Chapter 523 Precision Fishing

Officials have requirements for a minimum probability. It is impossible for Nitian to not comply with relevant laws and regulations and create a card drawing system that does not ship goods at all.

However, the adjustment of the order of Europe and Africa will cause a big change in the players' mentality.

This is the difference between "three mornings and four evenings" and "four mornings and four evenings".

For monkeys, they can accept four fruits in the morning and three fruits in the afternoon, but they cannot accept three fruits in the morning and four fruits in the afternoon.

For Krypton gold game players, they are just the opposite. Most people can accept leaving Africa and joining the EU, but they cannot accept leaving the EU and joining Africa.

Although the players will be very happy when Kaka is shipped initially, they are not particularly happy.

But when the goods are no longer shipped, many players' negative emotions will double when they think of how lucky they were in the past.

On the other hand, if there were not many shipments at first, the players would be very depressed, but later on, the shipments would start to click, leaving the players with a happy feeling.

Gu Fan's method is to use the players' psychology to create an illusion at the beginning and raise their psychological expectations.

Once the players start to feel good about themselves and are ready to sell everything to get into the pool with 648, reality will ruthlessly shatter their expectations.

The more you draw, the worse your luck will be, and the more you draw, the worse your luck will be.

The negative emotion value generated at this time must rise rapidly.

In Lilith's view, from the perspective of the generation principle of negative emotions, there is nothing wrong with this approach. It can indeed harvest players' negative emotions more than the conventional card drawing mechanism.

"But...even so, the players will always find out, right?" Lilith raised a new question.

It is not difficult for this system to deceive players in the early stages.

However, players will gradually feel that something is wrong. They may not be able to directly check the background code, because this is an online game, and the relevant data of card drawing is stored in the server, but it does not rule out that some rich guys can do experiments.

By counting the changes in the probability of drawing cards thousands of times, players will eventually realize this mechanism sooner or later.

Gu Fan spread his hands: "Of course the players will find out, but so what?

"At least in the first few months, players will not be able to discover it. Even if they suspect it, it will be difficult to have sufficient resources to verify it and get solid results.

“Then it’s true that players have negative emotions during this period.

“As long as our influence is large enough in the early stage and enough players enter, the negative emotions gained will be very considerable.

“What if players find out a few months later?

"After a quick calculation, they can come to two conclusions at most: Conclusion 1. Our game continuously lowers the probability according to a 1,000-drawing cycle, and the later the probability is, the lower it is; Conclusion 2. Our card-drawing mechanism comprehensively draws The probability is lower than other games on the market.

“The comprehensive extraction probability of other games is generally between 1.6% and 3%, but our comprehensive extraction probability is only 1.5%, and the basic extraction probability is only 0.5%, which only meets the lowest limit of official requirements.

"Mr. Li, do you think players will have any positive emotions when they come to these two conclusions?

"If players don't have positive emotions, so what if they are exposed? We would have already made a lot of money."

Lilith thought carefully, then nodded slowly: "Well, that makes sense! Even if the true probability is discovered, it will not overturn, but it may make the players even more angry.

“After all, the overall draw probability of our game is really low.

"Okay, then this is the card drawing system, I have already remembered it.

"What about the others?"

Gu Fan hurriedly said: "Wait a moment, Mr. Li, we haven't finished talking yet.

“To better match this card drawing system, we also have to consider another issue, and that is the currency output in the game.

“That’s the question of how many draws a player can save every month without recharging money or spending money.

“This data will also affect the feeling that the card drawing system brings to players.

"I'll give you a simple example.

"According to our current tentative data, the comprehensive shipment rate of 1,000 draws is 1.5%, which means that 1,000 draws will give out 15 gold. We calculate that 40% is permanent, that is, 1,000 draws will produce 9 characters in the current UP pool.

"Since the probability is decreasing, it will probably be:

“The first 300 people drew 5 UP characters, the middle 300 people drew 3 UP characters, and the last 400 people drew 1 UP character.

“Since it is a gold-based game, there must be a concept of ‘star promotion’, that is, when players draw the same character repeatedly, they can upgrade the original character’s stars to become more powerful.

“The current games include 4-star games and 6-star games.

