Coquettish Rebirth
Chapter 4017 The Future Jia Hongjian Sees
The United States has tight control over Japan and Europe, mainly because the United States exists as an ally during the post-war recovery process of Europe and Japan, and has carried out a large amount of capital injection and special order support.In decades of Cold War thinking, the United States is the big brother of these countries. Everyone is facing a red threat from the Soviet Union. That's really too simple.Not to mention, the United States still has troops stationed in Europe and Japan!When these countries have troops stationed, how can these countries avoid the infiltration of the United States when the militaries of these countries are closely connected with the United States?It’s like South Korea also has American troops stationed there. As a result, the South Korean military was infiltrated by the United States. Before South Korea purchases weapons and equipment from the United States, the psychological bottom line of the South Korean military is clearly known to the Americans—needless to say, It's all "information" obtained by means of money after various infiltrations!
Compared with Europe and Japan, South Korea is better because they are too close to North Korea, and it is still a peninsula, so it means that South Korea can easily be defeated by North Korea, China and the Soviet Union in the Cold War, but these countries After occupying South Korea, it is not easy to expand outward!So in fact, South Korea is regarded as West Germany in Europe, and it is a predetermined battlefield!Therefore, the penetration of the United States into South Korea is basically limited to the military, and the penetration of the political aspect is not too deep.And like Japan, the stronghold of the anti-red camp in Asia, of course it must be well managed by the Americans, of course it must be built by the Americans like an iron bucket inside and out!
But having said that, the United States has actually tried to trouble China before!In 1963, President Kennedy, beloved by the Americans, learned through various information that China had made a major breakthrough in the atomic bomb. It is very likely that the Chinese will be able to detonate the first nuclear bomb in about a year, thus becoming one of the nuclear powers!This was unbearable for Kennedy!This Kennedy is very anti-communist and even anti-China. Back then, the United States engaged in white terror and slandered others as the Communist Party.Then McCarthy, who put people in prison, got great support from Congressman Kennedy at the time, and at the same time, Kennedy also obstructed the return of Chinese students who were in the United States at that time!The master in our country, who is worth 5 divisions, was ordered by Kennedy and the others to be put in prison!Later, China used the high-altitude reconnaissance pilot who was caught by us and came to the mainland for reconnaissance.Just changed the master back, and Kennedy is still all sorts of upset!
Then in October 63, Kennedy got news that China had made a major breakthrough in nuclear bombs, and it was expected that China might have nuclear bombs in the second half of 10.Then Kennedy had a secret communication with the top leader of the Soviet Union at that time.It was suggested that the United States and the Soviet Union, which were at odds with China at the time, each send out a bomber, one to bomb the nuclear bomb base in the desert of northwest China, and the other to bomb the capital of our country, and this bomb is not an ordinary bomb, but a nuclear bomb!That's right!Kennedy actually wanted to unite with the Soviet Union to attack China with nuclear bombs!As a result, after the Soviet leaders heard the proposal, they expressed their non-participation but did not object to the United States doing it itself.Then the U.S. military drew up a plan, and Kennedy prepared to bomb China himself!At that time, the plan planned to use two strategic bombers, one to bomb our nuclear bomb base in the desert of China, and the other to bomb the capital!After such a plan was drawn up at that time, Kennedy received the plan on November 64.He plans to officially sign the plan on November 11, five days later, and then start to implement it!As a result, who knew that two days later, on November 20, this Kennedy was directly assassinated while "parading" with his wife!
From this point of view, it really is God helping China!Otherwise, if Kennedy dies a few days later, maybe China will really be bombed by a nuclear bomb!After Kennedy's death, the former vice president who took over temporarily canceled the plan to bomb China. This is how China's nuclear explosion a year later, and everything that the Chinese will have in the future!But other than that, the United States really has no way to toss China.After all, on the one hand, they do not have any specific political agents in China, nor do they control all aspects of Chinese politics. If they want to harvest China, they can only do so through currency wars or economic wars.And China is not like those countries that have been fooled by the United States and opened up all financial fields.China still has some control, so that means challenging China on Chinese territory is actually very difficult.
For the United States, if it wants to cut wool from China, it is really not as convenient and fast as cutting wool from Europe or Japan!At the same time, the economic conditions of China and the United States are also closely linked.After China sold a large number of products to the United States, a large amount of dollars exchanged was handed over to the country for RMB, and then the country took the dollars to buy U.S. bonds.This means that if you really want to cut China's meat and wool, China does not have the means to fight back-Europe and Japan may not be able to sell their US debt, but China can!China is not as seriously controlled by the United States!So in such a situation, how could the United States choose to trouble China when they need to make trouble for others?Therefore, such a propaganda method of the Republican Party, to put it bluntly, is just shouting before the election. It is impossible for them to really come to China for trouble. Even after the United States really encountered trouble, their first choice was to go to Japan. Trouble with Europe, not trouble with China!
