Coquettish Rebirth

While the outside world's news about China and the Republican Party's propaganda kept appearing, Jia Hongjian was watching the progress of the employment plan discussed by his team and Obama's team behind the scenes.For Obama and his team, it is not unacceptable for Jia Hongjian and his team to provide simple and easy-to-learn stalls as a solution in the employment plan proposed by Jia Hongjian and others at will.Although in Obama's propaganda, he has been talking about re-industrializing the United States.But this re-industrialization is different from what ordinary people think!

In the eyes of ordinary Americans, what is re-industrialization?That is to reopen the factories in the United States that have been shut down in the United States over the years!Through various subsidies and tax cuts, the overall product prices of these factories are still relatively competitive in the domestic market of the United States, just like the United States decades ago. do that.But the problem is that the views of ordinary people are completely different from those of Obama.How does Obama see it?Obama knows that extensively opening large factories in the United States is completely out of fashion, or it is a practice that has been completely eliminated by history.It is already impossible to even say that we want the United States to go back to World War II and the next aircraft carrier a month!

why?Because in such a state, all kinds of consortiums in the United States are unwilling to do it anymore, and it is not in the interests of the United States!As far as the American industrial consortium is concerned, unless it involves military secrets or something, they are absolutely willing to build factories in China!After all, China has a complete upstream and downstream industrial chain, and the overall cost of products can be kept very low!This low level is not only lower than similar products produced in the US market, but even lower than those produced in India or Africa!On the other hand, as far as the financial consortia in the United States are concerned, they hope to maximize the seigniorage of the US dollar!What is seigniorage?In short, the American consortium prints a piece of paper, and then the whole world regards this piece of paper as real money!

At the same time, it should be understood that the US Federal Reserve is not established by the country like our country's central bank!no!The Federal Reserve is actually a private institution!Although the Federal Reserve is performing the functions of the U.S. central bank, the Federal Reserve is actually established by the alliance of twelve Federal Reserve Banks in the United States.As for the twelve Federal Reserve Banks, they are clearly "non-profit private organizations"!Then what.U.S. dollars are actually printed by the Federal Reserve and then loaned to the U.S. government!It is not like China, where the central bank prints renminbi according to demand and volume under the guidance and requirements of the government!Then what about the 12 members of the Federal Reserve or the twelve Federal Reserve Banks.In total, more than 3000 private banks in the United States were established together!So to put it bluntly, the Federal Reserve is actually a powerful "industry union" composed of more than 20 member banks in the United States in the early 3000th century!

Under such a situation, these financial groups certainly hope that they can make money, and of course hope that the dollar can make money!Then how do dollars make money?It is definitely not the American mass production model, and it is definitely not the model where the United States can produce everything as the world's factory!What they like is internationalization.It is that all parts are produced in different countries, and then these countries have to carry out a large amount of import and export trade. During the process of these trades, these countries constantly have to exchange US dollars into their own currencies, and then exchange their own currencies into Such a process of the dollar.And once the process of converting into US dollars is equivalent to being taxed by the US financial consortium once, it is equivalent to the US exchanging pieces of paper for real wealth in gold and silver, and it is equivalent to the US taking away the wealth of other countries in the world!

Under such a circumstance, how could those financial consortiums in the United States like to re-industrialize the United States?Let China industrialize, let China become the factory of the world.This is enough of a headache for them, so they let the U.S. government speak out all day long, saying that China needs to raise the RMB exchange rate all day long, and then all day long saying that with the rise of China's labor costs, there will be a lot of money. of the manufacturing industry shifted to Southeast Asian countries.Why do these consortiums and the experts they control say that?The main reason is that they want to fool those manufacturers to leave China to open factories in Southeast Asia!In this case, how small is the Southeast Asian country?To make a product, those countries must import a large number of spare parts or something, which allows the US dollar to collect seigniorage in various ways!

Therefore, it is clear that American financial groups do not want the United States to become the former world factory. Under the circumstances that the industrial and commercial conglomerates do not want the United States to become the world factory again, how could it be possible for Obama to make the United States become the world factory before and after World War II? What does it look like?This is basically impossible!So what does Obama mean by reindustrialization?The re-industrialization that people refer to is not just a simple "return of industry", but the third industrialization based on the second industrialization.The essence is to rely on high-tech to develop high value-added manufacturing industries, such as advanced manufacturing technology, new energy, environmental protection, information and other emerging industries, so as to regain a new industrial system with strong competitiveness.

