industry.

Tian Dongliang saw Qi Xiao's guarded eyes, and also saw Su Cheng's indifferent expression, and suddenly had a kind of understanding.

From the beginning to the end, Sioux City didn't seem to use any sophisticated financial means.

At most, that is to reserve a large amount and a larger amount of funds, plus a little more courage than ordinary people.

To win the current situation, Sioux City relied on his understanding of the oil market itself, as well as his understanding of the oil market.

As a banker, Tian Dongliang can't say he likes Sioux City's manipulation of financial methods, but he has to admit that after this battle, Dahua Industrial is already qualified to choose its own financial methods.

Perhaps, for Sioux City, a stalemate is a failure.

Tian Dongliang couldn't help thinking.

On the opposite side of him, Qi Xiao quickly explained the situation, and at the same time said vigilantly: "15 dollars should be a high-voltage line, and if it goes down, there will probably be many oil spot merchants supporting it. If the refinery uses 15 dollars There will be a considerable profit in delivering crude oil at the price, and if this continues, the price of fuel oil futures will also be affected.”

Tian Dongliang turned his head to look at Sioux City. The current fuel oil futures price is still based on 18 US dollars. In other words, fuel oil companies are the resistance to the decline of fuel oil. It is no pressure for fuel oil companies to collect oil at this price.

Unless the price of crude oil can drop for a long time.

"Su Dong..." Qi Xiao yelled again. He wanted to retreat a long time ago. This round, Pan Asia Fund has made too much profit, but it can only be celebrated if it is safe.

Su Cheng touched his chin, but asked with a smile: "Manager Tian, ​​if you were asked to make a decision, which side would you choose?"

Tian Dongliang was stunned for a moment, and then said without hesitation: "I choose long side, crude oil can't keep falling, and the price of 15 dollars is too much."

"It's indeed a bit too much." Su Cheng nodded in agreement.

"Then shall we withdraw?" Qi Xiao looked happy.

"We continue to short." Sioux City's answer was completely opposite, saying: "Why can't the price of crude oil drop?"

Qi Xiao didn't understand what Su Cheng meant, and seeing that he was serious, he frowned and said, "The price of crude oil is closely related to the operation of the world economy, how can we possibly suppress the price of crude oil all at once? Americans can't do it either."

"It's impossible to suppress it for a long time. It's not a problem for a few days. It's not every day to see a super oil field like Aqijiu." Su Cheng was full of confidence.

Qi Xiao's brows were about to turn into fried eggs, and he said softly: "The bad news of Aqijiu Oilfield has almost been consumed, as can be seen from the confrontation at around 16 US dollars. Now, the market is digesting the news of OPEC. I believe that even if the oil price falls to $15, it will rebound soon, it is just a news of no production cut, and it cannot cause fundamental changes in supply.”

"Then what if the supply changes fundamentally?" Su Cheng asked back.

"how come?"

"OPEC will not take the initiative to reduce production in the short term. The oil fields in Azerbaijan are new oil fields, and Kazakhstan also has new oil fields. In addition, the expected production capacity of the Aqijiu oil field is extremely high. OPEC's current production capacity remains unchanged, which is equivalent to crude oil supply. Increase."

Qi Xiao's brows did not disperse, and he lowered his voice and said: "Su Dong, the daily supply of hundreds of thousands of barrels of crude oil has increased, and the market can easily consume it."

"how long?"

"what?"

"With hundreds of thousands of barrels of crude oil supply, how many days will it take for the market to balance?"

"About... a few days?"

"It will take at least three or four days." Sioux City has its own refinery and chemical plant. If Dahua's Haicang base has sufficient crude oil supply and works overtime, it will only take a few days to increase production.In other words, in areas where market competition is not particularly sufficient, oil refineries, chemical plants, and thermal power plants with spare capacity will be able to balance the new supply of crude oil in just a few days once they make a decision to increase production.

However, it is "only" a few days for industrial production, but for financial companies, the feeling is completely different.

Here, spending days like years is not an adjective, but a real vocabulary.

Qi Xiao said cautiously: "But we can't always be short to achieve market balance. If we don't leave now, I'm afraid we will be suppressed by others."

"What if there is new supply in the market by then?"

"New supply..." Qi Xiao didn't dare to ask anymore, the information had already given him a strong sense of conspiracy.

The crude oil market is a market with very little elasticity. Generally speaking, fluctuations in production capacity of 3 will cause fundamental changes in supply, which is completely different from other commodities.

