Coquettish Rebirth

() When Jia Hongjian talked about these Southeast Asian countries, what he had in mind was China in the 21st century.Around 08, China started to develop in this direction. At that time, there were many real estate speculators, and even a real estate speculator group from Wenzhou came to buy a building at once!However, due to the impact of the financial crisis in 08, it was indeed difficult to do business in mainland China slowly. The rents of commercial real estate along the streets soared. In the end, coffee shops like Starbucks were actually suffering a lot of losses due to rent pressure. Many Starbucks are closed everywhere!

At that time in China, the banks held on to the money that should be lent to the industry and used it to play financial derivatives. Even if they lost money, they could count on the central bank to release water and print more money for them to wash away Bad debts.As a result, Chinese society as a whole is also on the track of de-industrialization in the post-industrial era.But relatively well, China is a big country with 14 billion people, and many people have entered the virtual economy, but the total amount of industries is still quite large, and the RMB has not been fully opened. There has always been an external Firewalls are relatively capable of defending against foreign attacks.It is such a country that is a little bit off, and after 08, it can become the locomotive of the world economy because the United States and Europe are going further and further on the road of deindustrialization and virtual financialization. I believe it myself! . .

"In short, this is the way to sum it up, because most of these Southeast Asian countries are processing economies with imported materials and are heavily export-oriented, so when foreign capital is withdrawn. Whether it is intentional suppression or simply fleeing, they will sell a large amount of local currency assets for exchange. If the central bank fails to quell the turmoil, it will lead to a serious depreciation of the currency. The serious depreciation of the currency will lead to difficulties in importing raw materials, and will also lead to serious inflation in the society. The result is that domestic enterprises are underemployed. A large number of bankruptcies will lead to a large number of unemployed people. And if there are too many unemployed people, it will lead to a serious social crisis! Incidentally, the virtual financial markets such as stocks will plummet, combined with high inflation, will evaporate the savings of most nationals, and the result will be inevitable It’s social turmoil. It’s even partly the same as Russia and the situation after the great changes in the Soviet Union and East. It’s not impossible!”

When Jia Hongjian expressed his views.The audience was silent, even though there was heating in the room, Boss Zhu and the others present still felt cold!Yes.The consequences described by Jia Hongjian were too serious, so Zhong Yang had to seriously find him, and other members of the think tank, and everyone confirmed it together!Seeing that Jia Hongjian had finished speaking, Boss Zhu looked at Mr. Wu Jinglian, then nodded at him, "Comrade Wu Jinglian will please make some additions."

Mr. Wu Jinglian stood up, put on his reading glasses, and began to read his manuscript.Before he came, he certainly knew about Jia Hongjian's report. Although he didn't know who Jia Hongjian was, as the economics think tank of Zhong Yang, he saw Jia Hongjian's manuscript almost immediately, and then he Based on the materials and information I can find, let's see how likely Jia Hongjian's manuscript is to come true!

"After my investigation, take Thailand, which is currently suffering from exchange rate turmoil, as an example. Their economy has been in a state of high growth for 1985 years from 11 to the present. In 1990, the real growth rate of GDP excluding inflation was as high as 11.2%, and in 1991 From 1995 to 8.4, it remained at an average annual rate of 1995%. At the end of 2740, based on the per capita income calculated by the World Bank, Thailand’s per capita income was US$1996. But in 1996, there were already signs of a bubble in Thailand, and the economy The growth rate has also begun to slow down. According to our forecast, its GDP growth rate in 5 will be between 6% and [-]%.

Thailand's economic growth mainly relies on foreign capital investment. The manufacturing industry entered by foreign capital, especially the labor-intensive manufacturing industry, can be said to be the locomotive of Thailand's economic growth.In 1984, foreign capital accounted for most of Thailand's manufacturing industry, and its total production accounted for 29% of its gdp!However, since 1994, foreign capital in Thailand has dropped suddenly, which can be considered as the withdrawal of foreign capital. In 1994, the outflow of funds exceeded the inflow of funds, and the outflow of funds reached as much as 5% of gdp!In order to make up for the shortage of funds, Thailand's government began to borrow heavily from foreign debts. It originally wanted to inject foreign debts into the manufacturing industry in the form of loans, but according to statistics at the end of 9600, most of its loans flowed into real estate and the stock market.However, the statistics at the beginning of this year showed that land and real estate prices in Thailand have fallen sharply, causing most of the US$1993 billion loans that real estate companies borrowed from banks to become bad debts. In late February, the Thai Ministry of Finance announced that 16 financial institutions were operating poorly, and at the same time they were downgraded by international credit rating agencies. It is estimated that investors’ confidence in Thailand’s economy will be shaken afterwards. fell for the first time in years.At the same time, Thailand's external debt was 5500 billion US dollars at the end of 63, accounting for 1996% of its total GDP. It can be seen that Thailand's economic situation at this time is very unstable, and it can be considered that it has reached the brink of economic crisis. The attackers began to attack Thailand. I personally expect that Thailand can last for about half a year, and then after the Thai government runs out of funds, a serious economic and social crisis will erupt! "