So in this regard, as long as Jia Hongjian resolutely implements the plan discussed with Obama, he will naturally be able to solve such a publicity problem.But on the other hand, this year is really an eventful year for Chinese manufacturing. Who would have thought that there would be so many quality problems of Chinese products in such a short period of a month?But when it comes to real analysis, except for the two cases of melamine, which cannot be washed, things like car tires can still be washed-there are too many products made in China, and ordinary people all over the world can wash them. Basically, more than one-third or even half of the products used are made in China, and all things are made in China, so from such a probability, there must be a high chance of encountering problems with Chinese products. !For example, there are quite few things produced in the United States, so even if the probability of an accident with a single product in the United States is as high as that of a single product in China, objectively, it is less likely to encounter problems with American products, right?
As for the car tires, Jia Hongjian was not going to take care of them, otherwise it would really become what he thought - problems with any Chinese products in the future.Domestic manufacturers are thinking of coming to Jia Hongjian for help, so will Jia Hongjian retire by then?Moreover, in the case of tires, it is really a problem of production and quality inspection in China. Why did they send out unqualified products as qualified ones?This is not a problem designed by the United States, is it?So really deal with it.Maybe Jia Hongjian wants Huaxia Hi-Tech to stand on the side of the American tire dealer to help with litigation and compensation against the Chinese company!
On the other hand, the appreciation of the renminbi over the years and the domestic inflationary pressure in recent years are indeed slowly offsetting the price advantage of Chinese manufacturing.According to the current domestic CPI index, it has risen by almost 5% compared with the same period last year. The price of domestic pork has started to rise round after round.Of course, the source is the rise in world crude oil prices.In January, oil prices "bottomed out" and reached the mark of $1 a barrel, and then began to rise again in March, and reached a price of $50 a barrel in April.As a reborn person, Jia Hongjian knew that the price was far from the top!And you must know that in 3, a barrel of crude oil was only 4 US dollars!The price of oil has tripled compared to ten years ago. Once the price of oil rises, the prices of various consumer goods in society must also rise!Oil has risen, and chemical fertilizers will definitely rise.Fertilizers have risen, and the prices of agricultural products will also rise, right?At the same time, the transportation price of agricultural products will also increase, right?As the price of agricultural products rises, the price of feed for raising pigs will also rise, right?Will the price of live pigs also increase?Will the price of transporting live pigs also increase?So the price of pork has risen, right?
The rise in oil prices, coupled with the appreciation of the renminbi, will definitely make China's exports more and more difficult to do.But it is getting more and more difficult to do such a thing, and it will not start immediately, and there will still be a lag period-when the economic situation is not good at the beginning, people in all countries must live more carefully, so the demand for cheap Chinese products Demand will instead rise.Moreover, various domestic investment methods to stimulate the economy will also heat up the domestic economy all of a sudden.But after a few years passed.For example, in 2012, the sequelae may appear all of a sudden, and everyone suddenly finds that there is excess production capacity, and all of a sudden overseas orders have decreased by more than N!At that time.It is necessary to carry out supply-side reforms and digest production capacity.
How to digest production capacity?On the one hand, it is to improve the digestion capacity of the domestic market and gradually let China get rid of its dependence on exports.After all, the demand in the international market was not strong at that time, and it was better to ask for help than to ask for yourself. With such a large population in China, if we can develop the domestic demand market.That's a nice piece of cake too.On the other hand, it must be to reduce production capacity, and it must be to forcefully retire a batch of backward production capacity.However, decommissioning backward production capacity is not just relying on administrative means as in the past - this is the era of market economy, and many backward production capacity are private small and medium-sized enterprises. How can this be forced out by administrative orders? ?We can only rely on indirect means, such as not granting loans, to make life difficult for these enterprises.So if these companies are having a hard time, even if they want to shut down and change jobs, they must sell their products first, or even deal with their products at a low price, and then shut down when they can no longer survive.
In such a case, it does not mean that the production capacity removed by this indirect means must be China’s production capacity—for example, steel, domestic steel companies have a hard time, and they have heard that the central government will reduce production capacity. As a result, various steel factories sell ready-made steel at a low price, and sell the steel that cannot be digested domestically to foreign countries at a low price-as long as the cost is recovered and a small profit is enough!Under such circumstances, isn't that the same as dumping?So are foreign steel plants shot while lying down?Is it that the life of the unlucky one who is about to be run on by the cheap steel dumped by Chinese companies cannot survive?So the result of this is that China has excess production capacity, and the excess production capacity will be removed. The possible result of the reduction in production capacity will be to remove the excess domestic production capacity and a lot of production capacity in the world!The result is that when China adjusts its industrial structure, it exports the crisis along the way, and allows foreign countries to passively adjust their industrial structure!
