super energy power

At 9 o'clock in the evening, the black car passed through the dim Chang'an Avenue, the portraits of Mao Zedong on the tower of the Imperial Palace were faintly visible, and the red walls of the Forbidden City were calm and solemn.

Hou Haiqing is Su Dongyuan's son-in-law, and it's rare to see Su Zhenguo himself on weekdays. Thinking of the next scene, he couldn't calm down for a long time, and his body twisted back and forth in the back seat.

He turned slightly, but saw that Su Cheng's face was calm, and he said unconsciously: "Mr. Su asked about the oil trend, probably as a reference for policy, do you want to prepare anything? For example, books and materials, I can ask someone to bring them .”

Su Cheng moved his neck, seemed a little dissatisfied with his breaking the comfort in the car, and said in a low voice: "The trend is nothing more than ups and downs, do you want me to predict the specific number?"

"It has to be well-founded." Hou Haiqing was actually more excited than Su Cheng.

Su Cheng smiled, and said, "There are reasons for predicting prices, no matter whether they go up or down. But in the end, there can only be one possibility that is correct."

Hou Haiqing lowered her head and began to think.Indeed, a person who doesn't know much about oil economics can think of several reasons for the rise in oil prices and several reasons for the fall in oil prices.

However, if you ask him to talk about the rise and fall of oil, Hou Haiqing can't tell.Especially when it rises and when it falls, it is simply a blind eye.

Don't look at the Huan called by various domestic policy research institutions, they are all buying lottery tickets.If they were asked to pay for their own money to bet on the ups and downs, they would pretend to be dumb most of the time.

In the 30s, China was extremely inexperienced in business and finance in the Western world.After 40 years of baptism in the planned economy, the decision makers who grew up locally are either the sons of poor and lower-middle peasants or the sons of heroes.Except for the top leaders who have been abroad.I have stayed abroad, and I have seen three Chinese people under the age of [-] outside the Western world.There are a few who have really seen the prototype of the market economy, and even the books are severely lacking, and there are many distortions.The Chinese back then.I often find a biography of a celebrity in the business world and read it as a management textbook.

Facts have proved that there are not a few business geniuses who have learned through celebrity biographies, but most of them have learned the Nine Yins and White Bone Claws. Let alone the complete Nine Yins, it is difficult to get in touch with them.

Do oil business, refine refined oil, and run chemical plants.It is enough to use the trick of Jiuyin White Bone Claw.However, predicting the rise and fall of oil prices requires a complete set of nine Yin scriptures.Or predict the future.

Everyone said.When a war starts, the price of oil goes up.But that was not the case with the 1991 Gulf War.And it's the opposite way.During the crisis, the price of oil jumped three times a day, and during the war, the price of oil fell three times a day.

Financial institutions that made predictions before the war, especially those in developing countries, lost a lot of blood.This is actually not surprising. Before the start of the Gulf War, the military intelligence agencies of various countries around the world still had various omissions about the process and results of the war. The mistakes of commercial intelligence agencies are nothing.

Su Cheng was confident in the answer, and didn't care about the reasons for those scholars' nonsense at all.

Hou Haiqing couldn't do this, he specifically mentioned: "In addition to Mr. Su, there will be comrades from other departments attending today. Some comrades may have opposite opinions to yours, so there must be theoretical support. "

Seeing that he was really thinking about himself, Sioux City thanked him graciously, and then said: "Except for the hedging part, I have shorted tens of millions of dollars of oil futures in the London market. Is there any better theoretical support than this? "

Hou Haiqing was astonished.

Su Cheng said plainly: "Why do you think everyone believes my judgment? Because I bet with capital. In casinos, all theoretical masters are liars, and only gamblers on the field are the most credible."

Hou Haiqing coughed heavily and said, "How can this be a gambler? This is the judgment of the capital market and the foresight of the market."

"Your theory is good."

"What I study in school is philosophy." Hou Haiqing said shyly and proudly.

"You don't seem to have graduated from a bachelor's degree?"

"I went to the National People's University as a graduate student. I majored in the philosophy of science and technology." Hou Haiqing recalled: "I learned logic, Western philosophical methods, natural philosophy, philosophy of science, and philosophy of technology...it's really difficult."

Su Cheng thought leisurely: This guy is really lucky. In a few years later, he can only go to the university to teach ideological and moral education and Ma Zhe...

The motorcade circled the square and stopped in front of a side gate of the Great Hall of the People on time.Arriving here meant that it was a formal meeting, Su Cheng put away all his thoughts, straightened his cashmere coat, and followed behind Hou Haiqing.

There are four people in a small living room.

Sitting was Su Zhenguo, next to him was Su Dongyuan, and then Director Mao whom Su Cheng had just met.A small-eyed man in his thirties stood to greet him. At first Su Cheng thought he was someone's secretary, but after he was introduced, he realized that he was a cadre of the State Reserve Bureau.

Needless to say, this is the professional of today.Strictly speaking, the cadres of the State Reserve Bureau can also be professionals in the futures industry.They are also one of the few units in China that are allowed to participate in foreign futures trading.

The national material reserves can be hundreds of thousands of tons or even millions of tons. Hedging in the futures market can lock in prices. Although the futures market will not make money because of the rise, it will not lose money because of the decline in the international market.From the perspective of national reserves, it is the most suitable.

Among the most expensive "tuition fees" after China's reform and opening up, the training fees of the State Reserve Bureau were included.

Su Cheng's mind was spinning extremely fast, and suddenly, he sat beside Su Zhenguo, completely ignoring Su Dongyuan's beard blowing and staring.

As a father, Su Dongyuan's mood is also complicated.After Su Xing was double-opened, his official career had nowhere to go, and he would only resell bills in business. In order to avoid being implicated, Su Dongyuan stopped Su Xing's business attempts and raised him like a pet. Now he is almost useless. up.

Su Cheng's rise was beyond Su Dongyuan's expectation, and even reached the point where it could not be ignored.But the relationship between the two has also become extremely stiff, and I am afraid it will be difficult to bridge it in their lifetime.

Su Zhenguo didn't give them much room to ferment their emotions. Seeing Su Cheng sitting firmly, he leaned on the sofa and asked, "Su Cheng, Dahua Industrial Group, bought a lot of empty orders for oil?"

"Yes."

"What about the exact amount?"

"Now it's 8700 million US dollars, and the price is concentrated between 35 and 40 US dollars." Su Cheng didn't expect Su Zhenguo to ask so directly, so he answered the question simply and neatly.This is nothing shady, and there is nothing to hide about future profits.

"Do you think the price of oil will go down?"

"Sooner or later. Can I ask why the National Development and Reform Commission cares about this?" Su Cheng looked at Director Mao and Zhu Enbo from the State Reserve Bureau.

The 30-year-old small-eyed man moved his body and said: "We think that the price of oil will rise to 45 to 50 dollars in a short period of time, and maintain at 30 dollars in the medium and long term. Therefore, out of various considerations, it is necessary to Make adjustments accordingly...”

"You mean long orders?" Su Cheng looked over.

Director Mao smiled and said, "The State Reserve Bureau issued a report. Director Su thinks it's worth discussing."

This is a discussion of hundreds of millions or even billions of dollars.

……

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