After talking about Thailand, the old man also presented various data to analyze the five Southeast Asian countries. According to his analysis, the five Southeast Asian countries themselves are quite similar. After the crisis in Thailand, even if Soros did not attack them, They will be very sad themselves, if Soros attacks them, then they will also have a serious crisis!It is not impossible that such a crisis will soon spread to the four Asian tigers such as Hong Kong, Taiwan, Singapore, and South Korea, and even to Japan in the end!

Hearing this, Boss Zhu and the leaders immediately turned ugly.After Boss Jiang, Boss Zhu and others looked at each other, they asked directly, "May Hong Kong be affected?" Of course they were nervous about Hong Kong!Hong Kong will return to Hong Kong only in July, so it can't be just a few months after it's in your hands, and there will be a financial crisis right away?If Hong Kong and Hong Kong are made to have a social crisis like the so-called Thailand, then China will look good!

"Yes, after Patten came to power, he began to carry out various operations according to the instructions of the United Kingdom. Under his operation, Hong Kong's housing prices have soared all the way, and it has even reached the point where the real estate industry may kidnap the Hong Kong government and even the whole of Hong Kong. The state of the people, that is to say, a house of less than 40 square meters may cost more than 300 million yuan per square meter because of the good location, and a house is tens of millions of yuan, even if the house in a bad location is tens of square meters Midu needs several million Hong Kong dollars, which kidnaps the savings of a large number of people. If housing prices fall, the people of Hong Kong government will be evaporated for almost a lifetime. Therefore, it can be said that the local real estate has successfully kidnapped the entire Hong Kong At the same time, Patten also aggressively increased the wages of civil servants in Hong Kong and Hong Kong, so that at the end of 96, the salary of an ordinary policeman rose from 83 Hong Kong dollars a month in 3000 to 2 Hong Kong dollars a month! Such a large-scale increase in the wages of civil servants, As a result, the wages of various industries in Hong Kong and Hong Kong have become extremely high, and the currency has been soaring. It can be said that if there are economic fluctuations at this time, after the housing prices fall, the assets of most Hong Kong residents will shrink on a large scale..."

Hearing this, the faces of the bosses became uglier than the other. It seemed that if Jia Hongjian's prediction came true, it would not only be difficult for the mainland, but even Hong Kong, a young disciple who had just returned, would have a hard time. Does this big brother have a good face?Looking back, if it’s cia, the UK’s mi6 and the like get some eyeliner to spread some bad words, don’t look back and don’t ruin the word-of-mouth on the mainland, and don’t make Hong Kong people think that the decline in living standards is due to the reunification reason!If that happens, isn't this giving China eye drops?How could the bosses allow such a thing?So we must support Hong Kong!And it must be on the basis of keeping the port safe on the basis of not having any problems on my own side, which is not a small difficulty!

"If the guess comes true, when will it spread to Hong Kong?" Boss Zhu asked with his brows furrowed. "Personally, I expect that there will be signs of contagion in about three months, but the follow-up impact will last for a year or two. This is still in the case that the other party does not take the initiative to attack..." Mr. Wu Jinglian turned to look at Jia Hongjian after finishing speaking, It seemed to be asking Jia Hongjian for his opinion. "My opinion is the same. There may be problems in Thailand within half a year, and there will definitely be problems in Hong Kong before the end of the year. And look at what the British did before. Before he left, he separated India and Pakistan, and ended up messing with both sides. After decades of fighting, he divided Israel and Palestine before he left, and the result is that the two sides are still fighting. I personally don’t believe that the British will leave us a completely clean port without any hands and feet. So even if Soros and the others don't take the initiative to attack, presumably there will be some problems with Hong Kong..."

At this time, the faces of the bosses are so pale!For a long while, the audience was so quiet that even a needle could be heard falling!Boss Jiang's expression was also very ugly at this time, but he began to ask, "So, what suggestions do you have for these? For domestic and Hong Kong? Jia Hongjian, tell me first."

"Okay." Jia Hongjian stood up, and he was about to start talking about his suggestions for the country. It can be said that this suggestion, on the one hand, is to let the people who would have been laid off have a relatively better life , so that so many tragic things will not happen, and at the same time, it is to preserve the achievements of domestic economic construction, and to prevent the country from facing the danger of even possible bankruptcy! (To be continued.)