And these are the general trend that Jia Hongjian can analyze for the future after sitting at such a height as a reborn person!
************************************
Orange is here to wish all the parents of food and clothing a happy new year, and wish everyone a happy new year, Gong Xi Fa Cai~(~^~)
Compared with Europe and Japan, South Korea is better because they are too close to North Korea, and it is still a peninsula, so it means that South Korea can easily be defeated by North Korea, China and the Soviet Union in the Cold War, but these countries After occupying South Korea, it is not easy to expand outward!So in fact, South Korea is regarded as West Germany in Europe, and it is a predetermined battlefield!Therefore, the penetration of the United States into South Korea is basically limited to the military, and the penetration of the political aspect is not too deep.And like Japan, the stronghold of the anti-red camp in Asia, of course it must be well managed by the Americans, of course it must be built by the Americans like an iron bucket inside and out!
But having said that, the United States has actually tried to trouble China before!In 1963, President Kennedy, beloved by the Americans, learned through various information that China had made a major breakthrough in the atomic bomb. It is very likely that the Chinese will be able to detonate the first nuclear bomb in about a year, thus becoming one of the nuclear powers!This was unbearable for Kennedy!This Kennedy is very anti-communist and even anti-China. Back then, the United States engaged in white terror and slandered others as the Communist Party.Then McCarthy, who put people in prison, got great support from Congressman Kennedy at the time, and at the same time, Kennedy also obstructed the return of Chinese students who were in the United States at that time!The master in our country, who is worth 5 divisions, was ordered by Kennedy and the others to be put in prison!Later, China used the high-altitude reconnaissance pilot who was caught by us and came to the mainland for reconnaissance.Just changed the master back, and Kennedy is still all sorts of upset!
Then in October 63, Kennedy got news that China had made a major breakthrough in nuclear bombs, and it was expected that China might have nuclear bombs in the second half of 10.Then Kennedy had a secret communication with the top leader of the Soviet Union at that time.It was suggested that the United States and the Soviet Union, which were at odds with China at the time, each send out a bomber, one to bomb the nuclear bomb base in the desert of northwest China, and the other to bomb the capital of our country, and this bomb is not an ordinary bomb, but a nuclear bomb!That's right!Kennedy actually wanted to unite with the Soviet Union to attack China with nuclear bombs!As a result, after the Soviet leaders heard the proposal, they expressed their non-participation but did not object to the United States doing it itself.Then the U.S. military drew up a plan, and Kennedy prepared to bomb China himself!At that time, the plan planned to use two strategic bombers, one to bomb our nuclear bomb base in the desert of China, and the other to bomb the capital!After such a plan was drawn up at that time, Kennedy received the plan on November 64.He plans to officially sign the plan on November 11, five days later, and then start to implement it!As a result, who knew that two days later, on November 20, this Kennedy was directly assassinated while "parading" with his wife!
From this point of view, it really is God helping China!Otherwise, if Kennedy dies a few days later, maybe China will really be bombed by a nuclear bomb!After Kennedy's death, the former vice president who took over temporarily canceled the plan to bomb China. This is how China's nuclear explosion a year later, and everything that the Chinese will have in the future!But other than that, the United States really has no way to toss China.After all, on the one hand, they do not have any specific political agents in China, nor do they control all aspects of Chinese politics. If they want to harvest China, they can only do so through currency wars or economic wars.And China is not like those countries that have been fooled by the United States and opened up all financial fields.China still has some control, so that means challenging China on Chinese territory is actually very difficult.
For the United States, if it wants to cut wool from China, it is really not as convenient and fast as cutting wool from Europe or Japan!At the same time, the economic conditions of China and the United States are also closely linked.After China sold a large number of products to the United States, a large amount of dollars exchanged was handed over to the country for RMB, and then the country took the dollars to buy U.S. bonds.This means that if you really want to cut China's meat and wool, China does not have the means to fight back-Europe and Japan may not be able to sell their US debt, but China can!China is not as seriously controlled by the United States!So in such a situation, how could the United States choose to trouble China when they need to make trouble for others?Therefore, such a propaganda method of the Republican Party, to put it bluntly, is just shouting before the election. It is impossible for them to really come to China for trouble. Even after the United States really encountered trouble, their first choice was to go to Japan. Trouble with Europe, not trouble with China!