On the one hand, it is because of the difficulty in storing crude oil. The production capacity of 3 barrels of crude oil per day is almost equivalent to the entire storage capacity of a local branch of PetroChina. Under normal operating conditions, even a country can store Crude oil in less than a few days.Even a country like the United States that spends money like water does not dare to use crude oil reserves to solve the energy crisis.

On the other hand, the supply and demand of the global crude oil market is actually relatively rigid. This is very similar to electricity. You have to sell as much crude oil as you produce, neither more nor less. The sudden reduction in crude oil supply will naturally make crude oil consumption factories It is a headache, but the sudden increase in crude oil supply is also difficult for crude oil consuming factories to solve.

Therefore, crude oil exchanges always respond to future crude oil supply and demand conditions.

Generally speaking, tens of cents is a big wave.

Su Cheng prophesied bad factors one after another, as long as he imagined the difficulty of making them and the difficulty of hiding them, Qi Xiao would shudder.

The water here is too deep.

However, from Sioux City's point of view, it is more difficult for him to play with the crude oil futures exchange, but it is not so difficult to increase the supply of crude oil.

In particular, the composition of the Pan-Asian Fund includes seven large crude oil producers, and it could not be easier to increase crude oil production by hundreds of thousands of barrels around the world.

The 90s was originally an era of excess crude oil. The consumption of crude oil in developed countries was stable and continued. Emerging economies such as the four Asian tigers and the BRIC countries have not yet risen. Not to mention the lack of a lot of crude oil mouths waiting to be fed, crude oil exploration and mining technology There has been a lot of progress.

Compared with the 21st century, in the crude oil supply market in 95, not only the Caspian Sea oil circle was missing, but the oil-producing countries that had just experienced wars such as Iraq and Kuwait did not reach their peak production capacity. As long as crude oil producers are willing and plan well, Increases in production are natural.

If the constituent companies of the Pan Asia Fund only use the existing oil fields for insider trading, the risk of being sued by the governments of various countries is extremely high, and the money they earn may not be enough to pay the fine.However, with the foreshadowing of the Aqijiu Oilfield and the emergence of OPEC, increasing your own crude oil production will not only be more effective, but also look more innocent. In a realistic sense, accusations are still inevitable. The work of the legal team But it is much easier, and legal fees and fines can naturally be saved.

"What if there is a sovereign fund of an oil-producing country to support the market?" Qi Xiao didn't ask for details, but changed his perspective, trying to persuade Sioux City to take a safer approach.

Sioux City smiled: "OPEC is holding a summit. Which oil-producing country is so bold that it dares to let its sovereign fund come out to interfere with oil prices."

Qi Xiao was speechless for a while. If they let the oil price return to normal, even if it interferes with the oil price, what are we?However, thinking so, he knew in his heart that this was really disturbing the oil price. After all, the normal oil price cannot be viewed from a historical perspective.

"Make a watch for the new financial institutions that have entered the market according to the time." Su Cheng saw that Qi Xiao was all right, so he gave the order.

After Qi Xiao left, Su Cheng turned to Tian Dongliang and asked, "How is it? What have you gained?"

"It's too complicated." Tian Dongliang sighed heavily.

"It's a bit complicated, so please write your report concisely so that people without financial background can understand it."

Tian Dongliang said vigilantly: "I want to read and finish this report."

"Of course, how you write it is up to you, I've said it long ago." Su Cheng said for a while, looked at his watch, and smiled again: "Actually, even if I want to interfere, I can't interfere. "

"Ok?"

"I booked you a plane in the early morning, flying directly to the capital. I hope you can finish this report on the plane. Don't worry, I asked them to choose the first-class cabin of a large plane to facilitate writing. It should take a whole night. Enough is enough."

"You want me to come up with the report tomorrow?"

"Of course. News travels faster than people. By tomorrow, it is estimated that many leaders will be interested in your report. If you want your name to be remembered by the leaders of the State Council, tomorrow is the best time."

Tian Dongliang swallowed the words that came to his lips.

He knew that Su Cheng's purpose was to use his pen to pass on the information to the domestic high-level officials, but in this matter, he also gained a lot of benefits.Although it was so insignificant compared to what Su Cheng got, Tian Dongliang didn't want to give up this good opportunity to become famous.

"This guy counted me in." Tian Dongliang lowered his head, his emotional fluctuations were comparable to the oil price on the electronic screen.

……