"Mr. Li, you are so wise and powerful, you must have thought that the specific number of stars, as well as how much game currency players can obtain each month through the normal mechanism in the game, and how many draws can be exchanged, will most likely affect the player's actual experience of drawing cards.

"To take an extreme example, if we are a four-star full star, and players can steadily obtain 300 draws through the game every month, it means that players can obtain a full-star UP pool for free every month. character, then he has almost no reason to recharge and spend. This character is equivalent to giving it away, so the probability we set before is meaningless.

"Can something given away for free make him have any negative emotions?"

Lilith suddenly realized: "Well, that's right! It seems that the numerical value of Manxing also needs to be considered.

"Forget it, I won't consider it anymore. Just tell me the answer and I will judge whether it makes sense or not."

Obviously, Lilith's brain was a little overloaded at this time and she was a little unable to think more. Gu Fan continued: "The answer is simple.

“We allow players to get about 100 draws every month in the game.

“At the same time, we set the full star number of all characters as ‘five stars’, that is, players need to draw six identical characters to make this character become ‘full star’.

“Based on the comprehensive shipment rate of 1.5% and the non-distortion rate of 60%, if players want to draw six characters, it will take about 666 draws.

“But it should be noted that the further you go, the higher the shipment rate, so the 100 draws we give to players for free will most likely produce two characters, which means the characters will become ‘one-star’.

“Our star arrangement is very clear:

"One star, we give a relatively basic numerical increase.

"Two stars, we will give you a relatively large numerical increase.

"Samsung, we have made a special mechanism change, which may greatly optimize the feel of the character, or greatly improve the comfort level, or unlock more team formation methods.

"Four stars, we still give a relatively basic numerical increase.

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"With five stars, we will give you another special mechanism change."

Lilith's eyes lit up: "Huh? This arrangement is wonderful! It's like a carrot on a stick!"

This arrangement of stars is obviously intentional for fishing.

In the best case, the player enters the new card pool from scratch, holding the 100 cards given for free by the game.

After drawing, the shipment rate is very high. On average, you can get an UP pool character for 50 draws or even less, not counting the crooked permanent five-star characters.

At this time, he looked at the 1-star character given away for free, and then looked at the improvement in the character's star rating:

One star is a measly mosquito-leg improvement.

But the two stars have a huge improvement, and the three stars can have obvious mechanism changes.

At this time, he is still immersed in the feeling of good luck, so there is a high probability of making such a decision:

At least take out Samsung?

Just get two more!

According to previous experience, you can get 2 for 100 draws. If converted into money, it is about 2 648 for 100 draws.

Many rich guys may be ready to make a move.

Then after charging money, just smoke without making any sound.

When the rich guy actually charged 3 or even 4 648 and got three stars, some rational rich guys stopped.

But there are also some rich brothers who will look at the huge improvement of five stars and fall into deep thought again.

The previous 200 krypton gold draw seemed to be very bad luck. But it can’t always be bad, right?

I have to say that this five-star promotion is really tempting, and there are only two characters missing from three-star to five-star.

Otherwise, recharge more?

What if Europe and Africa are conserved and my luck gets better again?

Then a small number of rich guys started to take advantage of it, charging up 648 without any hesitation, but the result was another pump without making a sound.

This time it is estimated that it will take 5, 6 or even more 648 to get the last two.

When Brother Fu was finished, he looked back and felt like he was vomiting blood.

Doesn’t this negative emotion just come over suddenly?

In fact, according to the normal card drawing mechanism, regrets similar to those above are not uncommon.

But the system proposed by Gu Fan obviously further developed this regret situation.

This is a scam! A naked fraud!

Of course, there are also unideal situations, such as a card pool that the player has drawn 200 or 300 times before entering.

Then regardless of whether he recharges or not at this time, his luck will obviously get worse.

Although 100 draws are given for free, players also enter the card pool with the expectation of drawing two UP characters.

In the end, only one was drawn, or not even one.

This also makes people angry!

If you top up the money again, it will be even more annoying.

But at this moment, Lilith raised a new question.

"Huh? Wait.

"What if the player simply transforms into a Tuntun rat?

"According to current expectations, it takes about 666 draws to draw a full-star character. So what if the player endures for half a year before drawing?

"This seems to be very common in krypton gold card drawing games, right?"

(End of chapter)

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