So in this regard, as long as Jia Hongjian resolutely implements the plan discussed with Obama, he will naturally be able to solve such a publicity problem.But on the other hand, this year is really an eventful year for Chinese manufacturing. Who would have thought that there would be so many quality problems of Chinese products in such a short period of a month?But when it comes to real analysis, except for the two cases of melamine, which cannot be washed, things like car tires can still be washed-there are too many products made in China, and ordinary people all over the world can wash them. Basically, more than one-third or even half of the products used are made in China, and all things are made in China, so from such a probability, there must be a high chance of encountering problems with Chinese products. !For example, there are quite few things produced in the United States, so even if the probability of an accident with a single product in the United States is as high as that of a single product in China, objectively, it is less likely to encounter problems with American products, right?
As for the car tires, Jia Hongjian was not going to take care of them, otherwise it would really become what he thought - problems with any Chinese products in the future.Domestic manufacturers are thinking of coming to Jia Hongjian for help, so will Jia Hongjian retire by then?Moreover, in the case of tires, it is really a problem of production and quality inspection in China. Why did they send out unqualified products as qualified ones?This is not a problem designed by the United States, is it?So really deal with it.Maybe Jia Hongjian wants Huaxia Hi-Tech to stand on the side of the American tire dealer to help with litigation and compensation against the Chinese company!
On the other hand, the appreciation of the renminbi over the years and the domestic inflationary pressure in recent years are indeed slowly offsetting the price advantage of Chinese manufacturing.According to the current domestic CPI index, it has risen by almost 5% compared with the same period last year. The price of domestic pork has started to rise round after round.Of course, the source is the rise in world crude oil prices.In January, oil prices "bottomed out" and reached the mark of $1 a barrel, and then began to rise again in March, and reached a price of $50 a barrel in April.As a reborn person, Jia Hongjian knew that the price was far from the top!And you must know that in 3, a barrel of crude oil was only 4 US dollars!The price of oil has tripled compared to ten years ago. Once the price of oil rises, the prices of various consumer goods in society must also rise!Oil has risen, and chemical fertilizers will definitely rise.Fertilizers have risen, and the prices of agricultural products will also rise, right?At the same time, the transportation price of agricultural products will also increase, right?As the price of agricultural products rises, the price of feed for raising pigs will also rise, right?Will the price of live pigs also increase?Will the price of transporting live pigs also increase?So the price of pork has risen, right?
The rise in oil prices, coupled with the appreciation of the renminbi, will definitely make China's exports more and more difficult to do.But it is getting more and more difficult to do such a thing, and it will not start immediately, and there will still be a lag period-when the economic situation is not good at the beginning, people in all countries must live more carefully, so the demand for cheap Chinese products Demand will instead rise.Moreover, various domestic investment methods to stimulate the economy will also heat up the domestic economy all of a sudden.But after a few years passed.For example, in 2012, the sequelae may appear all of a sudden, and everyone suddenly finds that there is excess production capacity, and all of a sudden overseas orders have decreased by more than N!At that time.It is necessary to carry out supply-side reforms and digest production capacity.
How to digest production capacity?On the one hand, it is to improve the digestion capacity of the domestic market and gradually let China get rid of its dependence on exports.After all, the demand in the international market was not strong at that time, and it was better to ask for help than to ask for yourself. With such a large population in China, if we can develop the domestic demand market.That's a nice piece of cake too.On the other hand, it must be to reduce production capacity, and it must be to forcefully retire a batch of backward production capacity.However, decommissioning backward production capacity is not just relying on administrative means as in the past - this is the era of market economy, and many backward production capacity are private small and medium-sized enterprises. How can this be forced out by administrative orders? ?We can only rely on indirect means, such as not granting loans, to make life difficult for these enterprises.So if these companies are having a hard time, even if they want to shut down and change jobs, they must sell their products first, or even deal with their products at a low price, and then shut down when they can no longer survive.
In such a case, it does not mean that the production capacity removed by this indirect means must be China’s production capacity—for example, steel, domestic steel companies have a hard time, and they have heard that the central government will reduce production capacity. As a result, various steel factories sell ready-made steel at a low price, and sell the steel that cannot be digested domestically to foreign countries at a low price-as long as the cost is recovered and a small profit is enough!Under such circumstances, isn't that the same as dumping?So are foreign steel plants shot while lying down?Is it that the life of the unlucky one who is about to be run on by the cheap steel dumped by Chinese companies cannot survive?So the result of this is that China has excess production capacity, and the excess production capacity will be removed. The possible result of the reduction in production capacity will be to remove the excess domestic production capacity and a lot of production capacity in the world!The result is that when China adjusts its industrial structure, it exports the crisis along the way, and allows foreign countries to passively adjust their industrial structure!
And these are the general trend that Jia Hongjian can analyze for the future after sitting at such a height as a reborn person!
************************************
Orange is here to wish all the parents of food and clothing a happy new year, and wish everyone a happy new year, Gong Xi Fa Cai~(~^~)
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