Coquettish Rebirth

Jia Hongjian returned home.After returning with Ye Jing, he paid attention to the situation in the country while resting.Paying attention to the domestic situation is also a small interest of Jia Hongjian.When he was in the United States, he found that the businessmen and public opinion in the United States were quite optimistic about China's entry into the WTO.Perhaps in their view, Chinese manufacturers are all kinds of native chickens and dogs, and they can rule the roost in the Chinese market by just messing with them.And it seems that according to the regulations of the WTO, in the future when foreign manufacturers like them enter China, they don’t need to backdoor, and they don’t have to find a Chinese manufacturer for a joint venture according to the regulations of the Chinese government. sole proprietorship company.Under such circumstances, they will definitely be able to quickly occupy such a huge market of 13 billion people by virtue of the quality of their products and the high technology of their products!Think about it, even if each person spends only one dollar a year on a company's product, that's $13 billion in sales!Isn't that amazing?Isn't that attractive?

But the problem is that to enter a new market, you should never calculate the market based on the population alone.If you want to use an analogy, this is like an American knife and fork company. It thinks that if 13 billion Chinese people can eat Western food, then the knife and fork can be sold well. In many cases, different markets have different characteristics. Surprising!Jia Hongjian believes that Jack Welch has a deep understanding of this point. After the old man started to master GE in 81, he has become the god of business in the United States.But this old man has been to China more than 20 times, and every time he comes, he sighs that China is so amazing.Why was I so stupid before!But now the old man dare not say that he has figured out the Chinese market!

Is ge awesome or not?Awesome.Can their energy-saving lamp technology be dragged?pull.But is it useful to pull hair?In the Chinese market, I was still beaten by workshop products. In the end, Jack Welch had no choice but to stop most of the production lines of energy-saving lamps, and then let ge hug the thigh of the Chinese government to do various things. The hydropower thermal power transmission project has gone!Big companies like GE are afraid of the 13 billion market, and they are looking for a more confident direction.

At the same time, the atmosphere in China is also quite strange.Jia Hung-chien made general inquiries and read newspapers and magazines, which made everyone laugh out loud—there were cries of wolf coming everywhere.It seems to say that after entering the WTO, foreign products will instantly overwhelm domestic products.There will be more serious corporate losses than in 98.Moreover, regardless of state-owned enterprises and private enterprises, they all lose money.Then there is a large number of unemployment or something!This may also be the reason why the media did not hype the foundry projects of Shu Chuan and Jia Hongjian.Therefore, before entering the WTO, the Americans were very excited, while the Chinese were very guilty.Isn't this an interesting scene?In particular, some ordinary people in the United States are very happy.The Chinese people are very pessimistic.It seems that Americans think that if American products are introduced to the Chinese market in the future, the job opportunities and treatment of their American people will be good, while the Chinese think that a large number of companies will fail.Their income and future will be bad.

Isn't that interesting?The fact of the future is that even if American companies rely on China to become stronger and their profits increase, the problem is that the American people will not benefit from it!Yes, what China does is "low-end" manufacturing, and the so-called "high-end" R&D center is still in the United States.But can every American become a researcher and enter a high-end R&D center?There must be a large population that still needs low-end industries!However, the labor-intensive manufacturing industries in low-end industries will gradually move to China, and these American people may face a shortage of jobs, employment difficulties, have to do odd jobs, and have to do dishes and wash dishes!That's it, are they happy?

This made Jia Hongjian laugh, and what made him laugh even more was the reaction from China.The reaction of the general Chinese people is not strong, but the reaction of the businessmen is very funny.Although apart from Jia Hongjian, there may be no people in the business world who clearly know where the future will develop, but there will always be people who stand up and want to pretend to be reborn to express their "predictability" of the future.For example, Jia Hongjian's "younger brother"—Wang Shi, the boss of Vanke, who has become the number one army in the domestic real estate industry.When he was interviewed, he vowed that after China joined the WTO, housing prices would drop by more than 15%!And within a year!