Even in a little more detail.Obama's re-industrialization does not mean that the United States will once again become like it used to be full of factories. It does not mean that the blue-collar workers who are now unemployed in the United States can immediately find their familiar factory jobs again, but that the United States can find the next one. Economic growth point!In the 90s, the United States discovered a new technological breakthrough point such as the Internet.Although it was said that the Internet was such a flash point that the United States ushered in a big bubble at the end of the 20th century, it quickly recovered.And later, the combination of the Internet and the real economy really played a big role-although such a combination of the Internet and the traditional economy appeared first in the United States and then flourished in China.

Obama wants to re-industrialize, in fact, he wants to find new explosive points such as batteries for electric vehicles and various new energy sources!If these explosive points are found and the source of new technology is controlled by the United States, then relying on such a new technological explosive point, the United States can continue to enjoy 20 years of dividends on its credit book!This is actually what a long-term fluctuation of depression and prosperity shows.This point was raised in the innovation cycle proposed by the Austrian economist Schumpeter—in short, Schumpeter, a professor at Harvard University, thinks that technological innovation is very strange, and it is not linear in many cases.What does it mean?That is to say, although investment increases, the results of innovation will also increase, but on the whole, a decisive innovation that can drive economic growth does not come out once every few years!

For example, the Internet was clearly thought of by the US military in the 70s.But it will be in the 90s that it will really show its power.In the 70s and 80s, when the economic growth of the United States slowed down due to the oil crisis, there was no technology like the Internet. It had to wait until the 90s to have the Internet!Then the Internet came into play for 20 years.After the 21st century, the next economic growth point technology still does not appear so quickly in a short period of time.Even if everyone is researching and developing new energy sources, even if everyone is researching batteries, there is still no breakthrough!It may even be after 2020 that there will be a technology that can lead the development of the world economy!It can be said that technological innovation is such a thing.It's kind of like being pregnant.After the seeds are planted, they don't bloom and bear fruit immediately. You have to wait ten months before the child is born.During the ten months of pregnancy, pregnant women will feel all kinds of discomfort, and they will be liberated only after they are born.

What Obama wants to do is to see if the next technological growth point can be activated early, such as robot applications, new energy sources, etc., through US national investment and other methods.If there is this new growth point, then the United States can obviously get a development cycle of ten years or even almost 20 years.This is obviously good for America.Although on the surface such an approach seems to have no benefit to the common people, especially the unemployed blue-collar workers, but there is no direct benefit, but there are many indirect benefits-when there is new economic growth, the entire American economy will go up. Development, so that there will be more job opportunities in society, and it will be easier for unemployed people to find new jobs!And when the economy is in depression, like the small depression that started in 08, it is easy to reduce job opportunities in the market, and ordinary people can't find a job if they are unemployed, okay?

To this.Jia Hongjian had no objections.Because although Obama said that he wants to increase the US’s investment in new technology research and development, from a certain point of view, the explosive point of this new technology may not really appear in China—after all, the accumulation of many basic scientific researches in our country is still not enough.Basic scientific research, such as materials science.It really took time and money and a little bit of trial and error to try it out!Why is China's aircraft engine not working?To put it bluntly, the materials are not good enough. To put it bluntly, the research time is not as long as that of the United States and the United Kingdom, and the money burned is not as much as that of the United States and the United Kingdom!So the things made are not as good as those in the United States and Britain!Under such circumstances, it is really impossible to expect that we will leapfrog development and surpass the United States and the United Kingdom immediately by increasing investment, and obtain the technological points that have led the world economic development for 20 years at once.And we in China have little experience in groping for the way forward in the dark.In the past, the United States and other developed countries were exploring ahead. They had enough experience, and then we followed up in small steps.If you want to follow up, it will save a lot of effort than crossing the river by feeling the stones, right?

Moreover, China's economic aggregate is almost 70% of that of the United States. If China is the first to discover the next point of technological growth, wouldn't it be possible to surpass the United States in a blink of an eye?For this point, Jia Hongjian still feels that our country has not yet prepared for this kind of preparation from top to bottom. It even seems that the United States has become the world's largest economic power in the first few years of the 20th century, but it is really technically , Psychologically become the world's largest country, people still waited until the end of World War I more than ten years later!

Therefore, Jia Hongjian had no opinion on the ideas of the Obama team.However, he also proposed that in order for the Obama team to win more votes from blue-collar people, they Huaxia Hi-Tech could invest in building some traditional factories in some impoverished counties in the United States.For example, what kind of steel pipe processing factory, or a few lumber mills and wood processing factories in areas with relatively developed forestry? Regarding this, Jia Hongjian did not say it out of bad intentions!He thought, didn't we all say in China that the Chinese cut down domestic trees to make chopsticks and sell them to Japan, but Japan doesn't cut down trees in their country at all?Didn’t we all export [-] million pieces of clothes from China in exchange for one plane in the United States?You said it would be fun if Americans cut down trees to make disposable chopsticks and exported them to China!What a slap in the face of a known beast! (~^~)