Did this guy drink too much?Jia Hongjian couldn't help but think so!That's what you're made for, dude!You do this business and you still predict that this business will be defeated?After you predicted this, why don’t you switch careers and do something else?Do you make people believe you or not?If Wang Shi is smart and firmly believes that he knows that real estate will fall in the future, then as a practitioner, he doesn't know that real estate prices will rise, and he doesn't know that it is good to use this kind of bragging about the future to deceive the people to buy quickly, and then change his career to make money... Is it the way of the wise?Sometimes when you see that the future trend is going to be bad, it’s like beating the drums to pass on flowers, pretending to be okay, while advocating that the form is good, and at the same time letting go is the kingly way!In the end, this buddy was so stupid and talked everywhere!I'm afraid I won't kill myself, are I?Now that it is said that consumers do not buy their Vanke houses, should Wang Shi be happy or cry?

As far as Wang Shiben is concerned, this buddy is quite good at data analysis - he not only made a conclusion to the media, he also specifically cited various data to prove his point of view!First of all, he said that in the first half of the year, the state announced the abolition of 47 real estate taxes. Of course, it was a tax on real estate developers, which reduced the cost of building a commercial house per square meter in the market by at least 15 yuan to a maximum of 60 yuan!Then he said that the main purpose of the government's tax cuts is to indirectly control housing prices!I want housing prices to grow slowly, because the wool comes from sheep, the tax for enterprises is reduced, and the money per square meter sold to consumers can be less.Of course, it is true that the total cost reduction of these 47 kinds of taxes is not much, but just last month, the relevant departments adjusted some policies, many of which involved the real estate industry.For example, in the new regulations such as the "Commercial Housing Sales Management Measures", the government has secretly expressed the idea of ​​​​reducing the operating costs of real estate developers, so as to keep housing prices flat or even lower-for example, reduce the local government's work procedures, and make things transparent and open process, improve office efficiency, publish tax standards, and allow public inquiries on information such as property rights, planning, municipal administration, and transactions.

According to Wang Shi, these things do not seem to directly reduce costs, but after many things are made transparent, they can make the business work much faster and the overall operating costs are much lower!Let’s use an analogy to say that a house is built and it needs to be sold as a ready-made house.If you don't know how the government will approve the sale of the house, it may take a month to get the approval. Are the company's various expenses in this month unnecessary expenses?But what documents are needed for the approval process, and what is the process, everything is understood, and the government has sped up the speed. Make an appointment first, and then bring the documents and finish it in a day. Isn't this a big time saver?Does it indirectly save a lot of costs and reduce the risk of developers?If the risk is low, can the profit also be low?

Finally, Wang Shi also said that he thinks the most important point that housing prices will drop is that although the sales of commercial housing nationwide increased by more than 2000% in 99 compared to 30, it is expected that in 2001 this year, it will increase by more than 2000% compared to 20. , but in the past two years, a lot of commercial housing has been built at once, and the inventory is a bit backlogged!This year's off-plan housing is not so easy to sell!There are built houses all over the country that cannot be sold!Moreover, according to the industry data obtained by Wang Shi, the backlog area that cannot be sold is much larger than the estimated area that can be sold this year, so the house price may really be "promoted" and then go down in the future!

At the same time, because of the return to WTO, although foreign capital may not necessarily enter the infrastructure industry such as real estate companies, it will enter various financial links.To put it bluntly, he feels that there will be no national "monopoly" in financial loans and other aspects in the future. After competition, it will definitely make the company's financial pressure less and the cost lower, so the market price will definitely drop!

Listen to this statement!It really seems like a smart person can find a reasonable statement, isn't it?But what Wang Shi didn't realize was that after the end of the welfare housing allocation, more and more young people would choose not to live with their parents when they got married, and then more and more rural people and people from small cities would be attracted When they go to big cities, they may do business, and they may buy a house in order to have a house.There is a lot of just what this whole needs!And the most important point - although the person on the stage has let go of the real estate market, he is still holding down housing prices and preventing them from going up!After this one steps down, the next one won't have such great authority to suppress housing prices!

Moreover, the local government will gradually figure out that selling land is a very lucrative business, and the local government will become more and more expensive to sell land!Then real estate developers discovered that consumers would chase the price up!After the house price rises, more people will come to buy it!Because everyone is worried that if you don’t buy it for two years, the house price will be more expensive!Not to mention that entering the wto has led to rapid domestic development and entered a golden opportunity period!Sometimes, the direction of the world's development is something that a reborn person like Jia Hongjian can really understand. Even the elites in the industry, what they see is only what they see through their own colored glasses thing.After all, they can't let their eyes see through the fog of time and space! (To be continued..)